BackGet more FiveThirtyEight
- Terms of Use
- Privacy Policy
- Do Not Sell My Info
- Your California Privacy Rights
- Children's Online Privacy Policy
- Interest-Based Ads
© 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. All rights reserved.
Democratic representative for Arizona’s 2nd district
Biden’s share of the vote in the 2020 election minus Trump’s
How often Kirkpatrick votes in line with Biden’s position
Difference between Kirkpatrick’s actual and predicted Biden support scores
| Biden margin | Biden score | Biden plus-minus |
|---|---|---|
| Biden’s share of the vote in the 2020 election minus Trump’s | How often Kirkpatrick votes in line with Biden’s position | Difference between Kirkpatrick’s actual and predicted Biden support scores |
+10.6% | 100.0% | +9.9 |
| Date | Measure | Biden position | Kirkpatrick vote | Agree with Biden? | Predicted chance of voting with Biden | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 1 | Requiring the Bureau of Prisons to provide incarcerated women with certain pregnancy-related care and limiting the use of solitary confinement for pregnant women (324-90) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes |  | 92.3% | +7.7 |
| Dec. 1 | Establishing grants for reentry programs for previously incarcerated people (259-167) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 87.0% | +13.0 |
| Nov. 30 | Requiring certain railroad and labor organizations to accept a labor agreement (290-137) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 80.5% | +19.5 |
| Nov. 16 | Prohibiting the enforcement of nondisclosure agreements and nondisparagement clauses agreed to before a sexual assault or harassment dispute arises (315-109) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 91.1% | +8.9 |
| Sept. 30 | Extending government funding and providing money for economic and security assistance to Ukraine (230-201) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 80.7% | +19.3 |
| Sept. 29 | Modifying merger filing fees and requiring disclosure of foreign merger subsidies (242-184) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 68.2% | +31.8 |
| Sept. 29 | Expanding access to mental and substance use health services (220-205) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.4% | +6.6 |
| Sept. 22 | Providing money for law enforcement agencies to investigate unsolved homicides and nonfatal shootings (250-178) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.1% | +11.9 |
| Sept. 22 | Providing money for anti-violence programs (220-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.4% | +6.6 |
| Sept. 22 | Providing money for local governments to train mental health professionals and send them instead of law enforcement officers to respond to emergencies involving people with behavioral health needs (223-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.9% | +6.1 |
| Sept. 22 | Authorizing grants for law enforcement agencies with fewer than 125 officers (360-64) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.3% | +11.7 |
| Sept. 21 | Revising the process of casting and counting electoral votes for presidential elections (229-203) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 85.7% | +14.3 |
| Sept. 21 | Allowing federal student loan borrowers to separate consolidated loans (232-193) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 91.4% | +8.6 |
| Sept. 15 | Establishing and expanding whistleblower protections for federal employees (221-203) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.2% | +6.8 |
| Sept. 15 | Establishing greater congressional oversight of the U.S. Census Bureau and prohibiting the removal of the bureau director without cause (220-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.6% | +7.4 |
| Sept. 15 | Prohibiting certain federal positions from losing civil-service status (225-204) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 87.8% | +12.2 |
| Aug. 12 | Allowing Medicare to negotiate prescription drug prices; extending Affordable Care Act subsidies; expanding tax credits for renewable and clean energy efforts; establishing a 15 percent corporate minimum tax; and other measures (220-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.3% | +6.7 |
| July 29 | Revising restrictions on the possession and exhibition of big cats (278-134) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.3% | +9.7 |
| July 29 | Establishing wildfire preparedness and drought resiliency programs (218-199) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.7% | +7.3 |
| July 29 | Prohibiting the sale, manufacture, transfer and possession of certain semiautomatic assault weapons and large-capacity magazines (217-213) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 89.9% | +10.1 |
| July 28 | Supporting the domestic production of semiconductors (243-187) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 84.4% | +15.6 |
| July 27 | Extending certain Medicare telehealth flexibilities after the end of the COVID-19 public health emergency (416-12) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 98.8% | +1.2 |
| July 27 | Establishing programs to support heart-disease research and awareness among the South Asian American population (237-192) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 85.0% | +15.0 |
| July 27 | Restoring full pension benefits terminated by Delphi Corporation's bankruptcy in 2009 (254-175) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 80.7% | +19.3 |
| July 21 | Protecting the right to access and use contraceptives (228-195) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 87.4% | +12.6 |
| July 20 | Authorizing appropriations to several federal departments and agencies for fiscal year 2023 (220-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.3% | +6.7 |
| July 19 | Repealing the Defense of Marriage Act and requiring states to recognize same-sex and interracial marriages performed out-of-state (267-157) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.1% | +7.9 |
| July 15 | Prohibiting restrictions on access to out-of-state abortion services (223-205) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.3% | +7.7 |
| July 15 | Prohibiting restrictions on access to abortion services (219-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.6% | +7.4 |
| July 14 | Authorizing Department of Defense appropriations for fiscal year 2023 (329-101) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 76.7% | +23.3 |
| July 13 | Establishing the Active Shooter Alert Communications Network (260-169) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 86.5% | +13.5 |
| June 24 | Expanding firearm regulations (234-193) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.2% | +11.8 |
| June 23 | Improving the collection of data related to sexual orientation and gender identity (220-201) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.7% | +7.3 |
| June 22 | Establishing and funding agency for innovations in health care (336-85) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| June 22 | Reauthorizing mental health and substance use disorder programs (402-20) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 98.1% | +1.9 |
| June 16 | Developing strategies to lower food and fuel costs (221-204) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 78.3% | +21.7 |
| June 15 | Expanding access to credit, mortgage and banking services (215-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 91.6% | +8.4 |
| June 14 | Providing funding for the conservation of fish and wildlife (231-190) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 84.3% | +15.7 |
| June 9 | Allowing federal courts to temporarily prohibit individuals from purchasing and possessing firearms (224-202) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.9% | +9.1 |
| June 8 | Changing federal firearms laws, including prohibiting sales of certain weapons to people under 21 years old (223-204) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 89.6% | +10.4 |
| May 18 | Expanding the availability of information on domestic terrorism (222-203) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.1% | +7.9 |
| May 17 | Expanding employment and training programs (220-196) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| May 13 | Reauthorizing block grants for antipoverty activities (246-169) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 83.0% | +17.0 |
| May 12 | Making Transportation Security Administration employees part of the standard federal personnel management system (220-201) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 96.0% | +4.0 |
| May 11 | Making it easier for federally employed firefighters to get workers' compensation (288-131) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.6% | +9.4 |
| March 31 | Capping out-of-pocket insulin costs (232-193) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.7% | +9.3 |
| March 18 | Prohibiting discrimination based on a person's hair texture or style (235-189) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.8% | +11.2 |
| March 17 | Prohibiting certain forced arbitration clauses (222-209) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.2% | +11.8 |
| March 9 | The 2022 fiscal year appropriations bill (260-171) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.8% | +11.2 |
| March 3 | Expanding health care eligibility for veterans exposed to toxic substances (256-174) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 85.7% | +14.3 |
| Feb. 9 | Imposing visa restrictions on foreign people found responsible for human rights violations related to someone's sexual orientation, gender identity, gender expression or sex characteristics (227-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.6% | +5.4 |
| Feb. 8 | Improving the U.S. Postal Service's finances, services and transparency (342-92) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.1% | +6.9 |
| Feb. 7 | Ending forced arbitration for sexual assault and sexual harrassment cases (335-97) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.3% | +7.7 |
| Feb. 4 | Providing money for semiconductor manufacturing, supply chain improvements and scientific research (222-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.9% | +9.1 |
| Jan. 13 | Strengthening the Voting Rights Act, campaign finance regulations and election administration rules (220-203) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.3% | +5.7 |
| Jan. 12 | Expanding GI Bill eligibility for National Guard and Reserve members (287-135) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 86.7% | +13.3 |
| Dec. 15, 2021 | Increasing the debt limit (221-209) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.2% | +7.8 |
| Dec. 14, 2021 | Creating a State Department position to monitor and combat Islamophobia around the world (219-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.1% | +5.9 |
| Dec. 9, 2021 | Limiting the power of the executive branch and increasing disclosure requirements for presidential and vice presidential candidates (220-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.1% | +7.9 |
| Dec. 2, 2021 | Extending government funding (221-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.4% | +7.6 |
| Nov. 19, 2021 | Providing money to expand social safety programs, fight climate change and lower health care costs (220-213) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.8% | +5.2 |
| Nov. 5, 2021 | Providing money for transportation, utility and environmental infrastructure (228-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 66.7% | +33.3 |
| Nov. 4, 2021 | Protecting older job applicants from discrimination in the hiring process (224-200) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.5% | +7.5 |
| Oct. 26, 2021 | Reauthorizing and expanding funding for preventing domestic violence (228-200) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.5% | +9.5 |
| Oct. 22, 2021 | Expanding workplace requirements for breastfeeding accommodations (276-149) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.8% | +7.2 |
| Sept. 29, 2021 | Suspending the debt limit through December 16, 2022 (219-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 91.3% | +8.7 |
| Sept. 24, 2021 | Protecting the right to an abortion and health care providers’ ability to provide abortion services (218-211) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.5% | +6.5 |
| Sept. 21, 2021 | Extending government funding and raising the debt ceiling (220-211) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| Aug. 24, 2021 | Strengthening the Voting Rights Act (219-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| Aug. 24, 2021 | $3.5 trillion budget plan (220-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| July 29, 2021 | Providing emergency funding for Capitol security in response to the Jan. 6 attack and for the expansion of the Afghan visa program (416-11) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 97.6% | +2.4 |
| July 28, 2021 | Making appropriations for the State Department, foreign operations and related programs (217-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 69.2% | +30.8 |
| July 22, 2021 | Increasing the number of and expediting the process for visas available to Afghans who worked on behalf of the U.S. government in Afghanistan (407-16) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 98.3% | +1.7 |
| July 21, 2021 | Requiring the Environmental Protection Agency to implement regulations around certain chemicals (241-183) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 89.3% | +10.7 |
| July 20, 2021 | Allowing the Federal Trade Commission to recover money for victims of illegal business practices (221-205) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.5% | +11.5 |
| July 1, 2021 | Providing money for transportation and water infrastructure (221-201) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| June 25, 2021 | Repealing an Environmental Protection Agency rule that removed limits on methane leaks (229-191) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.1% | +6.9 |
| June 24, 2021 | Providing contraceptives to veterans without co-pays (245-181) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.3% | +6.7 |
| June 24, 2021 | Repealing a rule that changed the workplace discrimination settlement process (219-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| June 24, 2021 | Repealing a rule that allowed borrowers to get loans at interest rates above the limit set by their state (218-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.6% | +7.4 |
| June 23, 2021 | Protecting older employees from workplace discrimination (247-178) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.8% | +5.2 |
| June 17, 2021 | Repealing the 2002 authorization of military force against Iraq (268-161) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 82.9% | +17.1 |
| May 20, 2021 | Providing money for Capitol security in response to the Jan. 6 attack (213-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 67.0% | +33.0 |
| May 19, 2021 | Establishing a commission to investigate the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol (252-175) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.7% | +11.3 |
| May 18, 2021 | Taking steps to combat hate crimes against Asian Americans during the COVID-19 pandemic (364-62) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 96.5% | +3.5 |
| May 14, 2021 | Protecting pregnant employees from workplace discrimination (315-101) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.3% | +5.7 |
| May 13, 2021 | Providing consumers with debt-related protections (215-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.2% | +6.8 |
| April 22, 2021 | Admitting Washington, D.C., as a state (216-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| April 21, 2021 | Requiring that people detained while trying to enter the country have access to legal counsel (217-207) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.2% | +5.8 |
| April 21, 2021 | Limiting the president's authority over immigration restrictions (218-208) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 95.0% | +5.0 |
| April 16, 2021 | Requiring health care and social service employers to have plans for preventing workplace violence (254-166) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 88.8% | +11.2 |
| April 15, 2021 | Strengthening rules against wage discrimination (217-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 95.0% | +5.0 |
| March 18, 2021 | Allowing farmworkers to get legal immigration status (247-174) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 89.6% | +10.4 |
| March 18, 2021 | Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (228-197) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.5% | +6.5 |
| March 17, 2021 | Reauthorizing the Violence Against Women Act (244-172) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.5% | +9.5 |
| March 11, 2021 | Increasing the waiting period for federal gun background checks (219-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.7% | +5.3 |
| March 11, 2021 | Requiring background checks for all gun sales (227-203) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 93.7% | +6.3 |
| March 10, 2021 | Providing $1.9 trillion for COVID-19 relief (220-211) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.7% | +5.3 |
| March 9, 2021 | Expanding unionization and collective bargaining rights (225-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 94.4% | +5.6 |
| March 3, 2021 | Expanding voting rights, changing campaign finance regulations and strengthening ethics rules (220-210) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 87.6% | +12.4 |
| March 3, 2021 | Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (220-212) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 90.9% | +9.1 |
| Feb. 26, 2021 | Protecting wilderness areas in Colorado, California, Washington and Arizona from development (227-200) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 92.8% | +7.2 |
| Feb. 25, 2021 | Prohibiting discrimination because of sex, gender identity and sexual orientation (224-206) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 95.3% | +4.7 |
| Jan. 21, 2021 | Waiver allowing Lloyd Austin to become secretary of defense (326-78) Ann Kirkpatrick's Vote: Yes | support | Yes | | 84.5% | +15.5 |
| Average | 100.0% | 90.1% | +9.9 | |||
Comments