UPDATED 2:00 pm EDT | Jul 7, 2016

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

How good will
be?
RANDOM PLAYER
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Josh Smith

  • Rockets
  • Houston Rockets
  • Power Forward
  • 31 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'9"
Weight225
Draft position17
Scoring
True shooting %45%
Free throw %52%
Usage %24%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency31%
FT frequency22%
Passing/Ball Handling
Assist %18%
Turnover %16%
Defense/Rebounding
Rebound %12%
Block %4.0%
Steal %1.9%
Defensive +/-+1.9
Wins Above Replacement Projection

Confidence interval

Projection

Category:
5-yr market value:

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