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Trump score How often Garcia votes in line with Trump’s position | Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | Predicted score How often Garcia is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | Trump plus-minus Difference between Garcia’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Career | 84.2% | -6.7 | 18.8% | +65.4 |
| 117th Congress | 100.0% | -6.7 | 10.6% | +89.4 |
| 116th Congress | 81.3% | -6.7 | 20.4% | +60.9 |
Trump score How often Garcia votes in line with Trump’s position | 84.2% |
|---|---|
| Trump margin Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s | -6.7 |
Predicted score How often Garcia is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin | 18.8% |
Trump plus-minus Difference between Garcia’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores | +65.4 |
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Garcia Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 13 | Impeaching President Trump on a charge of incitement of insurrection (232-197) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 16.0% | Plus-minus +84.0 |
| Jan. 7 | Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (138-282) | Trump Position support | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 8.6% | Plus-minus +91.4 |
| Jan. 6 | Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (121-303) | Trump Position support | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 7.3% | Plus-minus +92.7 |
| Average | 100.0% | 10.6% | +89.4 | |||
| Date | Measure | Trump Position | Garcia Vote | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement | Plus-minus |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (322-87) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump?  | Likelihood of agreement 19.7% | Plus-minus -19.7 |
| Dec. 28, 2020 | Increasing coronavirus-related stimulus payments to $2,000 from $600 (275-134) | Trump Position support | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 87.2% | Plus-minus +12.8 |
| Dec. 21, 2020 | Pandemic aid bill (359-53) | Trump Position support | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 93.3% | Plus-minus +6.7 |
| Dec. 8, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (335-78) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 18.9% | Plus-minus -18.9 |
| Nov. 20, 2020 | Expanding the national apprenticeship system (246-140) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 6.6% | Plus-minus +93.4 |
| Sept. 24, 2020 | Providing money for clean-energy research and changing rules for energy efficiency (220-185) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 42.3% | Plus-minus +57.7 |
| Sept. 16, 2020 | Allowing lawsuits against discrimination in education programs regardless of officials’ intent (232-188) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 3.3% | Plus-minus +96.7 |
| Aug. 22, 2020 | Providing additional money to the U.S. Postal Service and prohibiting the agency from making certain changes (257-150) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 2.8% | Plus-minus +97.2 |
| July 21, 2020 | The National Defense Authorization Act (295-125) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote Yes | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 29.2% | Plus-minus -29.2 |
| July 1, 2020 | $1.5 trillion infrastructure bill (233-188) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 2.4% | Plus-minus +97.6 |
| June 29, 2020 | Repeal of a rule changing Community Reinvestment Act standards (230-179) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 4.7% | Plus-minus +95.3 |
| June 29, 2020 | Extending housing assistance in response to the coronavirus pandemic (232-180) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 5.6% | Plus-minus +94.4 |
| June 29, 2020 | Changing regulations on consumer credit reporting (234-179) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 2.5% | Plus-minus +97.5 |
| June 29, 2020 | Expanding the Affordable Care Act (234-179) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 1.1% | Plus-minus +98.9 |
| June 26, 2020 | Making the District of Columbia a state (232-180) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 2.8% | Plus-minus +97.2 |
| June 25, 2020 | Combating brutality and racial discrimination by police (236-181) | Trump Position oppose | Garcia Vote No | Agree with Trump? | Likelihood of agreement 3.4% | Plus-minus +96.6 |
| Average | 81.3% | 20.4% | +60.9 | |||
See more about Mike Garcia at ProPublica
Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »
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