UPDATED Jan. 13, 2021 at 5:11 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Tim Murphy

R
Former Republican representative for Pennsylvania’s 18th District
Trump score
How often Murphy voted in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Murphy was expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Murphy’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
97.9%
+19.6 
93.3%
+4.6 
115th Congress
97.9%
+19.6 
93.3%
+4.6 
Trump score
How often Murphy votes in line with Trump’s position
97.9%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
+19.6 
Predicted score
How often Murphy is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
93.3%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Murphy’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
+4.6 

115th Congress (2017-18)

Republican representative for Pennsylvania’s 18th District
DateMeasureTrump PositionMurphy VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Oct. 12, 2017 Disaster relief for Puerto Rico and other areas (353-69)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
76.4%
Plus-minus
+23.6
Oct. 3, 2017 Banning abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy (237-189)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.1%
Plus-minus
+0.9
Sept. 28, 2017 Federal Aviation Administration reauthorization and disaster relief (264-155)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.8%
Plus-minus
+5.2
Sept. 14, 2017 Making appropriations for various executive departments (211-198)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
89.2%
Plus-minus
+10.8
Sept. 14, 2017 Giving the government more power to deport and deny admission to immigrants suspected of being in gangs (233-175)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
Sept. 8, 2017 Raising debt limit/extending government funding/Hurricane Harvey relief (316-90)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
67.4%
Plus-minus
+32.6
Sept. 6, 2017 Hurricane Harvey disaster relief package (419-3)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.0%
Plus-minus
+1.0
July 27, 2017 Making appropriations for defense and other purposes (235-192)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.3%
Plus-minus
+4.7
July 25, 2017 Imposing sanctions on Russia, Iran and North Korea (419-3)
Trump Position
oppose
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
0.9%
Plus-minus
-0.9
July 25, 2017 Repeal of a rule banning some financial companies from using mandatory arbitration clauses (231-190)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.9%
Plus-minus
+2.1
July 18, 2017 Delaying implementation of ozone standards (229-199)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.4%
Plus-minus
+2.6
June 29, 2017 Increasing penalties for undocumented immigrants who re-enter the U.S. after being convicted of certain crimes (257-167)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.2%
Plus-minus
+1.8
June 29, 2017 Penalizing states and localities that have “sanctuary” laws on immigration (228-195)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.0%
Plus-minus
+1.0
June 28, 2017 Limiting health care lawsuits related to coverage provided through a federal program (218-210)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
86.5%
Plus-minus
+13.5
June 15, 2017 Allowing people who lose their jobs to receive tax credits under the American Health Care Act for continued coverage (267-144)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.1%
Plus-minus
+0.9
June 13, 2017 Making it easier for the Department of Veterans Affairs to discipline employees (368-55)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.5%
Plus-minus
+0.5
June 13, 2017 Withholding Affordable Care Act subsidies from people until their citizenship is verified (238-184)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.9%
Plus-minus
+1.1
June 8, 2017 Dismantling financial regulations put in place by the Dodd-Frank Act (233-186)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.0%
Plus-minus
+2.0
May 18, 2017 Making it easier to seek the death penalty for killing or attempting to kill first responders (271-143)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.7%
Plus-minus
+4.3
May 4, 2017 The American Health Care Act of 2017 (217-213)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.5%
Plus-minus
+6.5
May 3, 2017 The 2017 fiscal year appropriations bill (309-118)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
62.2%
Plus-minus
+37.8
May 2, 2017 Allowing employers to offer employees time off instead of pay for overtime work (229-197)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.4%
Plus-minus
+2.6
April 28, 2017 Extension of government funding for one week (382-30)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.3%
Plus-minus
+6.7
March 28, 2017 Repeal of an FCC rule barring internet providers from sharing data on customers’ activities (215-205)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
90.4%
Plus-minus
+9.6
March 22, 2017 Allowing small businesses to provide insurance through trade and professional associations (236-175)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.3%
Plus-minus
+0.7
March 22, 2017 Removing antitrust exemption for insurance providers (416-7)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.8%
Plus-minus
+0.2
March 16, 2017 Giving the secretary of veterans affairs more flexibility to discipline employees (237-178)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.3%
Plus-minus
+3.7
March 8, 2017 Department of Defense Appropriations Act (371-48)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.8%
Plus-minus
+2.2
March 2, 2017 Changes to rulemaking requirements for federal agencies (246-176)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.0%
Plus-minus
+3.0
March 1, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Labor rule regarding records of work-related injuries and illnesses (231-191)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.5%
Plus-minus
+3.5
March 1, 2017 Requires review of proposed regulations by the Office of Information and Regulatory Affairs (241-184)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
March 1, 2017 Establishment of a commission to review federal regulations (240-185)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.7%
Plus-minus
+6.3
Feb. 16, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring state and local governments to distribute federal funds to qualified health centers even if they perform abortions (230-188)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.0%
Plus-minus
+1.0
Feb. 15, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Labor rule on drug testing of applicants for unemployment compensation (236-189)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.4%
Plus-minus
+0.6
Feb. 15, 2017 Repeal of a rule that allowed a new type of state-based retirement plan (231-193)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.7%
Plus-minus
+2.3
Feb. 15, 2017 Repeal of a rule that allowed a new type of retirement plan established by local governments (234-191)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Feb. 7, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Education rule on teacher preparation programs (240-181)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Feb. 7, 2017 Repeal of a Department of Education rule on school accountability (234-190)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.5%
Plus-minus
+1.5
Feb. 7, 2017 Repeal of changes to Bureau of Land Management planning rules (234-186)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.6%
Plus-minus
+1.4
Feb. 3, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring energy companies to reduce waste and emissions (221-191)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.9%
Plus-minus
+2.1
Feb. 2, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring the Social Security Administration to submit information to the national background-check system (235-180)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.3%
Plus-minus
+0.7
Feb. 2, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring some federal contractors to report labor violations (236-187)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
98.7%
Plus-minus
+1.3
Feb. 1, 2017 Repeal of the stream protection rule (228-194)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.9%
Plus-minus
+2.1
Feb. 1, 2017 Repeal of a rule requiring energy companies to disclose payments to foreign governments (235-187)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.3%
Plus-minus
+2.7
Jan. 24, 2017 Permanent ban on the use of federal funds for abortion or health coverage that includes abortions (238-183)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.2%
Plus-minus
+0.8
Jan. 13, 2017 Waiver allowing James Mattis to become secretary of defense (268-151)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.0%
Plus-minus
+3.0
Jan. 13, 2017 Budget resolution to repeal the Affordable Care Act (227-198)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
93.9%
Plus-minus
+6.1
Jan. 5, 2017 Regulations from the Executive in Need of Scrutiny Act of 2017 (237-187)
Trump Position
support
Murphy Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.3%
Plus-minus
+0.7
Average
97.9%
93.3%
+4.6

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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