UPDATED Jun. 26, 2018 at 2:00 PM

2018-19 CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Every team’s Elo history About our 2018-19 player projections

These projections are from an earlier season. See our latest CARMELO projections

			Percentile
Height	7'0"
Weight	280
Draft position	90

Scoring
True shooting %	67%
Usage %	18%

Tendencies
3 pt. frequency	0%
FT frequency	15%

Passing/ball handling
Assist %	2%
Turnover %	16%

Defense/rebounding
Rebound %	23%
Block %	11.5%
Steal %	0.7%

* FiveThirtyEight's Career-Arc Regression Model Estimator with Local Optimization (CARMELO) is a system that forecasts a player‘s future performance. The similarity score is an index measuring how comparable one player is to another, scaled such that a score of zero is average similarity and 100 is the highest possible degree of similarity. Plus-minus is derived from Box Plus/Minus, a measure of the number of points per 100 possessions that a player contributed to his team, relative to an average NBA player. All player ages are as of Feb. 1, 2019. Read More »

Sources: Basketball-Reference.com, ESPN, NBA.com and Jeremias Engelmann.

Design and development by Allison McCann and Aaron Bycoffe. Statistical model by Nate Silver. Additional contributions by Neil Paine.

2018-19 CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

Doral Moore

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2018-19 CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

Doral Moore

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