2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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De'Aaron Fox
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Point Guard
- 25 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'3" | ||
Weight | 185 | ||
Draft position | 5 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 55% | ||
Free throw % | 74% | ||
Usage % | 30% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 24% | ||
FT frequency | 34% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 29% | ||
Turnover % | 12% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 6% | ||
Block % | 1.1% | ||
Steal % | 1.8% | ||
Defensive +/- | -2.6 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: AVERAGE STARTER
5-yr market value: $76.8m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
D. Russell
Year: 2021
Similarity: 55
2
Brandon Knight
Year: 2017
Similarity: 54
3
Dennis Schroder
Year: 2019
Similarity: 53
4
Kyrie Irving
Year: 2017
Similarity: 53
5
Zach LaVine
Year: 2020
Similarity: 50
6
Andrew Toney
Year: 1983
Similarity: 48
7
Stephon Marbury
Year: 2002
Similarity: 48
8
Quintin Dailey
Year: 1986
Similarity: 48
9
Elfrid Payton
Year: 2019
Similarity: 46
10
Isaiah Rider
Year: 1996
Similarity: 46
De'Aaron Fox
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Point Guard
- 25 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | +2.5 | +3.2 | +1.9 | +2.2 | +2.3 | +2.1 | +2.2 | +2.1 | +1.9 | +1.5 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +2.2 | +2.3 | +2.1 | +2.1 | +2.1 | +1.9 | +1.5 | |
Combined | +2.5 | +3.2 | +1.9 | +2.2 | +2.3 | +2.1 | +2.2 | +2.1 | +1.9 | +1.5 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -2.0 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 | |
Combined | -2.0 | -2.7 | -2.6 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.7 | -1.8 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +0.4 | +0.5 | -0.7 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.6 | +0.4 | +0.4 | +0.2 | -0.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.6 | +0.4 | +0.3 | +0.2 | -0.3 | |
Combined | +0.4 | +0.5 | -0.7 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.6 | +0.4 | +0.3 | +0.2 | -0.3 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 3.1 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 3.7 | 3.6 | 3.2 | 2.9 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.5 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 4.0 | 3.9 | 3.5 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.3 | 1.6 | |
Combined | 3.1 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.4 | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2.2 | 1.5 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $11.4m | $14.6m | $8.4m | $15.8m | $16.6m | $15.8m | $14.8m | $13.5m | $12.4m | $9.4m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $16.1m | $16.6m | $16.0m | $14.9m | $13.9m | $12.6m | $9.4m | |
Combined | $11.4m | $14.6m | $8.4m | $16.0m | $16.6m | $15.9m | $14.8m | $13.7m | $12.5m | $9.4m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 1,861 | 2,319 | 2,083 | 2,203 | 2,014 | 1,879 | 1,745 | 1,523 | 1,373 | 1,165 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 2,310 | 2,090 | 1,974 | 1,823 | 1,634 | 1,448 | 1,213 | |
Combined | 1,861 | 2,319 | 2,083 | 2,257 | 2,052 | 1,927 | 1,784 | 1,579 | 1,411 | 1,189 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | +2.5 | -2.0 | +0.4 | $11.4m | 1,861 |
2021 | +3.2 | -2.7 | +0.5 | $14.6m | 2,319 |
2022 | +1.9 | -2.6 | -0.7 | $8.4m | 2,083 |
2023 | +2.2 | -1.7 | +0.5 | $16.0m | 2,257 |
2024 | +2.3 | -1.6 | +0.7 | $16.6m | 2,052 |
2025 | +2.1 | -1.5 | +0.6 | $15.9m | 1,927 |
2026 | +2.2 | -1.7 | +0.4 | $14.8m | 1,784 |
2027 | +2.1 | -1.7 | +0.3 | $13.7m | 1,579 |
2028 | +1.9 | -1.7 | +0.2 | $12.5m | 1,411 |
2029 | +1.5 | -1.8 | -0.3 | $9.4m | 1,189 |
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