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Trump score How often Van Drew votes in line with Trump’s position | Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | Predicted score How often Van Drew is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Van Drew’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 27.5% | +4.6 | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| 117th Congress | 100.0% | +4.6 | 31.0% | +69.0 |
| 116th Congress | 25.0% | +4.6 | 45.9% | -20.9 |
Trump score How often Van Drew votes in line with Trump’s position | 27.5% |
|---|---|
| Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | +4.6 |
Predicted score How often Van Drew is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | 41.3% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Van Drew’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | -13.9 |
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Van Drew Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 13 | Impeaching President Trump on a charge of incitement of insurrection (232-197) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 50.3% | Plus-minus +49.7 |
| Jan. 7 | Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (138-282) | Trump Position support | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 23.6% | Plus-minus +76.4 |
| Jan. 6 | Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (121-303) | Trump Position support | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 19.1% | Plus-minus +80.9 |
| Average | 100.0% | 31.0% | +69.0 | |||
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Van Drew Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (322-87) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 22.9% | Plus-minus +77.1 |
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Increasing coronavirus-related stimulus payments to $2,000 from $600 (275-134) | Trump Position support | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 71.9% | Plus-minus +28.1 |
| Dec. 21, 2020 | Pandemic aid bill (359-53) | Trump Position support | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 89.1% | Plus-minus +10.9 |
| Dec. 8, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (335-78) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 18.4% | Plus-minus -18.4 |
| Nov. 20, 2020 | Expanding the national apprenticeship system (246-140) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 29.2% | Plus-minus -29.2 |
| Sept. 24, 2020 | Providing money for clean-energy research and changing rules for energy efficiency (220-185) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 56.6% | Plus-minus -56.6 |
| Sept. 16, 2020 | Allowing lawsuits against discrimination in education programs regardless of officials’ intent (232-188) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 40.6% | Plus-minus +59.4 |
| Aug. 22, 2020 | Providing additional money to the U.S. Postal Service and prohibiting the agency from making certain changes (257-150) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 22.9% | Plus-minus -22.9 |
| July 21, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (295-125) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 30.8% | Plus-minus -30.8 |
| July 1, 2020 | $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill (233-188) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 42.8% | Plus-minus -42.8 |
| June 29, 2020 | Repeal of a rule changing Community Reinvestment Act standards (230-179) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 43.4% | Plus-minus +56.6 |
| June 29, 2020 | Extending housing assistance in response to the coronavirus pandemic (232-180) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 44.8% | Plus-minus +55.2 |
| June 29, 2020 | Changing regulations on consumer credit reporting (234-179) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 40.3% | Plus-minus +59.7 |
| June 29, 2020 | Expanding the Affordable Care Act (234-179) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 39.3% | Plus-minus -39.3 |
| June 26, 2020 | Making the District of Columbia a state (232-180) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 45.0% | Plus-minus +55.0 |
| June 25, 2020 | Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (236-181) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 40.5% | Plus-minus +59.5 |
| May 15, 2020 | $3 trillion package in response to the coronavirus pandemic (208-199) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 60.5% | Plus-minus +39.5 |
| March 14, 2020 | Providing assistance to people affected by the coronavirus (363-40) | Trump Position support | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 93.5% | Plus-minus +6.5 |
| March 11, 2020 | Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (227-186) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 46.0% | Plus-minus +54.0 |
| March 5, 2020 | Giving additional rights to Transportation Security Administration employees (230-171) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 32.1% | Plus-minus -32.1 |
| Feb. 28, 2020 | Banning flavored tobacco products (213-195) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 60.1% | Plus-minus +39.9 |
| Feb. 7, 2020 | Providing disaster aid for Puerto Rico (237-161) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 27.1% | Plus-minus -27.1 |
| Feb. 6, 2020 | Making changes to labor laws (224-194) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 49.2% | Plus-minus -49.2 |
| Jan. 29, 2020 | Changing regulations on credit reporting (221-189) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 51.4% | Plus-minus +48.6 |
| Jan. 16, 2020 | Reversing a Department of Education regulation on student loans (231-180) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 33.7% | Plus-minus -33.7 |
| Jan. 15, 2020 | Changing the standards for demonstrating age discrimination (261-155) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 16.0% | Plus-minus -16.0 |
| Jan. 10, 2020 | Requiring the Environmental Protection Agency to issue regulations regarding certain chemicals (247-159) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 26.9% | Plus-minus -26.9 |
| Jan. 9, 2020 | Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (224-194) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 49.1% | Plus-minus +50.9 |
| Dec. 19, 2019 | United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (385-41) | Trump Position support | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 95.4% | Plus-minus +4.6 |
| Dec. 19, 2019 | Repealing a cap on state and local tax deductions (218-206) | Trump Position oppose | Van Drew Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 58.9% | Plus-minus -58.9 |
| Average | 25.0% | 45.9% | -20.9 | |||
See more about Jeff Van Drew at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
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