The Orlando Magic have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Paolo Banchero	P. Banchero		37	SAME			-1.4	-1.6
Franz Wagner	F. Wagner		36	+1			+0.6	+1.5
Cole Anthony	C. Anthony		27	+1			+1.1	-0.8
Wendell Carter Jr.	W. Carter Jr.		30	SAME			-1.3	+1.3
Markelle Fultz	M. Fultz		28	+1			0.0	-0.4
Gary Harris	G. Harris		25	+2			-0.9	-0.7
Bol Bol	B. Bol		16	SAME			-3.3	-0.6
Moritz Wagner	M. Wagner		13	SAME			-0.7	+1.1
Jalen Suggs	J. Suggs		16	+4			-0.9	+2.6
Jonathan Isaac	J. Isaac		0	-10			-1.1	+0.9
Goga Bitadze	G. Bitadze		0	SAME			-0.6	+0.4
Caleb Houstan	C. Houstan		12	+1			-2.3	-2.0
Kevon Harris	K. Harris		0	SAME			-1.5	-0.2
Chuma Okeke	C. Okeke		0	SAME			-2.6	-0.1
Admiral Schofield	A. Schofield		0	SAME			-1.7	-1.7
Michael Carter-Williams	M. Carter-Williams		0	SAME			-1.8	+1.1
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-3.1	+0.1
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			104-107
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			33
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1432
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1448). The weight given to Elo — 28% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1448). The weight given to Elo — 28% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1437
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1438

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Paolo Banchero	P. Banchero		37		-1.4	-1.6
Franz Wagner	F. Wagner		35		+0.6	+1.5
Cole Anthony	C. Anthony		26		+1.1	-0.8
Wendell Carter Jr.	W. Carter Jr.		30		-1.3	+1.3
Markelle Fultz	M. Fultz		27		0.0	-0.4
Gary Harris	G. Harris		23		-0.9	-0.7
Bol Bol	B. Bol		16		-3.3	-0.6
Moritz Wagner	M. Wagner		13		-0.7	+1.1
Jalen Suggs	J. Suggs		12		-0.9	+2.6
Jonathan Isaac	J. Isaac		10		-1.1	+0.9
Goga Bitadze	G. Bitadze		0		-0.6	+0.4
Caleb Houstan	C. Houstan		11		-2.3	-2.0
Kevon Harris	K. Harris		0		-1.5	-0.2
Chuma Okeke	C. Okeke		0		-2.6	-0.1
Admiral Schofield	A. Schofield		0		-1.7	-1.7
Michael Carter-Williams	M. Carter-Williams		0		-1.8	+1.1
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			-3.2	+0.1
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.9 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			104-107
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			33
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1431
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1448). The weight given to Elo — 27% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1448). The weight given to Elo — 27% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1435
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1436

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Orlando Magic have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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