UPDATED Aug. 30, 2022, at 11:00 AM

2022-23 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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Ish Smith

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'0"
Weight175
Draft position
Scoring
True shooting %47%
Free throw %60%
Usage %19%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency17%
FT frequency8%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %29%
Turnover %14%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %7%
Block %1.6%
Steal %1.9%
Defensive +/--1.3
Wins above replacement projection
Category: SCRUB
5-yr market value: $3.6m

Confidence interval

Projection

'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'3005101520250.11.8-0.80.0-0.10.00.00.00.00.00.11.8-0.80.0-0.10.00.00.00.00.0
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Robert Pack
Year: 2004
Similarity: 40
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
2
Rajon Rondo
Year: 2021
Similarity: 39
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
3
Kenny Anderson
Year: 2005
Similarity: 38
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
4
Raymond Felton
Year: 2019
Similarity: 37
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
5
Mike L. James
Year: 2010
Similarity: 36
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
6
Jameer Nelson
Year: 2017
Similarity: 36
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
7
Jamaal Tinsley
Year: 2013
Similarity: 33
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
8
Vinny Del Negro
Year: 2001
Similarity: 33
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
9
Bimbo Coles
Year: 2003
Similarity: 33
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
10
Anthony Johnson
Year: 2009
Similarity: 32
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30

Ish Smith

  • Nuggets
  • Denver Nuggets
  • Point Guard
  • 34 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
Offensive +/-Reg. season-0.3-0.3-2.2-1.6-2.3-1.2-1.4-2.1-3.0
Playoffs-2.9-1.5-2.3-1.2-1.4-2.2-3.0
Combined-0.3-0.6-2.2-1.5-2.3-1.2-1.4-2.1-3.0
Defensive +/-Reg. season-2.4+0.2-2.0-1.3-1.5-1.7-1.0+1.0-2.9
Playoffs+6.8-1.2-1.4-1.7-0.9+1.0-2.9
Combined-2.4+1.1-2.0-1.2-1.4-1.7-1.0+1.0-2.9
Total +/-Reg. season-2.7-0.1-4.2-2.8-3.8-2.9-2.4-1.1-5.9
Playoffs+3.8-2.7-3.7-2.9-2.3-1.1-5.9
Combined-2.7+0.4-4.2-2.8-3.7-2.9-2.4-1.1-5.9
Per 82 games2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
WARReg. season0.11.4-0.80.0-0.10.00.00.00.0
Playoffs6.40.0-0.10.00.00.00.0
Combined0.11.8-0.80.0-0.10.00.00.00.0
Market valueReg. season$1.8m$5.5m-$0.4m$1.9m$0.7m$0.5m$0.3m$0.2m$0.0m
Playoffs$25.6m$2.0m$0.8m$0.5m$0.3m$0.2m$0.0m
Combined$1.8m$7.0m-$0.4m$2.0m$0.8m$0.5m$0.3m$0.2m$0.0m
Minutes playedReg. season2,0351,0241,11974324011170177
Playoffs1,82046915310770177
Combined2,0351,0841,11960619710970177
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2020-0.3-2.4-2.7$1.8m2,035
2021-0.6+1.1+0.4$7.0m1,084
2022-2.2-2.0-4.2-$0.4m1,119
2023-1.5-1.2-2.8$2.0m606
2024-2.3-1.4-3.7$0.8m197
2025-1.2-1.7-2.9$0.5m109
2026-1.4-1.0-2.4$0.3m70
2027-2.1+1.0-1.1$0.2m17
2028-$0m0
2029-3.0-2.9-5.9$0.0m7