UPDATED Jan. 13, 2021 at 5:11 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Fred Keller

R
Republican representative for Pennsylvania’s 12th District
Trump score
How often Keller votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Keller is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Keller’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
87.1%
+36.4 
90.8%
-3.7 
117th Congress
66.7%
+36.4 
87.9%
-21.2 
116th Congress
88.1%
+36.4 
91.0%
-2.8 
Trump score
How often Keller votes in line with Trump’s position
87.1%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+36.4 
Predicted score
How often Keller is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
90.8%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Keller’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-3.7 

117th Congress (2021-22)

Republican representative for Pennsylvania’s 12th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionKeller VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 13 Impeaching President Trump on a charge of incitement of insurrection (232-197)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Jan. 7 Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (138-282)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
86.5%
Plus-minus
+13.5
Jan. 6 Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (121-303)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
77.4%
Plus-minus
-77.4
Average
66.7%
87.9%
-21.2

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for Pennsylvania’s 12th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionKeller VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 28, 2020 Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (322-87)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.0%
Plus-minus
-33.0
Dec. 28, 2020 Increasing coronavirus-related stimulus payments to $2,000 from $600 (275-134)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.0%
Plus-minus
-16.0
Dec. 21, 2020 Pandemic aid bill (359-53)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
68.6%
Plus-minus
-68.6
Dec. 8, 2020 The National Defense Authorization Act (335-78)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
16.9%
Plus-minus
-16.9
Nov. 20, 2020 Expanding the national apprenticeship system (246-140)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.4%
Plus-minus
+1.6
Sept. 24, 2020 Providing money for clean-energy research and changing rules for energy efficiency (220-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
88.0%
Plus-minus
+12.0
Sept. 16, 2020 Allowing lawsuits against discrimination in education programs regardless of officials’ intent (232-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Aug. 22, 2020 Providing additional money to the U.S. Postal Service and prohibiting the agency from making certain changes (257-150)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.5%
Plus-minus
+0.5
July 21, 2020 The National Defense Authorization Act (295-125)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
35.8%
Plus-minus
-35.8
July 1, 2020 $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill (233-188)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 29, 2020 Repeal of a rule changing Community Reinvestment Act standards (230-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 29, 2020 Extending housing assistance in response to the coronavirus pandemic (232-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 29, 2020 Changing regulations on consumer credit reporting (234-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 29, 2020 Expanding the Affordable Care Act (234-179)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 26, 2020 Making the District of Columbia a state (232-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 25, 2020 Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (236-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
May 15, 2020 $3 trillion package in response to the coronavirus pandemic (208-199)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.7%
Plus-minus
+0.3
March 14, 2020 Providing assistance to people affected by the coronavirus (363-40)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
73.1%
Plus-minus
+26.9
March 11, 2020 Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (227-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
March 5, 2020 Giving additional rights to Transportation Security Administration employees (230-171)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Feb. 28, 2020 Banning flavored tobacco products (213-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.4%
Plus-minus
+2.6
Feb. 7, 2020 Providing disaster aid for Puerto Rico (237-161)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Feb. 6, 2020 Making changes to labor laws (224-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 29, 2020 Changing regulations on credit reporting (221-189)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 16, 2020 Reversing a Department of Education regulation on student loans (231-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Jan. 15, 2020 Changing the standards for demonstrating age discrimination (261-155)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Jan. 10, 2020 Requiring the Environmental Protection Agency to issue regulations regarding certain chemicals (247-159)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.5%
Plus-minus
+0.5
Jan. 9, 2020 Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (224-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Dec. 19, 2019 United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (385-41)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.9%
Plus-minus
+1.1
Dec. 19, 2019 Repealing a cap on state and local tax deductions (218-206)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
Dec. 18, 2019 Impeaching President Trump on a charge of obstruction of Congress (229-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Dec. 18, 2019 Impeaching President Trump on a charge of abuse of power (230-197)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Dec. 12, 2019 Allowing the federal government to negotiate lower prescription drug prices (230-192)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Dec. 6, 2019 Restoring parts of the Voting Rights Act (228-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Nov. 21, 2019 Requiring health care and social service employers to have plans for preventing workplace violence (251-158)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.9%
Plus-minus
+4.1
Nov. 15, 2019 Reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank (235-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.8%
Plus-minus
+6.2
Oct. 31, 2019 Preserving nearly 400,000 acres of land in Colorado (227-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Oct. 31, 2019 Establishing the procedures for an impeachment inquiry (232-196)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Oct. 30, 2019 Permanently banning new uranium mines near the Grand Canyon (236-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
Oct. 23, 2019 Requiring campaigns to report offers of assistance from foreign governments (227-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
——
Oct. 17, 2019 Requiring the Securities and Exchange Commission to study investor disclosures (229-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Oct. 16, 2019 Opposing President Trump’s withdrawal of troops from Syria (354-60)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
40.4%
Plus-minus
-40.4
Sept. 27, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (236-174)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Sept. 20, 2019 Banning companies from requiring private arbitration to resolve disputes (225-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
——
Sept. 11, 2019 Banning drilling off the Atlantic and Pacific coasts (238-189)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.9%
Plus-minus
+1.1
Sept. 11, 2019 Banning drilling in the eastern Gulf of Mexico (248-180)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.0%
Plus-minus
+3.0
July 25, 2019 Two-year budget bill (284-149)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
30.0%
Plus-minus
-30.0
July 24, 2019 Establishing humanitarian standards for people in the custody of Customs and Border Protection (233-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
July 18, 2019 Raising the federal minimum wage to $15 per hour (231-199)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
July 17, 2019 Holding the attorney general and secretary of commerce in contempt of Congress (230-198)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
July 17, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (237-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 17, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to the United Arab Emirates (238-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 17, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (238-190)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 17, 2019 Motion to table articles of impeachment against President Trump (332-95)
Trump Position
support
Keller Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
July 16, 2019 Condeming President Trump’s comments about four congresswomen as racist (240-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
July 12, 2019 National Defense Authorization Act (220-197)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.8%
Plus-minus
+6.2
June 26, 2019 Funding the Treasury Department, the IRS, the Executive Office of the President and other agencies (224-196)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 25, 2019 Providing humanitarian aid for the U.S.-Mexico border (230-195)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.1%
Plus-minus
+2.9
June 25, 2019 Funding the Department of Commerce, the Department of Justice and several other parts of the government (227-194)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
June 19, 2019 Funding much of the federal government, including the departments of Defense, Labor, Education, State, and Health and Human Services (226-203)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.8%
Plus-minus
+2.2
June 4, 2019 Creating a path to citizenship for undocumented immigrants who came to the U.S. as children (237-187)
Trump Position
oppose
Keller Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Average
88.1%
91.0%
-2.8

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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