UPDATED Dec. 14, 2019, at 6:00 PM

AreWinning The Race For Congress?

An updating estimate of the congressional generic ballot, based on polls that ask people which party they would support in an election.

All polls

KEY

ESTIMATE

90% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DATES
POLLSTER
GRADESAMPLE
WEIGHT
R
Republican
D
Democrat
LEADERADJUSTED LEADER
Dec. 7-10
YouGov
B-
1,209RV
0.31
40%
48%
Democrat +8D +7
Dec. 1-3
YouGov
B-
1,200RV
0.28
41%
47%
Democrat +6D +5
Nov. 20-Dec. 3
Lucid
B/C
980RV
0.98
39%
47%
Democrat +8D +7
Nov. 24-26
YouGov
B-
1,189RV
0.25
41%
47%
Democrat +6D +5
Nov. 22-24
Morning Consult
B/C
1,988RV
0.40
36%
45%
Democrat +9D +8
Nov. 15-21
RealClear Opinion Research
B/C
2,055RV
1.48
38%
50%
Democrat +12D +10
Nov. 17-19
YouGov
B-
1,224RV
0.24
39%
46%
Democrat +7D +6
Nov. 11-15
Marist College
A+
988RV
1.82
41%
46%
Democrat +5D +6
Nov. 10-12
YouGov
B-
1,206RV
0.22
40%
49%
Democrat +9D +8
Nov. 9-11
YouGov Blue/Data for Progress608RV
0.68
41%
45%
Democrat +4D +5
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Key

= NEW

A = ALL ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

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