2022-23 NBA Player Projections
Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings
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Richaun Holmes
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Center
- 29 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile | |||
---|---|---|---|
Vitals | 50th | ||
Height | 6'10" | ||
Weight | 235 | ||
Draft position | 37 |
Scoring | |||
---|---|---|---|
True shooting % | 68% | ||
Free throw % | 78% | ||
Usage % | 16% |
Tendencies | |||
---|---|---|---|
3 pt. frequency | 2% | ||
FT frequency | 30% |
Passing/ball handling | |||
---|---|---|---|
Assist % | 7% | ||
Turnover % | 13% |
Defense/rebounding | |||
---|---|---|---|
Rebound % | 16% | ||
Block % | 3.9% | ||
Steal % | 1.0% | ||
Defensive +/- | +0.1 |
Wins above replacement projection
Category: ROTATION PLAYER
5-yr market value: $16.0m
Confidence interval
Projection
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Dwight Powell
Year: 2021
Similarity: 48
2
Gorgui Dieng
Year: 2019
Similarity: 40
3
Tyler Zeller
Year: 2019
Similarity: 38
4
Brandan Wright
Year: 2017
Similarity: 37
5
Dewayne Dedmon
Year: 2019
Similarity: 34
6
A. Varejao
Year: 2012
Similarity: 34
7
Nazr Mohammed
Year: 2007
Similarity: 33
8
Tony Battie
Year: 2005
Similarity: 33
9
Nick Collison
Year: 2010
Similarity: 33
10
Darryl Dawkins
Year: 1986
Similarity: 32
Richaun Holmes
- Kings
- Sacramento Kings
- Center
- 29 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Offensive +/- | Reg. season | +0.2 | +0.2 | -1.8 | -1.7 | -1.9 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.8 | -2.8 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.7 | -1.8 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.7 | -2.8 | |
Combined | +0.2 | +0.2 | -1.8 | -1.7 | -1.8 | -2.1 | -2.3 | -2.4 | -2.8 | -2.8 | |
Defensive +/- | Reg. season | +0.9 | +1.9 | -1.2 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.3 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | +0.3 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.3 | |
Combined | +0.9 | +1.9 | -1.2 | +0.2 | +0.3 | +0.2 | +0.3 | -0.1 | -0.4 | +0.3 | |
Total +/- | Reg. season | +1.1 | +2.1 | -2.9 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -2.0 | -2.6 | -3.2 | -2.6 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -2.0 | -2.6 | -3.1 | -2.5 | |
Combined | +1.1 | +2.1 | -2.9 | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.9 | -2.0 | -2.6 | -3.1 | -2.6 |
Per 82 games | 2020 | '21 | '22 | '23 | '24 | '25 | '26 | '27 | '28 | '29 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
WAR | Reg. season | 2.8 | 5.0 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |
Combined | 2.8 | 5.0 | -0.1 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | -0.1 | 0.0 | |
Market value | Reg. season | $10.3m | $19.5m | $1.5m | $4.6m | $4.2m | $3.1m | $2.5m | $1.7m | $1.1m | $1.0m |
Playoffs | — | — | — | $4.3m | $3.9m | $3.0m | $2.4m | $1.6m | $1.1m | $1.0m | |
Combined | $10.3m | $19.5m | $1.5m | $4.5m | $4.0m | $3.0m | $2.4m | $1.6m | $1.1m | $1.0m | |
Minutes played | Reg. season | 1,415 | 2,030 | 1,074 | 1,307 | 1,086 | 884 | 660 | 462 | 301 | 212 |
Playoffs | — | — | — | 1,162 | 960 | 798 | 591 | 394 | 247 | 177 | |
Combined | 1,415 | 2,030 | 1,074 | 1,234 | 1,023 | 841 | 625 | 428 | 274 | 195 |
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
Year | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | Total +/- | Mkt. value | Min. played |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2020 | +0.2 | +0.9 | +1.1 | $10.3m | 1,415 |
2021 | +0.2 | +1.9 | +2.1 | $19.5m | 2,030 |
2022 | -1.8 | -1.2 | -2.9 | $1.5m | 1,074 |
2023 | -1.7 | +0.2 | -1.5 | $4.5m | 1,234 |
2024 | -1.8 | +0.3 | -1.5 | $4.0m | 1,023 |
2025 | -2.1 | +0.2 | -1.9 | $3.0m | 841 |
2026 | -2.3 | +0.3 | -2.0 | $2.4m | 625 |
2027 | -2.4 | -0.1 | -2.6 | $1.6m | 428 |
2028 | -2.8 | -0.4 | -3.1 | $1.1m | 274 |
2029 | -2.8 | +0.3 | -2.6 | $1.0m | 195 |
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