UPDATED Jan. 13, 2021 at 5:11 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Cliff Bentz

R
Republican representative for Oregon’s 2nd District
Trump score
How often Bentz votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Bentz is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Bentz’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
66.7%
+20.1 
65.0%
+1.6 
117th Congress
66.7%
+20.1 
65.0%
+1.6 
Trump score
How often Bentz votes in line with Trump’s position
66.7%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+20.1 
Predicted score
How often Bentz is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
65.0%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Bentz’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+1.6 

117th Congress (2021-22)

Republican representative for Oregon’s 2nd District
DateMeasureTrump PositionBentz VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 13 Impeaching President Trump on a charge of incitement of insurrection (232-197)
Trump Position
oppose
Bentz Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.7%
Plus-minus
+8.3
Jan. 7 Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (138-282)
Trump Position
support
Bentz Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
56.7%
Plus-minus
+43.3
Jan. 6 Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (121-303)
Trump Position
support
Bentz Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
46.7%
Plus-minus
-46.7
Average
66.7%
65.0%
+1.6

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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