UPDATED Aug. 30, 2022, at 11:00 AM

2022-23 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Harrison Barnes

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'8"
Weight225
Draft position7
Scoring
True shooting %62%
Free throw %82%
Usage %18%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency41%
FT frequency44%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %11%
Turnover %10%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %9%
Block %0.5%
Steal %1.0%
Defensive +/--1.2
Wins above replacement projection
Category: DUBIOUS STARTER
5-yr market value: $17.9m

Confidence interval

Projection

'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'3005101520251.94.83.01.40.80.30.10.10.0-0.11.94.83.01.40.80.30.10.10.0-0.1
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Luol Deng
Year: 2016
Similarity: 57
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
2
B. Bogdanovic
Year: 2020
Similarity: 56
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
3
Otis Thorpe
Year: 1993
Similarity: 55
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
4
Sam Perkins
Year: 1992
Similarity: 53
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
5
R. Jefferson
Year: 2011
Similarity: 52
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
6
Cedric Maxwell
Year: 1986
Similarity: 51
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
7
Rod Higgins
Year: 1991
Similarity: 49
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
8
M. Morris Sr.
Year: 2020
Similarity: 48
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
9
Rodney McCray
Year: 1992
Similarity: 48
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
10
Larry Johnson
Year: 2000
Similarity: 47
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30

Harrison Barnes

  • Kings
  • Sacramento Kings
  • Power Forward
  • 30 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
Offensive +/-Reg. season-0.3+1.3+1.2+0.1-0.3-0.5-0.9-1.0-1.3-1.6
Playoffs+0.1-0.3-0.5-0.8-1.0-1.3-1.6
Combined-0.3+1.3+1.2+0.1-0.3-0.5-0.8-1.0-1.3-1.6
Defensive +/-Reg. season-1.1-0.1-1.7-1.6-1.6-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.7-1.7
Playoffs-1.6-1.6-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.6-1.7
Combined-1.1-0.1-1.7-1.6-1.6-1.7-1.6-1.5-1.6-1.7
Total +/-Reg. season-1.4+1.2-0.5-1.5-1.9-2.3-2.5-2.6-2.9-3.3
Playoffs-1.4-1.9-2.2-2.4-2.5-2.9-3.2
Combined-1.4+1.2-0.5-1.5-1.9-2.2-2.4-2.6-2.9-3.2
Per 82 games2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
WARReg. season1.94.83.01.30.70.30.10.00.0-0.1
Playoffs1.50.80.30.10.10.00.0
Combined1.94.83.01.40.80.30.10.10.0-0.1
Market valueReg. season$7.3m$18.4m$11.4m$6.5m$4.6m$3.0m$2.1m$1.6m$1.0m$0.6m
Playoffs$6.7m$4.7m$3.1m$2.2m$1.6m$1.0m$0.6m
Combined$7.3m$18.4m$11.4m$6.6m$4.6m$3.0m$2.2m$1.6m$1.0m$0.6m
Minutes playedReg. season2,8272,3942,5872,0361,6721,284900582387222
Playoffs2,1181,6901,236835526338195
Combined2,8272,3942,5872,0771,6811,260867554363208
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2020-0.3-1.1-1.4$7.3m2,827
2021+1.3-0.1+1.2$18.4m2,394
2022+1.2-1.7-0.5$11.4m2,587
2023+0.1-1.6-1.5$6.6m2,077
2024-0.3-1.6-1.9$4.6m1,681
2025-0.5-1.7-2.2$3.0m1,260
2026-0.8-1.6-2.4$2.2m867
2027-1.0-1.5-2.6$1.6m554
2028-1.3-1.6-2.9$1.0m363
2029-1.6-1.7-3.2$0.6m208