2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Aaron Holiday
- Hawks
- Atlanta Hawks
- Point Guard
- 26 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'0" | ||
Weight | 185 | ||
Draft position | 23 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 53% | ||
Free throw % | 83% | ||
Usage % | 19% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 35% | ||
FT frequency | 19% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 20% | ||
Turnover % | 14% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 6% | ||
Block % | 0.9% | ||
Steal % | 2.0% | ||
Defensive +/- | -0.1 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $27.6m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Larry Wright
Year: 1981
Similarity: 62
2
Steve Colter
Year: 1989
Similarity: 62
3
Vinny Del Negro
Year: 1993
Similarity: 60
4
Keyon Dooling
Year: 2007
Similarity: 59
5
Raul Neto
Year: 2019
Similarity: 57
6
Mike Evans
Year: 1982
Similarity: 56
7
Dana Barros
Year: 1994
Similarity: 55
8
Bimbo Coles
Year: 1995
Similarity: 54
9
Yogi Ferrell
Year: 2020
Similarity: 54
10
Monte Morris
Year: 2022
Similarity: 54
Aaron Holiday
- Hawks
- Atlanta Hawks
- Point Guard
- 26 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | +0.3 | -1.4 | -1.1 | 0.0 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.0 | +0.1 |
Playoffs | +2.9 | — | +39.6 | +0.1 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.1 | +0.2 | |
Combined | +0.5 | -1.4 | -0.1 | +0.0 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +0.1 | +0.1 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +1.3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.8 |
Playoffs | -12.9 | — | +7.5 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.9 | |
Combined | +0.5 | -0.9 | +0.1 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.7 | -0.6 | -0.7 | -0.9 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +1.6 | -2.2 | -1.1 | -0.7 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.4 | -0.2 | -0.7 | -0.8 |
Playoffs | -10.0 | — | +47.1 | -0.6 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.7 | |
Combined | +1.0 | -2.2 | 0.0 | -0.6 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.2 | -0.6 | -0.7 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 4.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 |
Playoffs | -5.6 | — | 3.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
Combined | 3.4 | 0.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.4 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $15.3m | $2.5m | $3.9m | $5.7m | $6.0m | $5.7m | $5.0m | $5.3m | $3.9m | $3.1m |
Playoffs | -$19m | — | $12.8m | $5.0m | $5.5m | $5.2m | $4.7m | $5.1m | $3.8m | $3.0m | |
Combined | $13.2m | $2.5m | $5.3m | $5.4m | $5.7m | $5.4m | $4.9m | $5.2m | $3.8m | $3.1m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 1,816 | 1,303 | 1,021 | 1,089 | 994 | 874 | 724 | 665 | 518 | 392 |
Playoffs | 1,476 | — | 126 | 883 | 857 | 765 | 651 | 625 | 488 | 365 | |
Combined | 1,795 | 1,303 | 878 | 986 | 925 | 820 | 688 | 645 | 503 | 378 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | +0.5 | +0.5 | +1.0 | $13.2m | 1,795 |
2021 | -1.4 | -0.9 | -2.2 | $2.5m | 1,303 |
2022 | -0.1 | +0.1 | 0.0 | $5.3m | 878 |
2023 | +0.0 | -0.7 | -0.6 | $5.4m | 986 |
2024 | +0.3 | -0.6 | -0.4 | $5.7m | 925 |
2025 | +0.4 | -0.7 | -0.3 | $5.4m | 820 |
2026 | +0.4 | -0.7 | -0.3 | $4.9m | 688 |
2027 | +0.4 | -0.6 | -0.2 | $5.2m | 645 |
2028 | +0.1 | -0.7 | -0.6 | $3.8m | 503 |
2029 | +0.1 | -0.9 | -0.7 | $3.1m | 378 |
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