UPDATED Jun. 26, 2018 at 2:00 PM

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Every team’s Elo historyAbout our 2018-19 player projections

How good will
be?
Random player
Pick a player:
Random player

Al Jefferson

  • Pacers
  • Indiana Pacers
  • Center
  • 34 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'10"
Weight280
Draft position15
Scoring
True shooting %54%
Free throw %79%
Usage %24%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency<1%
FT frequency18%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %11%
Turnover %7%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %17%
Block %3.1%
Steal %1.4%
Defensive +/-+0.5
Wins above replacement projection
Category:
5-yr market value:

Confidence interval

Projection

Comments