UPDATED Oct. 16, 2018 at 12:18 PM

AreWinning The Generic Ballot?

An updating estimate of the congressional generic ballot, based on polls that ask people which party they would support in an election.

All polls

KEY

ESTIMATE

90% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

This chart reflects changes to our methodology made on Sept. 6, 2018. See the data as originally published.This chart reflects estimates made before our methodology changes on Sept. 6, 2018. See the latest data.
DATES
POLLSTER
GRADESAMPLE
WEIGHT
R
Republican
D
Democrat
LEADERADJUSTED LEADER
Oct. 7-12
Harris Interactive
C+
3,339LV
0.35
40%
49%
Democrat +9D +9
Oct. 8-11
ABC News/Washington Post
A+
752LV
1.51
42%
55%
Democrat +13D +11
Oct. 7-9
YouGov
B
1,156RV
0.59
41%
47%
Democrat +6D +8
Oct. 3-9
Ipsos
B+
1,925LV
1.41
37%
50%
Democrat +13D +13
Oct. 7
Morning Consult
B-
2,189RV
0.67
38%
48%
Democrat +10D +12
Oct. 6-7
Harris Interactive
C+
1,000RV
0.10
37%
43%
Democrat +6D +6
Oct. 4-7
CNN/SSRS
A-
739LV
1.12
41%
54%
Democrat +13D +12
Oct. 4-7
Hart Research/Public Opinion Strategies
A-
800A
1.14
36%
42%
Democrat +6D +6
Sep. 24-Oct. 7
Pew Research Center
B-
8,904RV
2.09
38%
47%
Democrat +9D +9
Sep. 28-Oct. 5
Harris Interactive
C+
4,549LV
0.37
41%
49%
Democrat +8D +8
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Key

= NEW

A = ALL ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

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