UPDATED Nov. 2, 2020, at 5:54 PM

DidWin The Generic Ballot?

An estimate of the generic congressional ballot during the 2020 election cycle, based on polls that asked people which party they would support in an election. See current estimate»

All polls

KEY

ESTIMATE

90% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DATES
POLLSTER
GRADESAMPLE
WEIGHT
R
Republican
D
Democrat
LEADERADJUSTED LEADER
Oct. 31-Nov. 2
YouGov
B
1,363LV
0.35
42%
52%
Democrat +10D +9
Nov. 1
John Zogby Strategies/EMI Research Solutions1,008LV
0.73
44%
47%
Democrat +2D +4
Oct. 30-Nov. 1
YouGov
B
1,360LV
0.33
43%
52%
Democrat +9D +8
Oct. 19-Nov. 1
USC Dornsife
B/C
5,372LV
1.11
45%
52%
Democrat +8D +7
Oct. 29-31
Morning Consult
B/C
14,663LV
0.39
43%
50%
Democrat +7D +8
Oct. 29-31
NBC News/The Wall Street Journal
A-
1,000RV
1.43
43%
48%
Democrat +5D +5
Oct. 26-29
Opinium1,451RV
0.67
42%
50%
Democrat +8D +6
Oct. 26-28
Morning Consult
B/C
16,374LV
0.20
43%
49%
Democrat +6D +7
Oct. 25-28
HarrisX
C
2,359LV
1.26
42%
47%
Democrat +5D +6
Oct. 25-27
YouGov
B
1,365LV
0.28
42%
52%
Democrat +10D +9
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Key

= NEW

A = ALL ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS