2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Chimezie Metu
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Power Forward
- 25 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'9" | ||
Weight | 225 | ||
Draft position | 49 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 55% | ||
Free throw % | 77% | ||
Usage % | 19% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 36% | ||
FT frequency | 21% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 7% | ||
Turnover % | 12% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 14% | ||
Block % | 2.5% | ||
Steal % | 1.8% | ||
Defensive +/- | -0.5 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: SCRUB
5-yr market value: $12.7m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Jonas Jerebko
Year: 2013
Similarity: 58
2
Alaa Abdelnaby
Year: 1994
Similarity: 57
3
S. Medvedenko
Year: 2005
Similarity: 57
4
Kyle O'Quinn
Year: 2016
Similarity: 55
5
David Benoit
Year: 1994
Similarity: 55
6
Mark Alarie
Year: 1990
Similarity: 55
7
Reggie Johnson
Year: 1983
Similarity: 55
8
Earl Clark
Year: 2014
Similarity: 55
9
J. Lauvergne
Year: 2018
Similarity: 54
10
Pat Cummings
Year: 1982
Similarity: 53
Chimezie Metu
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Power Forward
- 25 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -2.3 | -2.7 | -3.3 | -2.0 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.9 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.9 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.9 | |
Combined | -2.3 | -2.7 | -3.3 | -1.9 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -1.9 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -2.6 | -2.5 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.6 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |
Combined | -2.6 | -2.5 | +0.1 | -0.6 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.5 | -0.4 | -0.3 | -0.4 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -4.9 | -5.2 | -3.3 | -2.6 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.2 | -2.2 | -2.1 | -2.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -2.6 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.2 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.3 | |
Combined | -4.9 | -5.2 | -3.3 | -2.6 | -2.1 | -2.1 | -2.2 | -2.2 | -2.1 | -2.3 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
Combined | -0.1 | -0.7 | -0.3 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $1.4m | -$0.1m | $0.9m | $2.2m | $2.9m | $2.7m | $2.4m | $2.5m | $2.2m | $1.8m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $2.2m | $2.7m | $2.6m | $2.3m | $2.4m | $2.1m | $1.7m | |
Combined | $1.4m | -$0.1m | $0.9m | $2.2m | $2.8m | $2.7m | $2.4m | $2.4m | $2.2m | $1.8m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 121 | 556 | 1,279 | 1,118 | 1,021 | 899 | 762 | 644 | 548 | 410 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 887 | 850 | 796 | 682 | 581 | 484 | 368 | |
Combined | 121 | 556 | 1,279 | 1,003 | 936 | 847 | 722 | 612 | 516 | 389 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | -2.3 | -2.6 | -4.9 | $1.4m | 121 |
2021 | -2.7 | -2.5 | -5.2 | -$0.1m | 556 |
2022 | -3.3 | +0.1 | -3.3 | $0.9m | 1,279 |
2023 | -1.9 | -0.6 | -2.6 | $2.2m | 1,003 |
2024 | -1.6 | -0.5 | -2.1 | $2.8m | 936 |
2025 | -1.7 | -0.5 | -2.1 | $2.7m | 847 |
2026 | -1.7 | -0.5 | -2.2 | $2.4m | 722 |
2027 | -1.7 | -0.4 | -2.2 | $2.4m | 612 |
2028 | -1.8 | -0.3 | -2.1 | $2.2m | 516 |
2029 | -1.9 | -0.4 | -2.3 | $1.8m | 389 |
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