Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Tina Smith

D
Democratic senator for Minnesota beginning Jan. 3, 2018
Trump score
How often Smith votes in line with Trump's position
Trump margin
Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Minnesota minus Clinton's
Predicted score
How often Smith is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Smith’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
26.3%
-1.5 
47.9%
-21.6 
Trump score
How often Smith votes in line with Trump's position
26.3%
Trump margin
Trump's share of the vote in the 2016 election in Minnesota minus Clinton's
-1.5 
Predicted score
How often Smith is expected to support Trump based on Trump's 2016 margin
47.9%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Smith’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-21.6 
DateMeasureTrump PositionSmith VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
July 23 Nomination of Robert L. Wilkie to be secretary of veterans affairs (86-9)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.5%
Plus-minus
+2.5
July 11 Nonbinding motion calling for congressional approval of national security tariffs (88-11)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.5%
Plus-minus
-3.5
June 20 Rescinding previously approved but unspent funding (48-50)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.9%
Plus-minus
-29.9
May 23 Expanding private care options for veterans (92-5)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.4%
Plus-minus
+5.6
May 17 Nomination of Gina Haspel to be director of the CIA (54-45)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
37.0%
Plus-minus
-37.0
May 16 Reinstating net neutrality rules (52-47)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.1%
Plus-minus
-29.1
April 26 Nomination of Mike Pompeo to be secretary of state (57-42)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
38.4%
Plus-minus
-38.4
April 18 Repeal of guidance meant to protect borrowers from discriminatory markups on auto loans (51-47)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.4%
Plus-minus
-32.4
March 23 The 2018 fiscal year appropriations bill (65-32)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.0%
Plus-minus
+31.0
March 14 Rolling back some bank regulations put in place by the Dodd-Frank Act (67-31)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.5%
Plus-minus
-69.5
Feb. 15 White House immigration proposal (39-60)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
25.2%
Plus-minus
-25.2
Feb. 15 Bipartisan immigration proposal (54-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.8%
Plus-minus
-31.8
Feb. 9 Two-year budget bill (71-28)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.4%
Plus-minus
+29.6
Feb. 8 Department of Defense Appropriations Act (55-44)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
37.6%
Plus-minus
-37.6
Jan. 29 Banning abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy (51-46)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.1%
Plus-minus
-33.1
Jan. 24 Nomination of Alex Azar to be secretary of health and human services (55-43)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
41.1%
Plus-minus
-41.1
Jan. 22 Extension of government funding for three weeks, ending the shutdown (81-18)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
81.0%
Plus-minus
+19.0
Jan. 19 Extension of government funding for four weeks (50-49)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.6%
Plus-minus
-29.6
Jan. 18 Reauthorizing warrantless spying program as part of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (65-34)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
59.3%
Plus-minus
-59.3
Average
26.3%
47.9%
-21.6

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump's 2016 vote margin in every member's state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member's vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

Comments