UPDATED 2:00 pm EDT | Jul 7, 2016

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

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RANDOM PLAYER
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Al Jefferson

  • Hornets
  • Charlotte Hornets
  • Center
  • 32 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'10"
Weight265
Draft position15
Scoring
True shooting %51%
Free throw %66%
Usage %26%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency<1%
FT frequency20%
Passing/Ball Handling
Assist %12%
Turnover %6%
Defense/Rebounding
Rebound %15%
Block %3.0%
Steal %1.3%
Defensive +/-+1.4
Wins Above Replacement Projection

Confidence interval

Projection

Category:
5-yr market value:

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