UPDATED Jul. 8, 2019 at 10:30 AM

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Every team’s Elo historyOur 2019-20 NBA predictions

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Nerlens Noel

Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'11"
Weight220
Draft position6
Scoring
True shooting %60%
Free throw %67%
Usage %14%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency<1%
FT frequency28%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %6%
Turnover %15%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %17%
Block %6.4%
Steal %3.0%
Defensive +/-+3.9
Wins above replacement projection
Category:
5-yr market value:

Confidence interval

Projection

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