2022-23 NBA Predictions
Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.
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The Toronto Raptors have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals
Roster depth chart
A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.
| Expected minutes per game | PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | Exp. min. per game | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | TOTAL | vs. full strength | vs. full strength | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||||
| Pascal Siakam | P. Siakam | 39 | SAME | +1.5 | -0.7 | ||||||||
| Scottie Barnes | S. Barnes | 38 | SAME | +0.4 | +0.7 | ||||||||
| O.G. Anunoby | O. Anunoby | 36 | SAME | -0.1 | +1.7 | ||||||||
| Jakob Poeltl | J. Poeltl | 28 | SAME | +0.3 | +1.7 | ||||||||
| Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 39 | SAME | +3.3 | +1.4 | ||||||||
| Gary Trent Jr. | G. Trent Jr. | 22 | +1 | +0.7 | -0.6 | ||||||||
| Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 16 | +1 | +0.2 | +0.4 | ||||||||
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | J. Dowtin Jr. | 8 | SAME | -0.5 | -0.7 | ||||||||
| Precious Achiuwa | P. Achiuwa | 5 | +1 | -2.1 | +0.6 | ||||||||
| Otto Porter Jr. | O. Porter Jr. | 0 | -4 | +0.3 | +0.8 | ||||||||
| Christian Koloko | C. Koloko | 4 | SAME | -2.5 | +1.6 | ||||||||
| Thaddeus Young | T. Young | 5 | +1 | -1.1 | +0.6 | ||||||||
| Will Barton | W. Barton | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -2.4 | ||||||||
| Dalano Banton | D. Banton | 0 | SAME | -1.2 | -0.3 | ||||||||
| Malachi Flynn | M. Flynn | 0 | SAME | -0.5 | -1.3 | ||||||||
| Joe Wieskamp | J. Wieskamp | 0 | SAME | -0.6 | -1.1 | ||||||||
| Ron Harper Jr. | R. Harper Jr. | 0 | SAME | -1.3 | -0.8 | ||||||||
| Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.7 | +3.1 | |||||||||
| Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 109-103 | ||||||||||
| Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 57 | ||||||||||
| Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1664 | ||||||||||
| Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1560). The weight given to Elo — 30% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1560). The weight given to Elo — 30% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1632 | ||||||||||
| Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1638 | ||||||||||
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
| PROJECTED PLAYER RATING | PROJ. PLAYER RATING | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player | Expected minutes per game | Off. +/- | Def. +/- | ||||||
| Pascal Siakam | P. Siakam | 39 | +1.5 | -0.7 | |||||
| Scottie Barnes | S. Barnes | 38 | +0.4 | +0.7 | |||||
| O.G. Anunoby | O. Anunoby | 36 | -0.1 | +1.7 | |||||
| Jakob Poeltl | J. Poeltl | 28 | +0.3 | +1.7 | |||||
| Fred VanVleet | F. VanVleet | 39 | +3.3 | +1.4 | |||||
| Gary Trent Jr. | G. Trent Jr. | 21 | +0.7 | -0.6 | |||||
| Chris Boucher | C. Boucher | 15 | +0.2 | +0.4 | |||||
| Jeff Dowtin Jr. | J. Dowtin Jr. | 8 | -0.5 | -0.7 | |||||
| Precious Achiuwa | P. Achiuwa | 4 | -2.1 | +0.6 | |||||
| Otto Porter Jr. | O. Porter Jr. | 4 | +0.3 | +0.8 | |||||
| Christian Koloko | C. Koloko | 4 | -2.5 | +1.6 | |||||
| Thaddeus Young | T. Young | 4 | -1.1 | +0.6 | |||||
| Will Barton | W. Barton | 0 | -1.2 | -2.4 | |||||
| Dalano Banton | D. Banton | 0 | -1.2 | -0.3 | |||||
| Malachi Flynn | M. Flynn | 0 | -0.5 | -1.3 | |||||
| Joe Wieskamp | J. Wieskamp | 0 | -0.6 | -1.1 | |||||
| Ron Harper Jr. | R. Harper Jr. | 0 | -1.3 | -0.8 | |||||
| Rotation ratings | First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league. | +3.7 | +3.1 | |||||
| Points per game | We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 97.3 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team. | 109-103 | ||||||
| Rotation wins | We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength. | 57 | ||||||
| Rotation rating | Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average. | 1667 | ||||||
| Team rating | We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1560). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1560). The weight given to Elo — 31% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games. | 1633 | ||||||
| Playoff rating | Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster. | 1639 | ||||||
Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.
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