The Los Angeles Lakers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
LeBron James	L. James		40	SAME			+4.4	+0.3
Anthony Davis	A. Davis		38	SAME			+1.6	+3.7
Dennis Schroder	D. Schroder		27	SAME			-0.8	-0.2
Austin Reaves	A. Reaves		31	SAME			+1.6	+1.2
D'Angelo Russell	D. Russell		27	SAME			+2.2	-1.5
Troy Brown Jr.	T. Brown Jr.		21	SAME			-1.3	+0.2
Lonnie Walker IV	L. Walker IV		19	SAME			-1.5	-2.2
Jarred Vanderbilt	J. Vanderbilt		11	SAME			-1.1	+0.7
Rui Hachimura	R. Hachimura		11	SAME			-1.5	-0.8
Malik Beasley	M. Beasley		4	SAME			+0.3	-1.8
Mo Bamba	M. Bamba		11	SAME			-1.5	+0.1
Wenyen Gabriel	W. Gabriel		0	SAME			-1.3	+0.3
Max Christie	M. Christie		0	SAME			-3.2	-0.3
Tristan Thompson	T. Thompson		0	SAME			-2.0	-0.3
Cole Swider	C. Swider		0	SAME			-2.3	-0.3
Scotty Pippen Jr.	S. Pippen Jr.		0	SAME			-0.5	-1.1
Shaquille Harrison	S. Harrison		0	SAME			-1.9	+1.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+4.2	+1.9
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			112-105
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			55
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1647
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1592). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1592). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1628
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1646

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
LeBron James	L. James		40		+4.4	+0.3
Anthony Davis	A. Davis		38		+1.6	+3.7
Dennis Schroder	D. Schroder		27		-0.8	-0.2
Austin Reaves	A. Reaves		31		+1.6	+1.2
D'Angelo Russell	D. Russell		27		+2.2	-1.5
Troy Brown Jr.	T. Brown Jr.		21		-1.3	+0.2
Lonnie Walker IV	L. Walker IV		19		-1.5	-2.2
Jarred Vanderbilt	J. Vanderbilt		11		-1.1	+0.7
Rui Hachimura	R. Hachimura		11		-1.5	-0.8
Malik Beasley	M. Beasley		4		+0.3	-1.8
Mo Bamba	M. Bamba		11		-1.5	+0.1
Wenyen Gabriel	W. Gabriel		0		-1.3	+0.3
Max Christie	M. Christie		0		-3.2	-0.3
Tristan Thompson	T. Thompson		0		-2.0	-0.3
Cole Swider	C. Swider		0		-2.3	-0.3
Scotty Pippen Jr.	S. Pippen Jr.		0		-0.5	-1.1
Shaquille Harrison	S. Harrison		0		-1.9	+1.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+4.2	+1.9
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			112-105
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			55
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1647
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1592). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1592). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1628
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1646

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Los Angeles Lakers have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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