UPDATED 3:15 pm EDT | Jun 29

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like. How this works »

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Nerlens Noel

  • Mavericks
  • Dallas Mavericks
  • Center
  • 23 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'11"
Weight228
Draft position6
Scoring
True shooting %58%
Free throw %65%
Usage %18%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency<1%
FT frequency37%
Passing/Ball Handling
Assist %9%
Turnover %15%
Defense/Rebounding
Rebound %15%
Block %4.2%
Steal %3.0%
Defensive +/-+3.0
Wins Above Replacement Projection

Confidence interval

Projection

Category:
5-yr market value:

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