2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Ish Smith
- Nuggets
- Denver Nuggets
- Point Guard
- 34 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'0" | ||
Weight | 175 | ||
Draft position | — |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 47% | ||
Free throw % | 60% | ||
Usage % | 19% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 17% | ||
FT frequency | 8% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 29% | ||
Turnover % | 14% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 7% | ||
Block % | 1.6% | ||
Steal % | 1.9% | ||
Defensive +/- | -1.3 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: SCRUB
5-yr market value: $3.6m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Robert Pack
Year: 2004
Similarity: 40
2
Rajon Rondo
Year: 2021
Similarity: 39
3
Kenny Anderson
Year: 2005
Similarity: 38
4
Raymond Felton
Year: 2019
Similarity: 37
5
Mike L. James
Year: 2010
Similarity: 36
6
Jameer Nelson
Year: 2017
Similarity: 36
7
Jamaal Tinsley
Year: 2013
Similarity: 33
8
Vinny Del Negro
Year: 2001
Similarity: 33
9
Bimbo Coles
Year: 2003
Similarity: 33
10
Anthony Johnson
Year: 2009
Similarity: 32
Ish Smith
- Nuggets
- Denver Nuggets
- Point Guard
- 34 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | -0.3 | -0.3 | -2.2 | -1.6 | -2.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -2.1 | — | -3.0 |
Playoffs | — | -2.9 | — | -1.5 | -2.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -2.2 | — | -3.0 | |
Combined | -0.3 | -0.6 | -2.2 | -1.5 | -2.3 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -2.1 | — | -3.0 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | -2.4 | +0.2 | -2.0 | -1.3 | -1.5 | -1.7 | -1.0 | +1.0 | — | -2.9 |
Playoffs | — | +6.8 | — | -1.2 | -1.4 | -1.7 | -0.9 | +1.0 | — | -2.9 | |
Combined | -2.4 | +1.1 | -2.0 | -1.2 | -1.4 | -1.7 | -1.0 | +1.0 | — | -2.9 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | -2.7 | -0.1 | -4.2 | -2.8 | -3.8 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -1.1 | — | -5.9 |
Playoffs | — | +3.8 | — | -2.7 | -3.7 | -2.9 | -2.3 | -1.1 | — | -5.9 | |
Combined | -2.7 | +0.4 | -4.2 | -2.8 | -3.7 | -2.9 | -2.4 | -1.1 | — | -5.9 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 0.1 | 1.4 | -0.8 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0.0 |
Playoffs | — | 6.4 | — | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | |
Combined | 0.1 | 1.8 | -0.8 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | — | 0.0 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $1.8m | $5.5m | -$0.4m | $1.9m | $0.7m | $0.5m | $0.3m | $0.2m | — | $0.0m |
Playoffs | — | $25.6m | — | $2.0m | $0.8m | $0.5m | $0.3m | $0.2m | — | $0.0m | |
Combined | $1.8m | $7.0m | -$0.4m | $2.0m | $0.8m | $0.5m | $0.3m | $0.2m | — | $0.0m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 2,035 | 1,024 | 1,119 | 743 | 240 | 111 | 70 | 17 | — | 7 |
Playoffs | — | 1,820 | — | 469 | 153 | 107 | 70 | 17 | — | 7 | |
Combined | 2,035 | 1,084 | 1,119 | 606 | 197 | 109 | 70 | 17 | — | 7 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | -0.3 | -2.4 | -2.7 | $1.8m | 2,035 |
2021 | -0.6 | +1.1 | +0.4 | $7.0m | 1,084 |
2022 | -2.2 | -2.0 | -4.2 | -$0.4m | 1,119 |
2023 | -1.5 | -1.2 | -2.8 | $2.0m | 606 |
2024 | -2.3 | -1.4 | -3.7 | $0.8m | 197 |
2025 | -1.2 | -1.7 | -2.9 | $0.5m | 109 |
2026 | -1.4 | -1.0 | -2.4 | $0.3m | 70 |
2027 | -2.1 | +1.0 | -1.1 | $0.2m | 17 |
2028 | — | — | — | -$0m | 0 |
2029 | -3.0 | -2.9 | -5.9 | $0.0m | 7 |
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