2022-23 NBA Predictions
Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.
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The Detroit Pistons have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals
Roster depth chart
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
| Expected minutes per game | PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||||
| Cade Cunningham | C. Cunningham | 0 | -37 | -0.5 | -0.4 | ||||||||
| Isaiah Stewart | I. Stewart | 27 | SAME | -2.5 | +0.4 | ||||||||
| Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 30 | +2 | +1.0 | -2.8 | ||||||||
| Jaden Ivey | J. Ivey | 32 | +1 | -1.6 | -2.9 | ||||||||
| Marvin Bagley III | M. Bagley III | 22 | SAME | -1.5 | +0.2 | ||||||||
| Killian Hayes | K. Hayes | 27 | +4 | -2.4 | +0.4 | ||||||||
| Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 12 | SAME | -0.3 | -0.8 | ||||||||
| Isaiah Livers | I. Livers | 19 | SAME | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||||||||
| Eugene Omoruyi | E. Omoruyi | 12 | +4 | -1.9 | +0.4 | ||||||||
| Jalen Duren | J. Duren | 12 | +3 | -2.1 | +0.1 | ||||||||
| Cory Joseph | C. Joseph | 13 | +12 | -0.6 | -0.6 | ||||||||
| Alec Burks | A. Burks | 14 | +6 | +1.7 | +0.5 | ||||||||
| Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 9 | +2 | -1.1 | +2.0 | ||||||||
| James Wiseman | J. Wiseman | 11 | +3 | -3.5 | -2.4 | ||||||||
| Buddy Boeheim | B. Boeheim | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -1.4 | ||||||||
| Jared Rhoden | J. Rhoden | 0 | SAME | -1.7 | -0.3 | ||||||||
| R.J. Hampton | R. Hampton | 0 | SAME | -2.0 | -1.7 | ||||||||
| Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -5.7 | -3.1 | |||||||||
| Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 98.8 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 101-110 | ||||||||||
| Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 21 | ||||||||||
| Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1292 | ||||||||||
| Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1271). The weight given to Elo — 14% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1271). The weight given to Elo — 14% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1289 | ||||||||||
| Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1291 | ||||||||||
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
| PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Expected minutes per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||
| Cade Cunningham | C. Cunningham | 37 | -0.5 | -0.4 | |||||
| Isaiah Stewart | I. Stewart | 27 | -2.5 | +0.4 | |||||
| Bojan Bogdanovic | B. Bogdanovic | 28 | +1.0 | -2.8 | |||||
| Jaden Ivey | J. Ivey | 31 | -1.6 | -2.9 | |||||
| Marvin Bagley III | M. Bagley III | 22 | -1.5 | +0.2 | |||||
| Killian Hayes | K. Hayes | 23 | -2.4 | +0.4 | |||||
| Rodney McGruder | R. McGruder | 12 | -0.3 | -0.8 | |||||
| Isaiah Livers | I. Livers | 19 | -1.8 | -0.1 | |||||
| Eugene Omoruyi | E. Omoruyi | 8 | -1.9 | +0.4 | |||||
| Jalen Duren | J. Duren | 9 | -2.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Cory Joseph | C. Joseph | 1 | -0.6 | -0.6 | |||||
| Alec Burks | A. Burks | 8 | +1.7 | +0.5 | |||||
| Hamidou Diallo | H. Diallo | 7 | -1.1 | +2.0 | |||||
| James Wiseman | J. Wiseman | 8 | -3.5 | -2.4 | |||||
| Buddy Boeheim | B. Boeheim | 0 | -1.2 | -1.4 | |||||
| Jared Rhoden | J. Rhoden | 0 | -1.7 | -0.3 | |||||
| R.J. Hampton | R. Hampton | 0 | -2.0 | -1.7 | |||||
| Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | -5.4 | -3.1 | |||||
| Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 102-111 | ||||||
| Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 21 | ||||||
| Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1298 | ||||||
| Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1271). The weight given to Elo — 2% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1271). The weight given to Elo — 2% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1297 | ||||||
| Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1299 | ||||||
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
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