UPDATED Jun. 26, 2018 at 2:00 PM

CARMELO NBA Player Projections

FiveThirtyEight’s CARMELO* identifies similar players throughout NBA history and uses them to develop a probabilistic forecast of what a current NBA player’s future might look like.

More NBA:Every team’s Elo historyAbout our 2018-19 player projections

How good will
be?
Random player
Pick a player:
Random player

Terrance Ferguson

  • Thunder
  • Oklahoma City Thunder
  • Shooting Guard
  • 20 years old
Weighted average of past three seasons
Bad
Avg.
Good
Percentile
Vitals50th
Height6'7"
Weight184
Draft position21
Scoring
True shooting %55%
Free throw %90%
Usage %10%
Tendencies
3 pt. frequency71%
FT frequency6%
Passing/ball handling
Assist %3%
Turnover %6%
Defense/rebounding
Rebound %3%
Block %1.2%
Steal %1.6%
Defensive +/--2.1
Wins above replacement projection
Category:
5-yr market value:

Confidence interval

Projection

Comments