UPDATED Jun. 26, 2018 at 2:00 PM

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Every team’s Elo historyAbout our 2018-19 player projections

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Nerlens Noel

  • Thunder
  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Center
  • 24 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'11"
Weight220
Draft position6
Scoring
True shooting %58%
Free throw %70%
Usage %16%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency<1%
FT frequency32%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %8%
Turnover %16%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %18%
Block %4.1%
Steal %3.2%
Defensive +/-+3.0
Wins above replacement projection
Category:
5-yr market value:

Confidence interval

Projection

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