UPDATED Nov. 6, 2018, at 9:29 AM

DidWin The Generic Ballot?

An estimate of the congressional generic ballot during the 2018 election cycle, based on polls that asked people which party they would support in an election. See current estimate┬╗

All polls

KEY

ESTIMATE

90% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

This chart reflects changes to our methodology made on Sept. 6, 2018. See the data as originally published.This chart reflects estimates made before our methodology changes on Sept. 6, 2018. See the latest data.
DATES
POLLSTER
GRADESAMPLE
WEIGHT
R
Republican
D
Democrat
LEADERADJUSTED LEADER
Nov. 3-5
Harris Interactive
C+
2,113LV
0.37
41%
51%
Democrat +11D +11
Nov. 2-3
Harris Interactive
C+
1,000RV
0.10
37%
43%
Democrat +6D +6
Nov. 1-3
CNN/SSRS
A-
1,151LV
1.66
42%
55%
Democrat +13D +12
Nov. 1-3
NBC News/Wall Street Journal
A-
774LV
1.12
43%
50%
Democrat +7D +7
Oct. 28-Nov. 3
USC Dornsife/LA Times
C
2,521LV
0.68
41%
56%
Democrat +15D +13
Oct. 25-Nov. 3
IBD/TIPP
A-
798LV
1.30
41%
50%
Democrat +9D +10
Oct. 31-Nov. 2
Harris Interactive
C+
2,140LV
0.30
42%
50%
Democrat +9D +9
Oct. 30-Nov. 2
Morning Consult
B-
1,961RV
0.57
40%
43%
Democrat +3D +6
Oct. 29-Nov. 1
ABC News/Washington Post
A+
737LV
1.48
44%
52%
Democrat +8D +6
Oct. 28-Nov. 1
Rasmussen Reports/Pulse Opinion Research
C+
2,500LV
0.60
46%
45%
Republican +1D +2
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Key

= NEW

A = ALL ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

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