UPDATED Aug. 30, 2022, at 11:00 AM

2022-23 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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De'Aaron Fox

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'3"
Weight185
Draft position5
Scoring
True shooting %55%
Free throw %74%
Usage %30%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency24%
FT frequency34%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %29%
Turnover %12%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %6%
Block %1.1%
Steal %1.8%
Defensive +/--2.6
Wins above replacement projection
Category: AVERAGE STARTER
5-yr market value: $76.8m

Confidence interval

Projection

'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'3005101520253.13.92.23.83.73.43.02.52.21.53.13.92.23.83.73.43.02.52.21.5
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
D. Russell
Year: 2021
Similarity: 55
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
2
Brandon Knight
Year: 2017
Similarity: 54
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
3
Dennis Schroder
Year: 2019
Similarity: 53
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
4
Kyrie Irving
Year: 2017
Similarity: 53
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
5
Zach LaVine
Year: 2020
Similarity: 50
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
6
Andrew Toney
Year: 1983
Similarity: 48
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
7
Stephon Marbury
Year: 2002
Similarity: 48
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
8
Quintin Dailey
Year: 1986
Similarity: 48
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
9
Elfrid Payton
Year: 2019
Similarity: 46
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
10
Isaiah Rider
Year: 1996
Similarity: 46
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30

De'Aaron Fox

  • Kings
  • Sacramento Kings
  • Point Guard
  • 25 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
Offensive +/-Reg. season+2.5+3.2+1.9+2.2+2.3+2.1+2.2+2.1+1.9+1.5
Playoffs+2.2+2.3+2.1+2.1+2.1+1.9+1.5
Combined+2.5+3.2+1.9+2.2+2.3+2.1+2.2+2.1+1.9+1.5
Defensive +/-Reg. season-2.0-2.7-2.6-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.7-1.7-1.7-1.8
Playoffs-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.7-1.7-1.7-1.8
Combined-2.0-2.7-2.6-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.7-1.7-1.7-1.8
Total +/-Reg. season+0.4+0.5-0.7+0.5+0.7+0.6+0.4+0.4+0.2-0.3
Playoffs+0.5+0.7+0.6+0.4+0.3+0.2-0.3
Combined+0.4+0.5-0.7+0.5+0.7+0.6+0.4+0.3+0.2-0.3
Per 82 games2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
WARReg. season3.13.92.23.73.63.22.92.42.11.5
Playoffs4.03.93.53.12.72.31.6
Combined3.13.92.23.83.73.43.02.52.21.5
Market valueReg. season$11.4m$14.6m$8.4m$15.8m$16.6m$15.8m$14.8m$13.5m$12.4m$9.4m
Playoffs$16.1m$16.6m$16.0m$14.9m$13.9m$12.6m$9.4m
Combined$11.4m$14.6m$8.4m$16.0m$16.6m$15.9m$14.8m$13.7m$12.5m$9.4m
Minutes playedReg. season1,8612,3192,0832,2032,0141,8791,7451,5231,3731,165
Playoffs2,3102,0901,9741,8231,6341,4481,213
Combined1,8612,3192,0832,2572,0521,9271,7841,5791,4111,189
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2020+2.5-2.0+0.4$11.4m1,861
2021+3.2-2.7+0.5$14.6m2,319
2022+1.9-2.6-0.7$8.4m2,083
2023+2.2-1.7+0.5$16.0m2,257
2024+2.3-1.6+0.7$16.6m2,052
2025+2.1-1.5+0.6$15.9m1,927
2026+2.2-1.7+0.4$14.8m1,784
2027+2.1-1.7+0.3$13.7m1,579
2028+1.9-1.7+0.2$12.5m1,411
2029+1.5-1.8-0.3$9.4m1,189