2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Harrison Barnes
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Power Forward
- 30 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'8" | ||
Weight | 225 | ||
Draft position | 7 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 62% | ||
Free throw % | 82% | ||
Usage % | 18% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 41% | ||
FT frequency | 44% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 11% | ||
Turnover % | 10% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 9% | ||
Block % | 0.5% | ||
Steal % | 1.0% | ||
Defensive +/- | -1.2 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: DUBIOUS STARTER
5-yr market value: $17.9m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Luol Deng
Year: 2016
Similarity: 57
2
B. Bogdanovic
Year: 2020
Similarity: 56
3
Otis Thorpe
Year: 1993
Similarity: 55
4
Sam Perkins
Year: 1992
Similarity: 53
5
R. Jefferson
Year: 2011
Similarity: 52
6
Cedric Maxwell
Year: 1986
Similarity: 51
7
Rod Higgins
Year: 1991
Similarity: 49
8
M. Morris Sr.
Year: 2020
Similarity: 48
9
Rodney McCray
Year: 1992
Similarity: 48
10
Larry Johnson
Year: 2000
Similarity: 47
Harrison Barnes
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Power Forward
- 30 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.3 | +1.3 | +1.2 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.9 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -1.6 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -1.6 | |
Combined | -0.3 | +1.3 | +1.2 | +0.1 | -0.3 | -0.5 | -0.8 | -1.0 | -1.3 | -1.6 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -1.1 | -0.1 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.7 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.7 | |
Combined | -1.1 | -0.1 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -1.6 | -1.5 | -1.6 | -1.7 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -1.4 | +1.2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -2.3 | -2.5 | -2.6 | -2.9 | -3.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.4 | -1.9 | -2.2 | -2.4 | -2.5 | -2.9 | -3.2 | |
Combined | -1.4 | +1.2 | -0.5 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -2.2 | -2.4 | -2.6 | -2.9 | -3.2 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 1.9 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -0.1 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Combined | 1.9 | 4.8 | 3.0 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | -0.1 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $7.3m | $18.4m | $11.4m | $6.5m | $4.6m | $3.0m | $2.1m | $1.6m | $1.0m | $0.6m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $6.7m | $4.7m | $3.1m | $2.2m | $1.6m | $1.0m | $0.6m | |
Combined | $7.3m | $18.4m | $11.4m | $6.6m | $4.6m | $3.0m | $2.2m | $1.6m | $1.0m | $0.6m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 2,827 | 2,394 | 2,587 | 2,036 | 1,672 | 1,284 | 900 | 582 | 387 | 222 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 2,118 | 1,690 | 1,236 | 835 | 526 | 338 | 195 | |
Combined | 2,827 | 2,394 | 2,587 | 2,077 | 1,681 | 1,260 | 867 | 554 | 363 | 208 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | -0.3 | -1.1 | -1.4 | $7.3m | 2,827 |
2021 | +1.3 | -0.1 | +1.2 | $18.4m | 2,394 |
2022 | +1.2 | -1.7 | -0.5 | $11.4m | 2,587 |
2023 | +0.1 | -1.6 | -1.5 | $6.6m | 2,077 |
2024 | -0.3 | -1.6 | -1.9 | $4.6m | 1,681 |
2025 | -0.5 | -1.7 | -2.2 | $3.0m | 1,260 |
2026 | -0.8 | -1.6 | -2.4 | $2.2m | 867 |
2027 | -1.0 | -1.5 | -2.6 | $1.6m | 554 |
2028 | -1.3 | -1.6 | -2.9 | $1.0m | 363 |
2029 | -1.6 | -1.7 | -3.2 | $0.6m | 208 |
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