2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Alex Len
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Center
- 29 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 7'0" | ||
Weight | 250 | ||
Draft position | 5 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 60% | ||
Free throw % | 64% | ||
Usage % | 17% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 12% | ||
FT frequency | 38% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 9% | ||
Turnover % | 16% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 15% | ||
Block % | 4.2% | ||
Steal % | 1.0% | ||
Defensive +/- | -0.1 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: SCRUB
5-yr market value: $6.3m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Eric Leckner
Year: 1996
Similarity: 48
2
Felton Spencer
Year: 1998
Similarity: 45
3
Will Perdue
Year: 1995
Similarity: 44
4
Miles Plumlee
Year: 2018
Similarity: 44
5
Stromile Swift
Year: 2009
Similarity: 42
6
Jerome James
Year: 2005
Similarity: 41
7
Tim McCormick
Year: 1992
Similarity: 41
8
Bismack Biyombo
Year: 2022
Similarity: 41
9
Tyler Zeller
Year: 2020
Similarity: 41
10
Cody Zeller
Year: 2022
Similarity: 40
Alex Len
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Center
- 29 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -2.2 | -2.8 | -4.1 | -3.4 | -3.4 | -3.6 | -3.6 | -4.0 | -4.2 | -4.0 |
Playoffs | — | -2.2 | — | -3.3 | -3.4 | -3.6 | -3.5 | -4.0 | -4.2 | -4.0 | |
Combined | -2.2 | -2.7 | -4.1 | -3.3 | -3.4 | -3.6 | -3.5 | -4.0 | -4.2 | -4.0 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +2.1 | +1.1 | -1.3 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.9 |
Playoffs | — | -7.9 | — | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.8 | |
Combined | +2.1 | +0.7 | -1.3 | +0.4 | +0.5 | +0.3 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.1 | +0.9 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -0.1 | -1.7 | -5.4 | -3.0 | -2.9 | -3.3 | -3.2 | -3.8 | -4.3 | -3.1 |
Playoffs | — | -10.2 | — | -2.9 | -2.9 | -3.2 | -3.2 | -3.8 | -4.4 | -3.1 | |
Combined | -0.1 | -2.1 | -5.4 | -2.9 | -2.9 | -3.2 | -3.2 | -3.8 | -4.3 | -3.1 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 1.6 | 0.6 | -0.8 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
Playoffs | — | -2.7 | — | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | |
Combined | 1.6 | 0.4 | -0.8 | -0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 0.0 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $6.0m | $3.2m | -$0.4m | $1.7m | $1.5m | $1.2m | $1.1m | $0.8m | $0.3m | $0.5m |
Playoffs | — | -$6.7m | — | $1.8m | $1.6m | $1.2m | $1.1m | $0.8m | $0.3m | $0.5m | |
Combined | $6.0m | $2.4m | -$0.4m | $1.7m | $1.6m | $1.2m | $1.1m | $0.8m | $0.3m | $0.5m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 1,144 | 1,100 | 620 | 825 | 605 | 402 | 266 | 167 | 162 | 103 |
Playoffs | — | 689 | — | 591 | 447 | 314 | 208 | 167 | 162 | 103 | |
Combined | 1,144 | 1,068 | 620 | 708 | 526 | 358 | 237 | 167 | 162 | 103 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | -2.2 | +2.1 | -0.1 | $6.0m | 1,144 |
2021 | -2.7 | +0.7 | -2.1 | $2.4m | 1,068 |
2022 | -4.1 | -1.3 | -5.4 | -$0.4m | 620 |
2023 | -3.3 | +0.4 | -2.9 | $1.7m | 708 |
2024 | -3.4 | +0.5 | -2.9 | $1.6m | 526 |
2025 | -3.6 | +0.3 | -3.2 | $1.2m | 358 |
2026 | -3.5 | +0.4 | -3.2 | $1.1m | 237 |
2027 | -4.0 | +0.2 | -3.8 | $0.8m | 167 |
2028 | -4.2 | -0.1 | -4.3 | $0.3m | 162 |
2029 | -4.0 | +0.9 | -3.1 | $0.5m | 103 |
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