The Milwaukee Bucks have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Giannis Antetokounmpo	G. Antetokounmpo		36	SAME			+3.8	+2.4
Jrue Holiday	J. Holiday		34	SAME			+2.9	+1.4
Khris Middleton	K. Middleton		28	SAME			+1.8	0.0
Brook Lopez	B. Lopez		28	SAME			-1.4	+4.2
Grayson Allen	G. Allen		25	SAME			+0.1	-0.2
Bobby Portis	B. Portis		20	SAME			0.0	0.0
Jevon Carter	J. Carter		18	SAME			-0.8	-0.2
Jae Crowder	J. Crowder		17	SAME			+0.1	+1.4
Pat Connaughton	P. Connaughton		15	SAME			0.0	+0.7
Joe Ingles	J. Ingles		6	SAME			0.0	-0.9
Wesley Matthews	W. Matthews		5	SAME			-2.2	+0.5
Goran Dragic	G. Dragic		4	SAME			-0.4	-1.5
AJ Green	A. Green		4	SAME			-0.6	-1.4
MarJon Beauchamp	M. Beauchamp		0	SAME			-3.0	-1.3
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	T. Antetokounmpo		0	SAME			-2.0	-0.8
Lindell Wigginton	L. Wigginton		0	SAME			-0.2	-1.2
Meyers Leonard	M. Leonard		0	SAME			-2.4	-0.2
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+4.2	+4.9
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			113-104
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			62
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1721
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1561). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1561). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1663
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1678

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Giannis Antetokounmpo	G. Antetokounmpo		36		+3.8	+2.4
Jrue Holiday	J. Holiday		34		+2.9	+1.4
Khris Middleton	K. Middleton		28		+1.8	0.0
Brook Lopez	B. Lopez		28		-1.4	+4.2
Grayson Allen	G. Allen		25		+0.1	-0.2
Bobby Portis	B. Portis		20		0.0	0.0
Jevon Carter	J. Carter		18		-0.8	-0.2
Jae Crowder	J. Crowder		17		+0.1	+1.4
Pat Connaughton	P. Connaughton		15		0.0	+0.7
Joe Ingles	J. Ingles		6		0.0	-0.9
Wesley Matthews	W. Matthews		5		-2.2	+0.5
Goran Dragic	G. Dragic		4		-0.4	-1.5
AJ Green	A. Green		4		-0.6	-1.4
MarJon Beauchamp	M. Beauchamp		0		-3.0	-1.3
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	T. Antetokounmpo		0		-2.0	-0.8
Lindell Wigginton	L. Wigginton		0		-0.2	-1.2
Meyers Leonard	M. Leonard		0		-2.4	-0.2
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+4.2	+4.9
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 100.1 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			113-104
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			62
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1721
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1561). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1561). The weight given to Elo — 37% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1663
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1678

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Milwaukee Bucks have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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