UPDATED Aug. 30, 2022, at 11:00 AM

2022-23 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Aaron Holiday

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'0"
Weight185
Draft position23
Scoring
True shooting %53%
Free throw %83%
Usage %19%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency35%
FT frequency19%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %20%
Turnover %14%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %6%
Block %0.9%
Steal %2.0%
Defensive +/--0.1
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $27.6m

Confidence interval

Projection

'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'3005101520253.40.31.21.11.11.00.90.90.50.43.40.31.21.11.11.00.90.90.50.4
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Larry Wright
Year: 1981
Similarity: 62
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
2
Steve Colter
Year: 1989
Similarity: 62
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
3
Vinny Del Negro
Year: 1993
Similarity: 60
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
4
Keyon Dooling
Year: 2007
Similarity: 59
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
5
Raul Neto
Year: 2019
Similarity: 57
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
6
Mike Evans
Year: 1982
Similarity: 56
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
7
Dana Barros
Year: 1994
Similarity: 55
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
8
Bimbo Coles
Year: 1995
Similarity: 54
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
9
Yogi Ferrell
Year: 2020
Similarity: 54
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
10
Monte Morris
Year: 2022
Similarity: 54
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30

Aaron Holiday

  • Hawks
  • Atlanta Hawks
  • Point Guard
  • 26 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
Offensive +/-Reg. season+0.3-1.4-1.10.0+0.2+0.3+0.3+0.4+0.0+0.1
Playoffs+2.9+39.6+0.1+0.3+0.4+0.4+0.5+0.1+0.2
Combined+0.5-1.4-0.1+0.0+0.3+0.4+0.4+0.4+0.1+0.1
Defensive +/-Reg. season+1.3-0.9-0.1-0.6-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.7-0.8
Playoffs-12.9+7.5-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.7-0.9
Combined+0.5-0.9+0.1-0.7-0.6-0.7-0.7-0.6-0.7-0.9
Total +/-Reg. season+1.6-2.2-1.1-0.7-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.2-0.7-0.8
Playoffs-10.0+47.1-0.6-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.6-0.7
Combined+1.0-2.20.0-0.6-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.6-0.7
Per 82 games2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
WARReg. season4.00.30.81.21.21.10.90.90.50.4
Playoffs-5.63.31.01.11.00.80.90.50.4
Combined3.40.31.21.11.11.00.90.90.50.4
Market valueReg. season$15.3m$2.5m$3.9m$5.7m$6.0m$5.7m$5.0m$5.3m$3.9m$3.1m
Playoffs-$19m$12.8m$5.0m$5.5m$5.2m$4.7m$5.1m$3.8m$3.0m
Combined$13.2m$2.5m$5.3m$5.4m$5.7m$5.4m$4.9m$5.2m$3.8m$3.1m
Minutes playedReg. season1,8161,3031,0211,089994874724665518392
Playoffs1,476126883857765651625488365
Combined1,7951,303878986925820688645503378
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2020+0.5+0.5+1.0$13.2m1,795
2021-1.4-0.9-2.2$2.5m1,303
2022-0.1+0.10.0$5.3m878
2023+0.0-0.7-0.6$5.4m986
2024+0.3-0.6-0.4$5.7m925
2025+0.4-0.7-0.3$5.4m820
2026+0.4-0.7-0.3$4.9m688
2027+0.4-0.6-0.2$5.2m645
2028+0.1-0.7-0.6$3.8m503
2029+0.1-0.9-0.7$3.1m378