2022-23 NBA Predictions
Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.
More NBA:Our RAPTOR player ratingsBuild your own teamPreseason player projections
Our Elo forecast does not incorporate the scores of live games
| Chance of making ... | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Current rating | Full-strength rating | Team | Conference | PlayoffsMake play-offs | Conf. SemisMake Conf. Semis | Conf. FinalsMake Conf. Finals | FinalsMake Finals | Chance of Winning FinalsWin Finals | ||
| 1705 | 1701 |  | Nuggets4-1, 4-2, 4-0, 1-1 | West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 65% | |
| 1642 | 1658 |  | Heat4-1, 4-2, 4-3, 1-1 | East | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | 35% | |
| 1714 | 1714 |  | Celtics4-2, 4-3, 3-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
| 1646 | 1646 |  | Lakers4-2, 4-2, 0-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | |
| 1690 | 1690 |  | 76ers4-0, 3-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1679 | 1679 |  | Warriors4-3, 2-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1615 | 1615 |  | Suns4-1, 2-4 | West | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1610 | 1610 |  | Knicks4-1, 2-4 | East | ✓ | ✓ | — | — | — | |
| 1678 | 1678 |  | Bucks1-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1622 | 1622 |  | Cavaliers1-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1621 | 1621 |  | Timberwolves1-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1619 | 1671 |  | Grizzlies2-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1578 | 1578 |  | Clippers1-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1563 | 1563 |  | Hawks2-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1530 | 1530 |  | Nets0-4 | East | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1528 | 1528 |  | Kings3-4 | West | ✓ | — | — | — | — | |
| 1638 | 1639 |  | Raptors | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1586 | 1586 |  | Mavericks | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1576 | 1576 |  | Pelicans | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1549 | 1576 |  | Bulls | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1515 | 1515 |  | Trail Blazers | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1507 | 1507 |  | Wizards | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1462 | 1476 |  | Thunder | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1462 | 1462 |  | Pacers | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1458 | 1458 |  | Jazz | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1438 | 1437 |  | Magic | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1423 | 1496 |  | Hornets | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1357 | 1357 |  | Spurs | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1319 | 1319 |  | Rockets | West | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 1289 | 1299 |  | Pistons | East | — | — | — | — | — | |
Forecast from
Wednesday, June 7Finals
| Game 3 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets1-1 | 49% | ||||
| Heat | PK | 51% | |||
Quality 96 How good are these two teams | Importance 100 How much will this game affect playoff odds | Overall 98 An overall rating for this game |
Friday, June 9Finals
| Game 4 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets1-1 | 48% | ||||
| Heat | -0.5 | 52% | |||
Quality 96 | Importance 100 | Overall 98 |
Monday, June 12Finals
| Game 5 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat1-1 | 27% | ||||
| Nuggets | -6 | 73% | |||
Quality 96 | Importance 100 | Overall 98 |
Thursday, June 15Finals
| Game 6 • 8:30 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets1-1 | 47% | ||||
| Heat | -0.5 | 53% | |||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Sunday, June 18Finals
| Game 7 • 8 p.m. Eastern | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat1-1 | 28% | ||||
| Nuggets | -6 | 72% | |||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Completed games
Sunday, June 4Finals
| Game 2 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat1-1 | 100% | 111 | |||
| Nuggets | -6.5 | 0% | 108 | ||
Quality 97 How good are these two teams | Importance 99 How much will this game affect playoff odds | Overall 98 An overall rating for this game |
Thursday, June 1Finals
| Game 1 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat | 0% | 93 | |||
| Nuggets1-0 | -6.5 | 100% | 104 | ||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Monday, May 29Conference Finals
| Game 7 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat4-3 | 100% | 103 | |||
| Celtics | -5.5 | 0% | 84 | ||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Saturday, May 27Conference Finals
| Game 6 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics3-3 | -0.5 | 100% | 104 | ||
| Heat | 0% | 103 | |||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Thursday, May 25Conference Finals
| Game 5 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heat3-2 | 0% | 97 | |||
| Celtics | -5 | 100% | 110 | ||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Tuesday, May 23Conference Finals
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celtics | 100% | 116 | |||
| Heat3-1 | -1 | 0% | 99 | ||
Quality 97 | Importance 100 | Overall 99 |
Monday, May 22Conference Finals
| Game 4 • FINAL | RAPTOR spread | Win prob. | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nuggets4-0 | 100% | 113 | |||
| Lakers | -0.5 | 0% | 111 | ||
Quality 96 | Importance 18 | Overall 57 |
Comments