UPDATED Aug. 30, 2022, at 11:00 AM

2022-23 NBA Player Projections

Our projection system identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratings

How good will
be?
Random player
Pick a player:
Random player

Trey Lyles

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'9"
Weight234
Draft position12
Scoring
True shooting %58%
Free throw %77%
Usage %19%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency40%
FT frequency36%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %8%
Turnover %9%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %13%
Block %1.6%
Steal %0.9%
Defensive +/--1.4
Wins above replacement projection
Category: SCRUB
5-yr market value: $10.6m

Confidence interval

Projection

'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'3005101520250.4-0.40.60.10.10.10.10.00.00.00.4-0.40.60.10.10.10.10.00.00.0
Performance of the 10 most comparable players
1
Mitch Kupchak
Year: 1982
Similarity: 58
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
2
Danny Schayes
Year: 1987
Similarity: 57
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
3
Antoine Carr
Year: 1989
Similarity: 52
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
4
Jordan Hill
Year: 2015
Similarity: 52
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
5
Ben Coleman
Year: 1989
Similarity: 51
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
6
Bostjan Nachbar
Year: 2008
Similarity: 50
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
7
Dario Saric
Year: 2021
Similarity: 50
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
8
Brandon Bass
Year: 2012
Similarity: 50
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
9
James Bailey
Year: 1985
Similarity: 49
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30
10
Joey Graham
Year: 2010
Similarity: 49
05101520'192020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29'30

Trey Lyles

  • Kings
  • Sacramento Kings
  • Power Forward
  • 27 years old
The fine print
RAPTOR Ratings2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
Offensive +/-Reg. season-0.6-3.7-0.5-1.2-1.3-1.3-1.4-1.6-1.7-1.7
Playoffs-1.2-1.3-1.3-1.4-1.6-1.7-1.6
Combined-0.6-3.7-0.5-1.2-1.3-1.3-1.4-1.6-1.7-1.6
Defensive +/-Reg. season-1.6-0.8-1.5-1.3-1.3-1.2-1.0-1.1-1.1-1.2
Playoffs-1.3-1.2-1.1-1.0-1.1-1.1-1.2
Combined-1.6-0.8-1.5-1.3-1.2-1.2-1.0-1.1-1.1-1.2
Total +/-Reg. season-2.2-4.5-2.0-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.4-2.7-2.8-2.8
Playoffs-2.5-2.5-2.4-2.4-2.7-2.7-2.8
Combined-2.2-4.5-2.0-2.5-2.5-2.5-2.4-2.7-2.8-2.8
Per 82 games2020'21'22'23'24'25'26'27'28'29
WARReg. season0.4-0.40.60.10.10.10.10.00.00.0
Playoffs0.10.10.10.10.00.00.0
Combined0.4-0.40.60.10.10.10.10.00.00.0
Market valueReg. season$2.6m$0.9m$3.2m$2.4m$2.2m$2.2m$2.1m$1.7m$1.4m$1.1m
Playoffs$2.3m$2.2m$2.2m$2.1m$1.7m$1.4m$1.1m
Combined$2.6m$0.9m$3.2m$2.4m$2.2m$2.2m$2.1m$1.7m$1.4m$1.1m
Minutes playedReg. season1,4684021,5371,219976826690514386266
Playoffs1,007823715599446336227
Combined1,4684021,5371,113899771645480361246
The fine print
Based on a combination of regular-season and playoff performances
YearOff. +/-Def. +/-Total +/-Mkt. valueMin. played
2020-0.6-1.6-2.2$2.6m1,468
2021-3.7-0.8-4.5$0.9m402
2022-0.5-1.5-2.0$3.2m1,537
2023-1.2-1.3-2.5$2.4m1,113
2024-1.3-1.2-2.5$2.2m899
2025-1.3-1.2-2.5$2.2m771
2026-1.4-1.0-2.4$2.1m645
2027-1.6-1.1-2.7$1.7m480
2028-1.7-1.1-2.8$1.4m361
2029-1.6-1.2-2.8$1.1m246