UPDATED Jan. 13, 2021 at 5:11 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Josh Hawley

R
Republican senator for Missouri
Trump score
How often Hawley votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Hawley is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Hawley’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
86.7%
+18.6 
71.0%
+15.7 
117th Congress
100.0%
+18.6 
8.7%
+91.3 
116th Congress
86.0%
+18.6 
73.9%
+12.2 
Trump score
How often Hawley votes in line with Trump’s position
86.7%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+18.6 
Predicted score
How often Hawley is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
71.0%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Hawley’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+15.7 

117th Congress (2021-22)

Republican senator for Missouri
DateMeasureTrump PositionHawley VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 7 Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (7-92)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
9.4%
Plus-minus
+90.6
Jan. 6 Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (6-93)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.0%
Plus-minus
+92.0
Average
100.0%
8.7%
+91.3

116th Congress (2019-20)

Republican senator for Missouri
DateMeasureTrump PositionHawley VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 28, 2020 Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (81-13)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
+87.7
Dec. 21, 2020 Pandemic aid bill (92-6)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.0%
Plus-minus
+8.0
Dec. 11, 2020 The National Defense Authorization Act (84-13)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.7%
Plus-minus
+88.3
Oct. 26, 2020 Nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to be an associate justice of the Supreme Court (52-48)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.3%
Plus-minus
+15.7
July 20, 2020 Nomination of Russell Vought to be director of the office of management and budget (51-45)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
83.9%
Plus-minus
+16.1
May 21, 2020 Nomination of John L. Ratcliffe to be director of national intelligence (49-44)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
83.5%
Plus-minus
+16.5
March 25, 2020 $2 trillion economic stimulus package in response to the coronavirus pandemic (96-0)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
March 18, 2020 Providing assistance to people affected by the coronavirus (90-8)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
89.4%
Plus-minus
+10.6
March 11, 2020 Reversing a Department of Education regulation on student loans (53-42)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
66.9%
Plus-minus
-66.9
Feb. 13, 2020 Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (55-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
68.7%
Plus-minus
+31.3
Feb. 5, 2020 Whether to convict President Trump on a charge of obstruction of Congress (47-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.8%
Plus-minus
+15.2
Feb. 5, 2020 Whether to convict President Trump on a charge of abuse of power (48-52)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
82.7%
Plus-minus
+17.3
Jan. 16, 2020 United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (89-10)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Jan. 7, 2020 Nomination of Jovita Carranza to be administrator of the Small Business Administration (88-5)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.9%
Plus-minus
+0.1
Dec. 2, 2019 Nomination of Dan R. Brouillette to be secretary of energy (70-15)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Oct. 31, 2019 Funding the Department of Commerce, the Department of Justice and several other parts of the government (84-9)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
11.6%
Plus-minus
-11.6
Oct. 30, 2019 Reversing Trump administration guidance on Affordable Care Act waivers (43-52)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.3%
Plus-minus
+15.7
Oct. 23, 2019 Repeal of an Internal Revenue Service regulation on state and local tax deductions (43-52)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
81.2%
Plus-minus
+18.8
Oct. 17, 2019 Repeal of an Environmental Protection Agency rule on emissions (41-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.1%
Plus-minus
+1.9
Sept. 26, 2019 Nomination of Eugene Scalia to be secretary of labor (53-44)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.7%
Plus-minus
+15.3
Sept. 25, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (54-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
64.2%
Plus-minus
+35.8
Aug. 1, 2019 Two-year budget bill (67-28)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
62.6%
Plus-minus
-62.6
July 29, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (46-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.7%
Plus-minus
+28.3
July 29, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill blocking the sale of arms to the United Arab Emirates (45-39)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.6%
Plus-minus
+28.4
July 29, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (45-40)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.9%
Plus-minus
+28.1
July 23, 2019 Nomination of Mark T. Esper to be secretary of defense (90-8)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.6%
Plus-minus
+0.4
June 26, 2019 Providing humanitarian aid for the U.S.-Mexico border (37-55)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
89.7%
Plus-minus
+10.3
June 20, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (51-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
73.8%
Plus-minus
+26.2
June 20, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (53-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.1%
Plus-minus
+28.9
June 20, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (53-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.1%
Plus-minus
+28.9
May 23, 2019 Providing disaster relief money, including additional aid for Puerto Rico (85-8)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
12.3%
Plus-minus
-12.3
May 2, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (53-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.6%
Plus-minus
+29.4
April 11, 2019 Nomination of David Bernhardt to be secretary of the interior (56-41)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.9%
Plus-minus
+7.1
March 14, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (59-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
63.9%
Plus-minus
+36.1
March 13, 2019 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (54-46)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
71.1%
Plus-minus
+28.9
Feb. 28, 2019 Nomination of Andrew Wheeler to be administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (52-47)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
84.7%
Plus-minus
+15.3
Feb. 25, 2019 Setting requirements for the care of infants born after failed abortions (53-44)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.8%
Plus-minus
+2.2
Feb. 14, 2019 Nomination of William Barr to be attorney general (54-45)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.5%
Plus-minus
+7.5
Feb. 4, 2019 Disapproving of withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan and Syria (70-26)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
8.5%
Plus-minus
-8.5
Jan. 24, 2019 Funding the federal government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (52-44)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
75.1%
Plus-minus
+24.9
Jan. 24, 2019 Funding the federal government through Sept. 30 and providing $5.7 billion for a border wall (50-47)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
86.1%
Plus-minus
+13.9
Jan. 17, 2019 Permanent ban on the use of federal funds for abortion or health coverage that includes abortions (48-47)
Trump Position
support
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
90.1%
Plus-minus
+9.9
Jan. 16, 2019 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (57-42)
Trump Position
oppose
Hawley Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
65.4%
Plus-minus
-65.4
Average
86.0%
73.9%
+12.2

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

Comments