The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

A team’s current rotation accounts for recent injuries and other player activity; the full-strength rotation does not.

		Expected minutes per game				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING		Exp. min. per game	PROJ. PLAYER RATING
Player		TOTAL	vs. full strength		vs. full strength		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Karl-Anthony Towns	K. Towns		35	SAME			+1.6	+0.1
Anthony Edwards	A. Edwards		39	SAME			+2.2	+0.2
Mike Conley	M. Conley		30	SAME			+2.0	+0.2
Rudy Gobert	R. Gobert		34	SAME			-1.3	+4.3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	N. Alexander-Walker		17	SAME			-0.3	+1.3
Kyle Anderson	K. Anderson		26	SAME			-0.3	+1.2
Jaden McDaniels	J. McDaniels		28	SAME			-0.9	+1.2
Jordan McLaughlin	J. McLaughlin		14	SAME			+0.3	+0.2
Naz Reid	N. Reid		3	SAME			-1.5	+0.5
Taurean Prince	T. Prince		4	SAME			-1.5	-0.6
Jaylen Nowell	J. Nowell		10	SAME			+0.7	-2.0
Austin Rivers	A. Rivers		0	SAME			-1.6	-1.9
Josh Minott	J. Minott		0	SAME			-2.1	+0.4
Luka Garza	L. Garza		0	SAME			-0.3	-1.0
Wendell Moore Jr.	W. Moore Jr.		0	SAME			-2.1	-0.5
Matt Ryan	M. Ryan		0	SAME			-2.1	-0.9
Nathan Knight	N. Knight		0	SAME			-1.7	-0.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.					Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+2.3	+4.4
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.					Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			110-104
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.					Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			57
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.					Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1663
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1520). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.					Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1520). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1615
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.					Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1621

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

				PROJECTED PLAYER RATING
Player		Expected minutes per game		Off. +/-	Def. +/-
Karl-Anthony Towns	K. Towns		35		+1.6	+0.1
Anthony Edwards	A. Edwards		39		+2.2	+0.2
Mike Conley	M. Conley		30		+2.0	+0.2
Rudy Gobert	R. Gobert		34		-1.3	+4.3
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	N. Alexander-Walker		17		-0.3	+1.3
Kyle Anderson	K. Anderson		26		-0.3	+1.2
Jaden McDaniels	J. McDaniels		28		-0.9	+1.2
Jordan McLaughlin	J. McLaughlin		14		+0.3	+0.2
Naz Reid	N. Reid		3		-1.5	+0.5
Taurean Prince	T. Prince		4		-1.5	-0.6
Jaylen Nowell	J. Nowell		10		+0.7	-2.0
Austin Rivers	A. Rivers		0		-1.6	-1.9
Josh Minott	J. Minott		0		-2.1	+0.4
Luka Garza	L. Garza		0		-0.3	-1.0
Wendell Moore Jr.	W. Moore Jr.		0		-2.1	-0.5
Matt Ryan	M. Ryan		0		-2.1	-0.9
Nathan Knight	N. Knight		0		-1.7	-0.4
Rotation ratings	First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			Rotation ratings First, we take a minute-weighted average of the player ratings to get a measure of team efficiency per 100 possessions, relative to the league.			+2.3	+4.4
Points per game	We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			Points per game We combine the team’s efficiency with its pace — 99.6 possessions per game — to project the score of a game against an average NBA team.			110-104
Rotation wins	We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			Rotation wins We use these projected scores to estimate this rotation’s expected wins in an 82-game season, assuming an average schedule strength.			57
Rotation rating	Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			Rotation rating Then we convert the rotation’s expected wins into a score for team strength — 1500 is about average.			1663
Team rating	We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1520). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			Team rating We blend the rotation rating with the team’s current Elo rating (1520). The weight given to Elo — 34% — is based on this lineup's similarity to the team's lineups in recent games.			1615
Playoff rating	Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			Playoff rating Finally, we adjust the team’s rating based on the amount of playoff experience on the roster.			1621

Rosters may include players currently assigned to G League teams.

Team rating

At full strength vs. with its current rotation

Full-strength rotation

Current rotation

Current

2022-23 NBA Predictions

Team ratings, game schedule, playoff odds and in-game win probabilities, updating live.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have a 0% chance of winning the NBA Finals

Roster depth chart

Team rating

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