UPDATED Jan. 13, 2021 at 5:11 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Carlos Curbelo

R
Former Republican representative for Florida’s 26th District
Trump score
How often Curbelo voted in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Curbelo was expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Curbelo’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
82.4%
-16.3 
37.2%
+45.3 
115th Congress
82.4%
-16.3 
37.2%
+45.3 
Trump score
How often Curbelo votes in line with Trump’s position
82.4%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
-16.3 
Predicted score
How often Curbelo is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
37.2%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Curbelo’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+45.3 

115th Congress (2017-18)

Republican representative for Florida’s 26th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionCurbelo VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
6.5%
Plus-minus
-6.5
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.4%
Plus-minus
+1.6
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.6%
Plus-minus
+6.4
Sept. 28, 2018 Making permanent the individual tax reductions passed in 2017 (220-191)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.8%
Plus-minus
+88.2
Sept. 27, 2018 Allowing new businesses to deduct more of their start-up expenses (260-156)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.5%
Plus-minus
+59.5
Sept. 27, 2018 Making changes to savings accounts for retirement and education (240-177)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
20.1%
Plus-minus
+79.9
July 25, 2018 Making changes to health savings accounts, including allowing them to be used for over-the-counter medications (277-142)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
55.0%
Plus-minus
+45.0
July 25, 2018 Expanding eligibility for health savings accounts (242-176)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.9%
Plus-minus
+82.1
July 24, 2018 Eliminating the medical device tax (283-132)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
61.0%
Plus-minus
+39.0
July 19, 2018 Opposing a carbon tax (229-180)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
13.8%
Plus-minus
-13.8
July 18, 2018 Expressing support for the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency and denouncing calls for its abolishment (244-35)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
73.5%
Plus-minus
+26.5
June 27, 2018 Republican “compromise” immigration bill (121-301)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.5%
Plus-minus
+83.5
June 22, 2018 Broad legislation to address the opioid crisis (396-14)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.8%
Plus-minus
+1.2
June 21, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (House revote) (213-211)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.9%
Plus-minus
+87.1
June 20, 2018 Changing privacy rules with regard to substance-abuse treatment (357-57)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
85.5%
Plus-minus
+14.5
June 20, 2018 Allowing Medicaid to pay for adults with opioid use disorder to receive treatment in mental health facilities (261-155)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
51.6%
Plus-minus
+48.4
June 15, 2018 Allowing the prohibition of certain synthetic drugs (239-142)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
45.6%
Plus-minus
——
June 14, 2018 Targeting imports of opioids through the international mail system (353-52)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.0%
Plus-minus
+12.0
June 7, 2018 Rescinding previously approved but unspent funding (210-206)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
9.4%
Plus-minus
-9.4
May 22, 2018 Rolling back some bank regulations put in place by the Dodd-Frank Act (258-159)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
46.6%
Plus-minus
+53.4
May 22, 2018 Allowing patients with terminal illnesses the right to try unapproved treatments (Senate version) (250-169)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
37.0%
Plus-minus
+63.0
May 18, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (198-213)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
13.0%
Plus-minus
——
May 16, 2018 Expanding private care options for veterans (347-70)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
85.0%
Plus-minus
+15.0
May 16, 2018 Making targeted attacks on law enforcement officers a federal crime (382-35)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
90.7%
Plus-minus
+9.3
May 8, 2018 Repeal of guidance meant to protect borrowers from discriminatory markups on auto loans (234-175)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
27.5%
Plus-minus
+72.5
April 12, 2018 Constitutional balanced budget amendment (233-184)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
22.1%
Plus-minus
-22.1
March 22, 2018 The 2018 fiscal year appropriations bill (256-167)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
59.0%
Plus-minus
-59.0
March 14, 2018 Funding for measures to prevent school violence, including training for officials and threat detection (407-10)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.4%
Plus-minus
+2.6
March 13, 2018 Allowing patients with terminal illnesses the right to try unapproved treatments (House version) (259-140)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
50.3%
Plus-minus
+49.7
Feb. 9, 2018 Two-year budget bill (240-186)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
49.2%
Plus-minus
+50.8
Feb. 6, 2018 Extension of government funding for six weeks (245-182)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
27.1%
Plus-minus
-27.1
Jan. 30, 2018 Department of Defense Appropriations Act (250-166)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
35.2%
Plus-minus
+64.8
Jan. 22, 2018 Extension of government funding for three weeks, ending the shutdown (266-150)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
49.2%
Plus-minus
+50.8
Jan. 19, 2018 Motion to table articles of impeachment against President Trump (355-66)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.0%
Plus-minus
+12.0
Jan. 18, 2018 Extension of government funding for four weeks (230-197)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
20.6%
Plus-minus
-20.6
Jan. 11, 2018 Reauthorizing warrantless spying program as part of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (256-164)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
51.7%
Plus-minus
+48.3
Jan. 11, 2018 Limiting the ability of officials to search and read private messages collected incidentally as part of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (183-233)
Trump Position
oppose
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
45.0%
Plus-minus
+55.0
Dec. 21, 2017 Extension of government funding for four weeks (231-188)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
28.4%
Plus-minus
-28.4
Dec. 20, 2017 Overhauling the tax code (final version) (224-201)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.7%
Plus-minus
+89.3
Dec. 19, 2017 Overhauling the tax code (conference committee version) (227-203)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.6%
Plus-minus
+89.4
Dec. 7, 2017 Extension of government funding for two weeks (235-193)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.1%
Plus-minus
+68.9
Dec. 6, 2017 Making concealed-carry firearm permits valid across state lines (231-198)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
15.1%
Plus-minus
-15.1
Dec. 6, 2017 Motion to table articles of impeachment against President Trump (364-58)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
89.0%
Plus-minus
+11.0
Nov. 16, 2017 Overhauling the tax code (House version) (227-205)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.7%
Plus-minus
+89.3
Nov. 14, 2017 Reauthorizing the National Flood Insurance Program (237-189)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.8%
Plus-minus
-31.8
Nov. 2, 2017 Eliminating the independent board tasked with keeping Medicare costs below limits (307-111)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.1%
Plus-minus
+29.9
Oct. 26, 2017 Fiscal year 2018 budget resolution (216-212)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
14.4%
Plus-minus
+85.6
Oct. 24, 2017 Prohibiting Department of Justice settlements that require parties to donate money to outside groups (238-183)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
19.2%
Plus-minus
+80.8
Oct. 12, 2017 Disaster relief for Puerto Rico and other areas (353-69)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
Oct. 3, 2017 Banning abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy (237-189)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.4%
Plus-minus
+87.6
Sept. 28, 2017 Federal Aviation Administration reauthorization and disaster relief (264-155)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
48.8%
Plus-minus
+51.2
Sept. 14, 2017 Making appropriations for various executive departments (211-198)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.3%
Plus-minus
+82.7
Sept. 14, 2017 Giving the government more power to deport and deny admission to immigrants suspected of being in gangs (233-175)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
17.7%
Plus-minus
+82.3
Sept. 8, 2017 Raising debt limit/extending government funding/Hurricane Harvey relief (316-90)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
94.4%
Plus-minus
——
Sept. 6, 2017 Hurricane Harvey disaster relief package (419-3)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.7%
Plus-minus
+0.3
July 27, 2017 Making appropriations for defense and other purposes (235-192)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
18.3%
Plus-minus
+81.7
July 25, 2017 Imposing sanctions on Russia, Iran and North Korea (419-3)
Trump Position
oppose
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.2%
Plus-minus
-0.2
July 25, 2017 Repeal of a rule banning some financial companies from using mandatory arbitration clauses (231-190)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.4%
Plus-minus
+87.6
July 18, 2017 Delaying implementation of ozone standards (229-199)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.8%
Plus-minus
-10.8
June 29, 2017 Increasing penalties for undocumented immigrants who re-enter the U.S. after being convicted of certain crimes (257-167)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
35.9%
Plus-minus
+64.1
June 29, 2017 Penalizing states and localities that have “sanctuary” laws on immigration (228-195)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.7%
Plus-minus
-7.7
June 28, 2017 Limiting health care lawsuits related to coverage provided through a federal program (218-210)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.8%
Plus-minus
-16.8
June 15, 2017 Allowing people who lose their jobs to receive tax credits under the American Health Care Act for continued coverage (267-144)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
50.9%
Plus-minus
+49.1
June 13, 2017 Making it easier for the Department of Veterans Affairs to discipline employees (368-55)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.1%
Plus-minus
+8.9
June 13, 2017 Withholding Affordable Care Act subsidies from people until their citizenship is verified (238-184)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.3%
Plus-minus
+83.7
June 8, 2017 Dismantling financial regulations put in place by the Dodd-Frank Act (233-186)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.6%
Plus-minus
+87.4
May 18, 2017 Making it easier to seek the death penalty for killing or attempting to kill first responders (271-143)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
53.1%
Plus-minus
——
May 4, 2017 The American Health Care Act of 2017 (217-213)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.1%
Plus-minus
+91.9
May 3, 2017 The 2017 fiscal year appropriations bill (309-118)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
81.4%
Plus-minus
+18.6
May 2, 2017 Allowing employers to offer employees time off instead of pay for overtime work (229-197)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.9%
Plus-minus
+89.1
April 28, 2017 Extension of government funding for one week (382-30)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.4%
Plus-minus
+7.6
March 28, 2017 Repeal of an FCC rule barring internet providers from sharing data on customers’ activities (215-205)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
14.0%
Plus-minus
+86.0
March 22, 2017 Allowing small businesses to provide insurance through trade and professional associations (236-175)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.1%
Plus-minus
+87.9
March 22, 2017 Removing antitrust exemption for insurance providers (416-7)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.9%
Plus-minus
+1.1
March 16, 2017 Giving the secretary of veterans affairs more flexibility to discipline employees (237-178)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
25.1%
Plus-minus
+74.9
March 8, 2017 Department of Defense Appropriations Act (371-48)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.9%
Plus-minus
+11.1
March 2, 2017 Changes to rulemaking requirements for federal agencies (246-176)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.1%
Plus-minus
+68.9
March 1, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Labor rule regarding records of work-related injuries and illnesses (231-191)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
15.8%
Plus-minus
+84.2
March 1, 2017 Requires review of proposed regulations by the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (241-184)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
15.3%
Plus-minus
+84.7
March 1, 2017 Establishment of a commission to review federal regulations (240-185)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
26.8%
Plus-minus
+73.2
Feb. 16, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring state and local governments to distribute federal funds to qualified health centers even if they perform abortions (230-188)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
9.5%
Plus-minus
——
Feb. 15, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Labor rule on drug testing of applicants for unemployment compensation (236-189)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.8%
Plus-minus
+89.2
Feb. 15, 2017 Repeal of a rule that allowed a new type of state-based retirement plan (231-193)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.6%
Plus-minus
+87.4
Feb. 15, 2017 Repeal of a rule that allowed a new type of retirement plan established by local governments (234-191)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.6%
Plus-minus
+88.4
Feb. 7, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Education rule on teacher preparation programs (240-181)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
15.6%
Plus-minus
+84.4
Feb. 7, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Education rule on school accountability (234-190)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.1%
Plus-minus
+88.9
Feb. 7, 2017 Repeal of changes to Bureau of Land Management planning rules (234-186)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
+87.7
Feb. 3, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring energy companies to reduce waste and emissions (221-191)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.7%
Plus-minus
-8.7
Feb. 2, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring the Social Security Administration to submit information to the national background-check system (235-180)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
13.5%
Plus-minus
+86.5
Feb. 2, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring some federal contractors to report labor violations (236-187)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
15.2%
Plus-minus
+84.8
Feb. 1, 2017 Repeal of the stream protection rule (228-194)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
10.7%
Plus-minus
-10.7
Feb. 1, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring energy companies to disclose payments to foreign governments (235-187)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
18.6%
Plus-minus
+81.4
Jan. 24, 2017 Permanent ban on the use of federal funds for abortion or health coverage that includes abortions (238-183)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
+87.7
Jan. 13, 2017 Waiver allowing James Mattis to become secretary of defense (268-151)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
49.8%
Plus-minus
+50.2
Jan. 13, 2017 Budget resolution to repeal the Affordable Care Act (227-198)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
14.7%
Plus-minus
+85.3
Jan. 5, 2017 Regulations from the Executive in Need of Scrutiny Act of 2017 (237-187)
Trump Position
support
Curbelo Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.1%
Plus-minus
+88.9
Average
82.4%
37.2%
+45.3

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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