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Trump score How often Jacobs votes in line with Trump’s position | Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | Predicted score How often Jacobs is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Jacobs’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 91.7% | +24.5 | 63.9% | +27.8 |
| 117th Congress | 100.0% | +24.5 | 72.7% | +27.3 |
| 116th Congress | 88.9% | +24.5 | 61.0% | +27.9 |
Trump score How often Jacobs votes in line with Trump’s position | 91.7% |
|---|---|
| Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | +24.5 |
Predicted score How often Jacobs is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | 63.9% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Jacobs’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | +27.8 |
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Jacobs Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 13 | Impeaching President Trump on a charge of incitement of insurrection (232-197) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 96.2% | Plus-minus +3.8 |
| Jan. 7 | Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (138-282) | Trump Position support | Jacobs Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 66.3% | Plus-minus +33.7 |
| Jan. 6 | Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (121-303) | Trump Position support | Jacobs Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 55.7% | Plus-minus +44.3 |
| Average | 100.0% | 72.7% | +27.3 | |||
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Jacobs Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (322-87) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 29.0% | Plus-minus +71.0 |
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Increasing coronavirus-related stimulus payments to $2,000 from $600 (275-134) | Trump Position support | Jacobs Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 34.3% | Plus-minus +65.7 |
| Dec. 21, 2020 | Pandemic aid bill (359-53) | Trump Position support | Jacobs Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 77.8% | Plus-minus +22.2 |
| Dec. 8, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (335-78) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote Yes | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 17.4% | Plus-minus -17.4 |
| Nov. 20, 2020 | Expanding the national apprenticeship system (246-140) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 87.3% | Plus-minus +12.7 |
| Sept. 24, 2020 | Providing money for clean-energy research and changing rules for energy efficiency (220-185) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 78.8% | Plus-minus +21.2 |
| Sept. 16, 2020 | Allowing lawsuits against discrimination in education programs regardless of officials’ intent (232-188) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.5% | Plus-minus +0.5 |
| Aug. 22, 2020 | Providing additional money to the U.S. Postal Service and prohibiting the agency from making certain changes (257-150) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 90.7% | Plus-minus +9.3 |
| July 21, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (295-125) | Trump Position oppose | Jacobs Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 33.9% | Plus-minus +66.1 |
| Average | 88.9% | 61.0% | +27.9 | |||
See more about Chris Jacobs at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
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