PUBLISHED Nov. 4, 2024, at 3:00 PM

How To Tell Who's On Track To Win Ohio On Election Night

538's benchmarks estimate how well candidates need to do in each county.

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President
Senate
Margin
2020 vote share
Show benchmarks as:
County
Benchmark
% of 2020 vote
Adams
00
00
Allen
00
00
Ashland
00
00
Ashtabula
00
00
Athens
00
00
Auglaize
00
00
Belmont
00
00
Brown
00
00
Butler
00
00
Carroll
00
00
Champaign
00
00
Clark
00
00
Clermont
00
00
Clinton
00
00
Columbiana
00
00
Coshocton
00
00
Crawford
00
00
Cuyahoga
00
00
Darke
00
00
Defiance
00
00
Delaware
00
00
Erie
00
00
Fairfield
00
00
Fayette
00
00
Franklin
00
00
Fulton
00
00
Gallia
00
00
Geauga
00
00
Greene
00
00
Guernsey
00
00
Hamilton
00
00
Hancock
00
00
Hardin
00
00
Harrison
00
00
Henry
00
00
Highland
00
00
Hocking
00
00
Holmes
00
00
Huron
00
00
Jackson
00
00
Jefferson
00
00
Knox
00
00
Lake
00
00
Lawrence
00
00
Licking
00
00
Logan
00
00
Lorain
00
00
Lucas
00
00
Madison
00
00
Mahoning
00
00
Marion
00
00
Medina
00
00
Meigs
00
00
Mercer
00
00
Miami
00
00
Monroe
00
00
Montgomery
00
00
Morgan
00
00
Morrow
00
00
Muskingum
00
00
Noble
00
00
Ottawa
00
00
Paulding
00
00
Perry
00
00
Pickaway
00
00
Pike
00
00
Portage
00
00
Preble
00
00
Putnam
00
00
Richland
00
00
Ross
00
00
Sandusky
00
00
Scioto
00
00
Seneca
00
00
Shelby
00
00
Stark
00
00
Summit
00
00
Trumbull
00
00
Tuscarawas
00
00
Union
00
00
Van Wert
00
00
Vinton
00
00
Warren
00
00
Washington
00
00
Wayne
00
00
Williams
00
00
Wood
00
00
Wyandot
00
00
President
Senate

Ohio's 2022 election for U.S. Senate is the reference race for the state's benchmark calculations.