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Trump score How often Murphy votes in line with Trump’s position | Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | Predicted score How often Murphy is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Murphy’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 87.8% | +23.6 | 85.5% | +2.3 |
| 117th Congress | 50.0% | +23.6 | 59.1% | -9.1 |
| 116th Congress | 89.7% | +23.6 | 86.9% | +2.8 |
Trump score How often Murphy votes in line with Trump’s position | 87.8% |
|---|---|
| Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | +23.6 |
Predicted score How often Murphy is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | 85.5% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Murphy’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | +2.3 |
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Murphy Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 13 | Impeaching President Trump on a charge of incitement of insurrection (232-197) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Not voting | Agree with Trump? —— | Likelihood of agreement 95.5% | Plus-minus —— |
| Jan. 7 | Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (138-282) | Trump Position support | Murphy Vote Yes | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 64.4% | Plus-minus +35.6 |
| Jan. 6 | Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (121-303) | Trump Position support | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 53.8% | Plus-minus -53.8 |
| Average | 50.0% | 59.1% | -9.1 | |||
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Murphy Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (322-87) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 28.7% | Plus-minus -28.7 |
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Increasing coronavirus-related stimulus payments to $2,000 from $600 (275-134) | Trump Position support | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 35.9% | Plus-minus -35.9 |
| Dec. 21, 2020 | Pandemic aid bill (359-53) | Trump Position support | Murphy Vote Not voting | Agree with Trump? —— | Likelihood of agreement 78.4% | Plus-minus —— |
| Dec. 8, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (335-78) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 17.5% | Plus-minus -17.5 |
| Nov. 20, 2020 | Expanding the national apprenticeship system (246-140) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 85.6% | Plus-minus +14.4 |
| Sept. 24, 2020 | Providing money for clean-energy research and changing rules for energy efficiency (220-185) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Not voting | Agree with Trump? —— | Likelihood of agreement 77.9% | Plus-minus —— |
| Sept. 16, 2020 | Allowing lawsuits against discrimination in education programs regardless of officials’ intent (232-188) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.3% | Plus-minus +0.7 |
| Aug. 22, 2020 | Providing additional money to the U.S. Postal Service and prohibiting the agency from making certain changes (257-150) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 89.1% | Plus-minus +10.9 |
| July 21, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (295-125) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 33.8% | Plus-minus -33.8 |
| July 1, 2020 | $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill (233-188) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.8% | Plus-minus +0.2 |
| June 29, 2020 | Repeal of a rule changing Community Reinvestment Act standards (230-179) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.1% | Plus-minus +0.9 |
| June 29, 2020 | Extending housing assistance in response to the coronavirus pandemic (232-180) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.0% | Plus-minus +1.0 |
| June 29, 2020 | Changing regulations on consumer credit reporting (234-179) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.6% | Plus-minus +0.4 |
| June 29, 2020 | Expanding the Affordable Care Act (234-179) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.9% | Plus-minus +0.1 |
| June 26, 2020 | Making the District of Columbia a state (232-180) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.8% | Plus-minus +0.2 |
| June 25, 2020 | Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (236-181) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.2% | Plus-minus +0.8 |
| May 15, 2020 | $3 trillion package in response to the coronavirus pandemic (208-199) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 96.2% | Plus-minus +3.8 |
| March 14, 2020 | Providing assistance to people affected by the coronavirus (363-40) | Trump Position support | Murphy Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 83.6% | Plus-minus +16.4 |
| March 11, 2020 | Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (227-186) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 95.4% | Plus-minus +4.6 |
| March 5, 2020 | Giving additional rights to Transportation Security Administration employees (230-171) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 94.4% | Plus-minus +5.6 |
| Feb. 28, 2020 | Banning flavored tobacco products (213-195) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Not voting | Agree with Trump? —— | Likelihood of agreement 89.7% | Plus-minus —— |
| Feb. 7, 2020 | Providing disaster aid for Puerto Rico (237-161) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Not voting | Agree with Trump? —— | Likelihood of agreement 94.1% | Plus-minus —— |
| Feb. 6, 2020 | Making changes to labor laws (224-194) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 98.5% | Plus-minus +1.5 |
| Jan. 29, 2020 | Changing regulations on credit reporting (221-189) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote Not voting | Agree with Trump? —— | Likelihood of agreement 98.7% | Plus-minus —— |
| Jan. 16, 2020 | Reversing a Department of Education regulation on student loans (231-180) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.0% | Plus-minus +1.0 |
| Jan. 15, 2020 | Changing the standards for demonstrating age discrimination (261-155) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 90.8% | Plus-minus +9.2 |
| Jan. 10, 2020 | Requiring the Environmental Protection Agency to issue regulations regarding certain chemicals (247-159) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 90.2% | Plus-minus +9.8 |
| Jan. 9, 2020 | Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (224-194) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 96.6% | Plus-minus +3.4 |
| Dec. 19, 2019 | United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (385-41) | Trump Position support | Murphy Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 97.9% | Plus-minus +2.1 |
| Dec. 19, 2019 | Repealing a cap on state and local tax deductions (218-206) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 93.7% | Plus-minus +6.3 |
| Dec. 18, 2019 | Impeaching President Trump on a charge of obstruction of Congress (229-198) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.9% | Plus-minus +0.1 |
| Dec. 18, 2019 | Impeaching President Trump on a charge of abuse of power (230-197) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.9% | Plus-minus +0.1 |
| Dec. 12, 2019 | Allowing the federal government to negotiate lower prescription drug prices (230-192) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.4% | Plus-minus +0.6 |
| Dec. 6, 2019 | Restoring parts of the Voting Rights Act (228-187) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.4% | Plus-minus +0.6 |
| Nov. 21, 2019 | Requiring health care and social service employers to have plans for preventing workplace violence (251-158) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 78.9% | Plus-minus +21.1 |
| Nov. 15, 2019 | Reauthorizing the Export-Import Bank (235-184) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 81.6% | Plus-minus +18.4 |
| Oct. 31, 2019 | Preserving nearly 400,000 acres of land in Colorado (227-182) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 98.0% | Plus-minus +2.0 |
| Oct. 31, 2019 | Establishing the procedures for an impeachment inquiry (232-196) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.9% | Plus-minus +0.1 |
| Oct. 30, 2019 | Permanently banning new uranium mines near the Grand Canyon (236-185) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 95.0% | Plus-minus +5.0 |
| Oct. 23, 2019 | Requiring campaigns to report offers of assistance from foreign governments (227-181) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.9% | Plus-minus +0.1 |
| Oct. 17, 2019 | Requiring the Securities and Exchange Commission to study investor disclosures (229-186) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.2% | Plus-minus +0.8 |
| Oct. 16, 2019 | Opposing President Trump’s withdrawal of troops from Syria (354-60) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 23.2% | Plus-minus +76.8 |
| Sept. 27, 2019 | Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (236-174) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 94.5% | Plus-minus +5.5 |
| Sept. 20, 2019 | Banning companies from requiring private arbitration to resolve disputes (225-186) | Trump Position oppose | Murphy Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 97.7% | Plus-minus +2.3 |
| Average | 89.7% | 86.9% | +2.8 | |||
See more about Gregory F. Murphy at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
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