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Latest vote (12:04 p.m., Nov. 15): The House passed H.R. 4863, reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank. Trump opposes the bill.

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Gregory F. Murphy

R
Republican representative for North Carolina’s 3rd District
Trump score
How often Murphy votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Murphy is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Murphy’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
100.0%
+23.6 
87.7%
+12.3 
116th Congress
100.0%
+23.6 
87.7%
+12.3 
Trump score
How often Murphy votes in line with Trump’s position
100.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+23.6 
Predicted score
How often Murphy is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
87.7%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Murphy’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+12.3 

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican representative for North Carolina’s 3rd District
DateMeasureTrump PositionMurphy VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Nov. 15 Reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank (235-184)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
81.6%
Plus-minus
+18.4
Oct. 31 Preserving nearly 400,000 acres of land in Colorado (227-182)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.0%
Plus-minus
+2.0
Oct. 31 Establishing the procedures for an impeachment inquiry (232-196)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Oct. 30 Permanently banning new uranium mines near the Grand Canyon (236-185)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.0%
Plus-minus
+5.0
Oct. 23 Requiring campaigns to report offers of assistance from foreign governments (227-181)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Oct. 17 Requiring the Securities and Exchange Commission to study investor disclosures (229-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
Oct. 16 Opposing President Trump’s withdrawal of troops from Syria (354-60)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
23.2%
Plus-minus
+76.8
Sept. 27 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (236-174)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.5%
Plus-minus
+5.5
Sept. 20 Banning companies from requiring private arbitration to resolve disputes (225-186)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.7%
Plus-minus
+2.3
Average
100.0%
87.7%
+12.3

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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