2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Keegan Murray
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Power Forward
- 22 years old
- Rookie ✔
ADJUSTED COLLEGE STATISTICS
Bad
Avg.
Good
As compared with rookies
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'8" | ||
Weight | 215 | ||
Draft position | 4 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 66% | ||
Usage % | 28% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 31% | ||
FT frequency | 34% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 9% | ||
Turnover % | 7% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 15% | ||
Block % | 6.7% | ||
Steal % | 2.4% |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: GOOD PROSPECT
5-yr market value: $84.3m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
De'Andre Hunter
Year: 2020
Similarity: 59
2
Jonathan Isaac
Year: 2018
Similarity: 52
3
Rui Hachimura
Year: 2020
Similarity: 52
4
Cody Zeller
Year: 2014
Similarity: 50
5
Jalen Smith
Year: 2021
Similarity: 48
6
C. Villanueva
Year: 2006
Similarity: 48
7
Otto Porter
Year: 2014
Similarity: 47
8
J. Richardson
Year: 2002
Similarity: 46
9
PJ Washington
Year: 2020
Similarity: 46
10
T.J. Warren
Year: 2015
Similarity: 45
Keegan Murray
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Power Forward
- 22 years old
- Rookie ✔
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | — | — | — | -0.7 | +0.1 | +0.7 | +1.0 | +1.4 | +1.1 | +1.4 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.7 | +0.1 | +0.7 | +1.0 | +1.4 | +1.1 | +1.3 | |
Combined | — | — | — | -0.7 | +0.1 | +0.7 | +1.0 | +1.4 | +1.1 | +1.3 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | — | — | — | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +0.9 | +1.1 | +0.9 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +0.9 | +1.1 | +0.9 | |
Combined | — | — | — | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +0.9 | +1.1 | +0.9 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | — | — | — | -0.6 | +0.6 | +1.4 | +1.7 | +2.4 | +2.3 | +2.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -0.6 | +0.6 | +1.4 | +1.7 | +2.3 | +2.2 | +2.2 | |
Combined | — | — | — | -0.6 | +0.6 | +1.4 | +1.7 | +2.4 | +2.2 | +2.3 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | — | — | — | 1.7 | 3.2 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.4 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1.9 | 3.5 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 4.1 | 3.7 | |
Combined | — | — | — | 1.8 | 3.3 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 4.1 | 3.9 | 3.6 | |
Market value | Reg. season | — | — | — | $8.2m | $14.7m | $19.1m | $20.0m | $21.9m | $22.0m | $21.0m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $8.5m | $15.2m | $19.4m | $20.3m | $22.0m | $22.1m | $21.0m | |
Combined | — | — | — | $8.3m | $15.0m | $19.2m | $20.2m | $21.9m | $22.0m | $21.0m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | — | — | — | 1,559 | 1,857 | 1,826 | 1,696 | 1,488 | 1,477 | 1,341 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1,685 | 1,982 | 1,943 | 1,805 | 1,581 | 1,566 | 1,418 | |
Combined | — | — | — | 1,622 | 1,920 | 1,884 | 1,750 | 1,534 | 1,522 | 1,379 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2021 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2022 | — | — | — | — | 0 |
2023 | -0.7 | +0.1 | -0.6 | $8.3m | 1,622 |
2024 | +0.1 | +0.5 | +0.6 | $15.0m | 1,920 |
2025 | +0.7 | +0.7 | +1.4 | $19.2m | 1,884 |
2026 | +1.0 | +0.7 | +1.7 | $20.2m | 1,750 |
2027 | +1.4 | +0.9 | +2.4 | $21.9m | 1,534 |
2028 | +1.1 | +1.1 | +2.2 | $22.0m | 1,522 |
2029 | +1.3 | +0.9 | +2.3 | $21.0m | 1,379 |
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