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Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Conor Lamb

D
Democratic representative for Pennsylvania’s 17th District
Trump score
How often Lamb votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Lamb is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Lamb’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
50.0%
+2.6 
73.2%
-23.2 
116th Congress
0.0%
+2.6 
19.5%
-19.5 
115th Congress
68.0%
+19.6 
92.6%
-24.6 
Trump score
How often Lamb votes in line with Trump’s position
50.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+2.6 
Predicted score
How often Lamb is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
73.2%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Lamb’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-23.2 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Democratic representative for Pennsylvania’s 17th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionLamb VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 17 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (362-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
5.2%
Plus-minus
-5.2
Jan. 16 Providing disaster relief money and funding the government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
22.0%
Plus-minus
-22.0
Jan. 15 Funding the federal government through Feb. 1, without money for a border wall (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
22.0%
Plus-minus
-22.0
Jan. 11 Funding the Department of the Interior, the Environmental Protection Agency and related agencies (240-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
19.9%
Plus-minus
-19.9
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Agriculture, the Food and Drug Administration and related agencies (243-183)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
20.2%
Plus-minus
-20.2
Jan. 10 Funding the Department of Transportation, the Department of Housing and Urban Development and related agencies (244-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
18.8%
Plus-minus
-18.8
Jan. 9 Funding the Treasury Department, the Internal Revenue Service and several other government agencies (240-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
21.8%
Plus-minus
-21.8
Jan. 3 Funding most of the federal agencies affected by the government shutdown (241-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
22.3%
Plus-minus
-22.3
Jan. 3 Providing short-term funding for the Department of Homeland Security, without money for a border wall (239-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
23.4%
Plus-minus
-23.4
Average
0.0%
19.5%
-19.5

115th Congress (2017-18)

Democratic representative for Pennsylvania’s 18th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionLamb VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 20, 2018 Extension of government funding, including $5.7 billion for border wall (217-185)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.6%
Plus-minus
-97.6
Dec. 20, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (358-36)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
87.9%
Plus-minus
+12.1
Dec. 12, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (369-47)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.5%
Plus-minus
+15.5
Sept. 28, 2018 Making permanent the individual tax reductions passed in 2017 (220-191)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.9%
Plus-minus
+3.1
Sept. 27, 2018 Allowing new businesses to deduct more of their start-up expenses (260-156)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.5%
Plus-minus
+0.5
Sept. 27, 2018 Making changes to savings accounts for retirement and education (240-177)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.3%
Plus-minus
+0.7
July 25, 2018 Making changes to health savings accounts, including allowing them to be used for over-the-counter medications (277-142)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.6%
Plus-minus
+2.4
July 25, 2018 Expanding eligibility for health savings accounts (242-176)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.4%
Plus-minus
+0.6
July 24, 2018 Eliminating the medical device tax (283-132)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.4%
Plus-minus
+3.6
July 19, 2018 Opposing a carbon tax (229-180)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.1%
Plus-minus
+1.9
July 18, 2018 Expressing support for the Immigration and Customs Enforcement agency and denouncing calls for its abolishment (244-35)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 27, 2018 Republican “compromise” immigration bill (121-301)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.1%
Plus-minus
-40.1
June 22, 2018 Broad legislation to address the opioid crisis (396-14)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
June 21, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (House revote) (213-211)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.8%
Plus-minus
-88.8
June 20, 2018 Changing privacy rules with regard to substance-abuse treatment (357-57)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.3%
Plus-minus
+4.7
June 20, 2018 Allowing Medicaid to pay for adults with opioid use disorder to receive treatment in mental health facilities (261-155)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.1%
Plus-minus
+11.9
June 15, 2018 Allowing the prohibition of certain synthetic drugs (239-142)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.3%
Plus-minus
+6.7
June 14, 2018 Targeting imports of opioids through the international mail system (353-52)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.0%
Plus-minus
+2.0
June 7, 2018 Rescinding previously approved but unspent funding (210-206)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.1%
Plus-minus
-92.1
May 22, 2018 Rolling back some bank regulations put in place by the Dodd-Frank Act (258-159)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.0%
Plus-minus
-96.0
May 22, 2018 Allowing patients with terminal illnesses the right to try unapproved treatments (Senate version) (250-169)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.2%
Plus-minus
-97.2
May 18, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (198-213)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
82.0%
Plus-minus
-82.0
May 16, 2018 Expanding private care options for veterans (347-70)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.8%
Plus-minus
+1.2
May 16, 2018 Making targeted attacks on law enforcement officers a federal crime (382-35)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.6%
Plus-minus
+4.4
May 8, 2018 Repeal of guidance meant to protect borrowers from discriminatory markups on auto loans (234-175)
Trump Position
support
Lamb Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.8%
Plus-minus
-96.8
Average
68.0%
92.6%
-24.6

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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