2022-23 NBA Predictions
Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.
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The Los Angeles Clippers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals
Roster depth chart
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
Expected minutes per game | PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||||
Paul George | P. George | 35 | SAME | +3.1 | +1.8 | ||||||||
Kawhi Leonard | K. Leonard | 33 | SAME | +4.2 | +1.7 | ||||||||
Ivica Zubac | I. Zubac | 28 | SAME | -1.7 | +1.6 | ||||||||
Terance Mann | T. Mann | 24 | SAME | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||||||
Eric Gordon | E. Gordon | 25 | SAME | -0.9 | -3.3 | ||||||||
Russell Westbrook | R. Westbrook | 18 | SAME | -0.2 | -2.1 | ||||||||
Bones Hyland | B. Hyland | 16 | SAME | +1.4 | -1.7 | ||||||||
Marcus Morris Sr. | M. Morris Sr. | 19 | SAME | -1.2 | -1.3 | ||||||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 18 | SAME | +0.3 | -1.5 | ||||||||
Robert Covington | R. Covington | 7 | SAME | -0.2 | +1.7 | ||||||||
Nicolas Batum | N. Batum | 7 | SAME | -0.6 | +1.1 | ||||||||
Brandon Boston Jr. | B. Boston Jr. | 3 | SAME | -1.3 | -1.1 | ||||||||
Mason Plumlee | M. Plumlee | 7 | SAME | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||||||
Amir Coffey | A. Coffey | 0 | SAME | -2.1 | -1.8 | ||||||||
Jason Preston | J. Preston | 0 | SAME | -0.8 | -0.7 | ||||||||
Moussa Diabate | M. Diabate | 0 | SAME | -2.6 | -1.0 | ||||||||
Xavier Moon | X. Moon | 0 | SAME | +0.3 | -0.4 | ||||||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.2 | -0.3 | |||||||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 110-108 | ||||||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 48 | ||||||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1573 | ||||||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1561 | ||||||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1578 |
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Player | Expected minutes per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||
Paul George | P. George | 35 | +3.1 | +1.8 | |||||
Kawhi Leonard | K. Leonard | 33 | +4.2 | +1.7 | |||||
Ivica Zubac | I. Zubac | 28 | -1.7 | +1.6 | |||||
Terance Mann | T. Mann | 24 | +0.2 | +0.1 | |||||
Eric Gordon | E. Gordon | 25 | -0.9 | -3.3 | |||||
Russell Westbrook | R. Westbrook | 18 | -0.2 | -2.1 | |||||
Bones Hyland | B. Hyland | 16 | +1.4 | -1.7 | |||||
Marcus Morris Sr. | M. Morris Sr. | 19 | -1.2 | -1.3 | |||||
Norman Powell | N. Powell | 18 | +0.3 | -1.5 | |||||
Robert Covington | R. Covington | 7 | -0.2 | +1.7 | |||||
Nicolas Batum | N. Batum | 7 | -0.6 | +1.1 | |||||
Brandon Boston Jr. | B. Boston Jr. | 3 | -1.3 | -1.1 | |||||
Mason Plumlee | M. Plumlee | 7 | -0.2 | +0.1 | |||||
Amir Coffey | A. Coffey | 0 | -2.1 | -1.8 | |||||
Jason Preston | J. Preston | 0 | -0.8 | -0.7 | |||||
Moussa Diabate | M. Diabate | 0 | -2.6 | -1.0 | |||||
Xavier Moon | X. Moon | 0 | +0.3 | -0.4 | |||||
Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.2 | -0.3 | |||||
Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 110-108 | ||||||
Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 48 | ||||||
Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1573 | ||||||
Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1524). The weight given to Elo — 25% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1561 | ||||||
Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1578 |
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
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