Get more FiveThirtyEight
Trump score How often Handel votes in line with Trump's position | Trump margin Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Georgia’s 6th District minus Clinton's | Predicted score How often Handel is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Handel’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores |
---|---|---|---|
87.5% | +1.5 | 61.8% | +25.7 |
Trump score How often Handel votes in line with Trump's position | 87.5% |
---|---|
Trump margin Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Georgia’s 6th District minus Clinton's | +1.5 |
Predicted score How often Handel is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin | 61.8% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Handel’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | +25.7 |
Date | Measure | Trump Position | Handel Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Sept. 6 | Hurricane Harvey disaster relief package (419-3) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 99.5% | Plus-minus +0.5 |
July 27 | Making appropriations for defense and other purposes (235-192) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 64.6% | Plus-minus +35.4 |
July 25 | Imposing sanctions on Russia, Iran and North Korea (419-3) | Trump Position oppose | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 0.4% | Plus-minus -0.4 |
July 25 | Repeal of a rule banning some financial companies from using mandatory arbitration clauses (231-190) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 66.7% | Plus-minus +33.3 |
July 18 | Delaying implementation of ozone standards (229-199) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 63.2% | Plus-minus +36.8 |
June 29 | Increasing penalties for undocumented immigrants who re-enter the U.S. after being convicted of certain crimes (257-167) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 80.5% | Plus-minus +19.5 |
June 29 | Penalizing states and localities that have "sanctuary" laws on immigration (228-195) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 67.0% | Plus-minus +33.0 |
June 28 | Limiting health care lawsuits related to coverage provided through a federal program (218-210) | Trump Position support | Handel Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 52.5% | Plus-minus +47.5 |
Average | 87.5% | 61.8% | +25.7 |
See more about Karen Handel at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump's 2016 vote margin in every member's state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member's vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
Comments