Jeff Flake

R
Republican senator for Arizona
Trump score
How often Flake votes in line with Trump's position
Trump margin
Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Arizona minus Clinton's
Predicted score
How often Flake is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Flake’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
100.0%
+3.5 
67.0%
+33.0 
Trump score
How often Flake votes in line with Trump's position
100.0%
Trump margin
Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Arizona minus Clinton's
+3.5 
Predicted score
How often Flake is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin
67.0%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Flake’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+33.0 
DateMeasureTrump PositionFlake VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
March 22 Repeal of a Department of Labor rule regarding records of work-related injuries and illnesses (50-48)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
45.5%
Plus-minus
+54.5
March 15 Nomination of Daniel Coats to be director of national intelligence (85-12)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.3%
Plus-minus
+8.7
March 14 Repeal of a Department of Labor rule on drug testing of applicants for unemployment compensation (51-48)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
45.6%
Plus-minus
+54.4
March 9 Repeal of a Department of Education rule on school accountability (50-49)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.0%
Plus-minus
+56.0
March 8 Repeal of a Department of Education rule on teacher preparation programs (59-40)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
75.6%
Plus-minus
+24.4
March 7 Repeal of changes to Bureau of Land Management planning rules (51-48)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
45.6%
Plus-minus
+54.4
March 6 Repeal of a rule requiring some federal contractors to report labor violations (49-48)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Not voting
Agree with Trump?
——
Likelihood of agreement
44.2%
Plus-minus
——
March 2 Nomination of Rick Perry to be secretary of energy (62-37)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
76.9%
Plus-minus
+23.1
March 2 Nomination of Ben Carson to be secretary of housing and urban development (58-41)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
65.5%
Plus-minus
+34.5
March 1 Nomination of Ryan Zinke to be secretary of the interior (68-31)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
86.0%
Plus-minus
+14.0
Feb. 28 Nomination of Wilbur L. Ross Jr. to be secretary of commerce (72-27)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
79.6%
Plus-minus
+20.4
Feb. 17 Nomination of Scott Pruitt to be administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (52-46)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
49.7%
Plus-minus
+50.3
Feb. 16 Nomination of Mick Mulvaney to be director of the Office of Management and Budget (51-49)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
44.7%
Plus-minus
+55.3
Feb. 15 Repeal of a rule requiring the Social Security Administration to submit information to the national background-check system (57-43)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
60.8%
Plus-minus
+39.2
Feb. 14 Nomination of Linda E. McMahon to be administrator of the Small Business Administration (81-19)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.4%
Plus-minus
+8.6
Feb. 13 Nomination of David J. Shulkin to be secretary of veterans affairs (100-0)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
Feb. 13 Nomination of Steven T. Mnuchin to be secretary of the treasury (53-47)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
48.0%
Plus-minus
+52.0
Feb. 10 Nomination of Tom Price to be secretary of health and human services (52-47)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
47.6%
Plus-minus
+52.4
Feb. 8 Nomination of Jeff Sessions to be attorney general (52-47)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
48.0%
Plus-minus
+52.0
Feb. 7 Nomination of Betsy DeVos to be secretary of education (51-50)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
43.1%
Plus-minus
+56.9
Feb. 3 Repeal of a rule requiring energy companies to disclose payments to foreign governments (52-47)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
46.5%
Plus-minus
+53.5
Feb. 2 Repeal of the stream protection rule (54-45)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
55.1%
Plus-minus
+44.9
Feb. 1 Nomination of Rex W. Tillerson to be secretary of state (56-43)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
55.4%
Plus-minus
+44.6
Jan. 31 Nomination of Elaine L. Chao to be secretary of transportation (93-6)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.9%
Plus-minus
+1.1
Jan. 24 Nomination of Nikki R. Haley to be ambassador to the United Nations (96-4)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.6%
Plus-minus
+2.4
Jan. 23 Nomination of Mike Pompeo to be director of the CIA (66-32)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.7%
Plus-minus
+29.3
Jan. 20 Nomination of John F. Kelly to be secretary of homeland security (88-11)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.6%
Plus-minus
+5.4
Jan. 20 Nomination of James Mattis to be secretary of defense (98-1)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Jan. 12 Waiver allowing James Mattis to become secretary of defense (81-17)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
89.5%
Plus-minus
+10.5
Jan. 12 Budget resolution to repeal the Affordable Care Act (51-48)
Trump Position
support
Flake Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
45.1%
Plus-minus
+54.9
Average
100.0%
67.0%
+33.0

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump's 2016 vote margin in every member's state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member's vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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