BackGet more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Do Not Sell My Info
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
Democratic representative for Arizona’s 2nd district
Biden’s share of the vote in the 2020 election minus Trump’s
How often Kirkpatrick votes in line with Biden’s position
Difference between Kirkpatrick’s actual and predicted Biden support scores
| Biden margin | Biden score | Biden plus-minus |
|---|---|---|
| Biden’s share of the vote in the 2020 election minus Trump’s | How often Kirkpatrick votes in line with Biden’s position | Difference between Kirkpatrick’s actual and predicted Biden support scores |
+10.6% | 100.0% | +8.6 |
| Date | Measure | Biden position | Kirkpatrick vote | Agree with Biden? | Predicted chance of voting with Biden | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 29 | Suspending the debt limit through December 16, 2022 (219-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes |  | 91.3% | +8.7 |
| Sept. 24 | Protecting the right to an abortion and health care providers’ ability to provide abortion services (218-211) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.5% | +6.5 |
| Sept. 21 | Extending government funding and raising the debt ceiling (220-211) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| Aug. 24 | Strengthening the Voting Rights Act (219-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| Aug. 24 | $3.5 trillion budget plan (220-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| July 29 | Providing emergency funding for Capitol security in response to the Jan. 6 attack and for the expansion of the Afghan visa program (416-11) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 97.6% | +2.4 |
| July 28 | Making appropriations for the State Department, foreign operations and related programs (217-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 69.2% | +30.8 |
| July 22 | Increasing the number of and expediting the process for visas available to Afghans who worked on behalf of the U.S. government in Afghanistan (407-16) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 98.3% | +1.7 |
| July 21 | Requiring the Environmental Protection Agency to implement regulations around certain chemicals (241-183) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 89.3% | +10.7 |
| July 20 | Allowing the Federal Trade Commission to recover money for victims of illegal business practices (221-205) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.5% | +11.5 |
| July 1 | Providing money for transportation and water infrastructure (221-201) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| June 25 | Repealing an Environmental Protection Agency rule that removed limits on methane leaks (229-191) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.1% | +6.9 |
| June 24 | Providing contraceptives to veterans without co-pays (245-181) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.3% | +6.7 |
| June 24 | Repealing a rule that changed the workplace discrimination settlement process (219-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| June 24 | Repealing a rule that allowed borrowers to get loans at interest rates above the limit set by their state (218-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.6% | +7.4 |
| June 23 | Protecting older employees from workplace discrimination (247-178) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.8% | +5.2 |
| June 17 | Repealing the 2002 authorization of military force against Iraq (268-161) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 82.9% | +17.1 |
| May 20 | Providing money for Capitol security in response to the Jan. 6 attack (213-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 67.0% | +33.0 |
| May 19 | Establishing a commission to investigate the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol (252-175) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.7% | +11.3 |
| May 18 | Taking steps to combat hate crimes against Asian Americans during the COVID-19 pandemic (364-62) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 96.5% | +3.5 |
| May 14 | Protecting pregnant employees from workplace discrimination (315-101) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.3% | +5.7 |
| May 13 | Providing consumers with debt-related protections (215-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.2% | +6.8 |
| April 22 | Admitting Washington, D.C., as a state (216-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| April 21 | Requiring that people detained while trying to enter the country have access to legal counsel (217-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| April 21 | Limiting the president's authority over immigration restrictions (218-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 95.0% | +5.0 |
| April 16 | Requiring health care and social service employers to have plans for preventing workplace violence (254-166) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.8% | +11.2 |
| April 15 | Strengthening rules against wage discrimination (217-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 95.0% | +5.0 |
| March 18 | Allowing farmworkers to get legal immigration status (247-174) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 89.6% | +10.4 |
| March 18 | Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (228-197) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.5% | +6.5 |
| March 17 | Reauthorizing the Violence Against Women Act (244-172) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.5% | +9.5 |
| March 11 | Increasing the waiting period for federal gun background checks (219-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.7% | +5.3 |
| March 11 | Requiring background checks for all gun sales (227-203) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.7% | +6.3 |
| March 10 | Providing $1.9 trillion for COVID-19 relief (220-211) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.7% | +5.3 |
| March 9 | Expanding unionization and collective bargaining rights (225-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.4% | +5.6 |
| March 3 | Expanding voting rights, changing campaign finance regulations and strengthening ethics rules (220-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 87.6% | +12.4 |
| March 3 | Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (220-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.9% | +9.1 |
| Feb. 26 | Protecting wilderness areas in Colorado, California, Washington and Arizona from development (227-200) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.8% | +7.2 |
| Feb. 25 | Prohibiting discrimination because of sex, gender identity and sexual orientation (224-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 95.3% | +4.7 |
| Jan. 21 | Waiver allowing Lloyd Austin to become secretary of defense (326-78) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 84.5% | +15.5 |
| Average | 100.0% | 91.4% | +8.6 | |||
Comments