UPDATED Jan. 13, 2021 at 5:11 PM

Tracking Congress In The Age Of Trump

An updating tally of how often every member of the House and the Senate votes with or against the president.

Tina Smith

D
Democratic senator for Minnesota
Trump score
How often Smith votes in line with Trump’s position
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
Predicted score
How often Smith is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Smith’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
Career
25.0%
-1.5 
43.3%
-18.3 
117th Congress
0.0%
-1.5 
3.6%
-3.6 
116th Congress
20.9%
-1.5 
39.5%
-18.6 
115th Congress
33.3%
-1.5 
52.1%
-18.8 
Trump score
How often Smith votes in line with Trump’s position
25.0%
Trump margin
Trump’s share of the vote in the 2016 election in the member’s state or district minus Clinton’s
-1.5 
Predicted score
How often Smith is expected to support Trump based on Trump’s 2016 margin
43.3%
Trump plus-minus
Difference between Smith’s actual and predicted Trump-support scores
-18.3 

117th Congress (2021-22)

Democratic senator for Minnesota
DateMeasureTrump PositionSmith VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Jan. 7 Objecting to Pennsylvania’s presidential electors (7-92)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.8%
Plus-minus
-3.8
Jan. 6 Objecting to Arizona’s presidential electors (6-93)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.3%
Plus-minus
-3.3
Average
0.0%
3.6%
-3.6

116th Congress (2019-20)

Democratic senator for Minnesota
DateMeasureTrump PositionSmith VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 28, 2020 Overriding President Trump’s veto of the National Defense Authorization Act (81-13)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
14.4%
Plus-minus
-14.4
Dec. 21, 2020 Pandemic aid bill (92-6)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.5%
Plus-minus
+4.5
Dec. 11, 2020 The National Defense Authorization Act (84-13)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
14.1%
Plus-minus
-14.1
Oct. 26, 2020 Nomination of Amy Coney Barrett to be an associate justice of the Supreme Court (52-48)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.4%
Plus-minus
-31.4
July 20, 2020 Nomination of Russell Vought to be director of the office of management and budget (51-45)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.9%
Plus-minus
-32.9
May 21, 2020 Nomination of John L. Ratcliffe to be director of national intelligence (49-44)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.8%
Plus-minus
-32.8
March 25, 2020 $2 trillion economic stimulus package in response to the coronavirus pandemic (96-0)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
100.0%
Plus-minus
0.0
March 18, 2020 Providing assistance to people affected by the coronavirus (90-8)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
96.8%
Plus-minus
+3.2
March 11, 2020 Reversing a Department of Education regulation on student loans (53-42)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
22.3%
Plus-minus
-22.3
Feb. 13, 2020 Restricting President Trump from taking military action against Iran without congressional approval (55-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
26.8%
Plus-minus
-26.8
Feb. 5, 2020 Whether to convict President Trump on a charge of obstruction of Congress (47-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.6%
Plus-minus
-33.6
Feb. 5, 2020 Whether to convict President Trump on a charge of abuse of power (48-52)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.7%
Plus-minus
-32.7
Jan. 16, 2020 United States-Mexico-Canada trade agreement (89-10)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.4%
Plus-minus
+4.6
Jan. 7, 2020 Nomination of Jovita Carranza to be administrator of the Small Business Administration (88-5)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.7%
Plus-minus
+2.3
Dec. 2, 2019 Nomination of Dan R. Brouillette to be secretary of energy (70-15)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
83.8%
Plus-minus
+16.2
Oct. 31, 2019 Funding the Department of Commerce, the Department of Justice and several other parts of the government (84-9)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
7.4%
Plus-minus
-7.4
Oct. 30, 2019 Reversing Trump administration guidance on Affordable Care Act waivers (43-52)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.5%
Plus-minus
-32.5
Oct. 23, 2019 Repeal of an Internal Revenue Service regulation on state and local tax deductions (43-52)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
35.4%
Plus-minus
-35.4
Oct. 17, 2019 Repeal of an Environmental Protection Agency rule on emissions (41-53)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.8%
Plus-minus
-29.8
Sept. 26, 2019 Nomination of Eugene Scalia to be secretary of labor (53-44)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
34.1%
Plus-minus
-34.1
Sept. 25, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (54-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
22.2%
Plus-minus
-22.2
Aug. 1, 2019 Two-year budget bill (67-28)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
78.8%
Plus-minus
+21.2
July 29, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (46-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
26.2%
Plus-minus
-26.2
July 29, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill blocking the sale of arms to the United Arab Emirates (45-39)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
24.1%
Plus-minus
-24.1
July 29, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (45-40)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
24.0%
Plus-minus
-24.0
July 23, 2019 Nomination of Mark T. Esper to be secretary of defense (90-8)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.8%
Plus-minus
+5.2
June 26, 2019 Providing humanitarian aid for the U.S.-Mexico border (37-55)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
43.6%
Plus-minus
-43.6
June 20, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (51-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
28.5%
Plus-minus
-28.5
June 20, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (53-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
27.0%
Plus-minus
-27.0
June 20, 2019 Blocking the sale of arms to Saudi Arabia (53-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
27.0%
Plus-minus
-27.0
May 23, 2019 Providing disaster relief money, including additional aid for Puerto Rico (85-8)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.1%
Plus-minus
-3.1
May 2, 2019 Overriding President Trump’s veto of a bill ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (53-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
26.5%
Plus-minus
-26.5
April 11, 2019 Nomination of David Bernhardt to be secretary of the interior (56-41)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
39.2%
Plus-minus
-39.2
March 14, 2019 Overturning President Trump’s emergency declaration for border wall funding (59-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
21.3%
Plus-minus
-21.3
March 13, 2019 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (54-46)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
27.2%
Plus-minus
-27.2
Feb. 28, 2019 Nomination of Andrew Wheeler to be administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (52-47)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.2%
Plus-minus
-32.2
Feb. 25, 2019 Setting requirements for the care of infants born after failed abortions (53-44)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.3%
Plus-minus
-33.3
Feb. 14, 2019 Nomination of William Barr to be attorney general (54-45)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.1%
Plus-minus
-33.1
Feb. 4, 2019 Disapproving of withdrawal of U.S. forces from Afghanistan and Syria (70-26)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
30.8%
Plus-minus
+69.2
Jan. 24, 2019 Funding the federal government through Feb. 8, without money for a border wall (52-44)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
24.4%
Plus-minus
-24.4
Jan. 24, 2019 Funding the federal government through Sept. 30 and providing $5.7 billion for a border wall (50-47)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.6%
Plus-minus
-31.6
Jan. 17, 2019 Permanent ban on the use of federal funds for abortion or health coverage that includes abortions (48-47)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
28.9%
Plus-minus
-28.9
Jan. 16, 2019 Disapproving of the Trump administration’s plan to lift sanctions on three Russian companies (57-42)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
21.9%
Plus-minus
-21.9
Average
20.9%
39.5%
-18.6

115th Congress (2017-18)

Democratic senator for Minnesota
DateMeasureTrump PositionSmith VoteAgree with Trump?Likelihood of agreementPlus-minus
Dec. 18, 2018 Making changes to federal sentencing and prison laws (87-12)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
95.5%
Plus-minus
+4.5
Dec. 13, 2018 Ending U.S. military assistance to Saudi-led forces in the war in Yemen (56-41)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
24.3%
Plus-minus
-24.3
Dec. 12, 2018 Repeal of a rule allowing disclosure of less information by politically active nonprofit groups (50-49)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
30.9%
Plus-minus
-30.9
Dec. 11, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (conference committee report) (87-13)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
91.3%
Plus-minus
+8.7
Oct. 10, 2018 Repeal of a rule expanding short-term health insurance plans (50-50)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.8%
Plus-minus
-31.8
Oct. 6, 2018 Nomination of Brett M. Kavanaugh to be associate justice of the Supreme Court (50-48)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.6%
Plus-minus
-32.6
Sept. 17, 2018 Broad legislation to address the opioid crisis (99-1)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
99.4%
Plus-minus
+0.6
July 23, 2018 Nomination of Robert L. Wilkie to be secretary of veterans affairs (86-9)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
97.5%
Plus-minus
+2.5
July 11, 2018 Nonbinding motion calling for congressional approval of national security tariffs (88-11)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
3.5%
Plus-minus
-3.5
June 28, 2018 The 2018 farm bill (86-11)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
92.1%
Plus-minus
+7.9
June 20, 2018 Rescinding previously approved but unspent funding (48-50)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.9%
Plus-minus
-29.9
May 23, 2018 Expanding private care options for veterans (92-5)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
94.4%
Plus-minus
+5.6
May 17, 2018 Nomination of Gina Haspel to be director of the CIA (54-45)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
37.0%
Plus-minus
-37.0
May 16, 2018 Reinstating net neutrality rules (52-47)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.1%
Plus-minus
-29.1
April 26, 2018 Nomination of Mike Pompeo to be secretary of state (57-42)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
38.4%
Plus-minus
-38.4
April 18, 2018 Repeal of guidance meant to protect borrowers from discriminatory markups on auto loans (51-47)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
32.4%
Plus-minus
-32.4
March 23, 2018 The 2018 fiscal year appropriations bill (65-32)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.0%
Plus-minus
+31.0
March 14, 2018 Rolling back some bank regulations put in place by the Dodd-Frank Act (67-31)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
69.5%
Plus-minus
-69.5
Feb. 15, 2018 White House immigration proposal (39-60)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
25.2%
Plus-minus
-25.2
Feb. 15, 2018 Bipartisan immigration proposal (54-45)
Trump Position
oppose
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
31.8%
Plus-minus
-31.8
Feb. 9, 2018 Two-year budget bill (71-28)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
70.4%
Plus-minus
+29.6
Feb. 8, 2018 Department of Defense Appropriations Act (55-44)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
37.6%
Plus-minus
-37.6
Jan. 29, 2018 Banning abortions after 20 weeks of pregnancy (51-46)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
33.1%
Plus-minus
-33.1
Jan. 24, 2018 Nomination of Alex Azar to be secretary of health and human services (55-43)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
41.1%
Plus-minus
-41.1
Jan. 22, 2018 Extension of government funding for three weeks, ending the shutdown (81-18)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
Yes
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
81.0%
Plus-minus
+19.0
Jan. 19, 2018 Extension of government funding for four weeks (50-49)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
29.6%
Plus-minus
-29.6
Jan. 18, 2018 Reauthorizing warrantless spying program as part of the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (65-34)
Trump Position
support
Smith Vote
No
Agree with Trump?
Likelihood of agreement
59.3%
Plus-minus
-59.3
Average
33.3%
52.1%
-18.8

Members’ “likelihood of agreement” scores on each vote are calculated using a regression for which the input is Trump’s 2016 vote margin in every member’s state or district and the output is the probability that a member will vote for the bill. The plus-minus on each vote is the difference between the member’s vote (100 percent for a “yes,” 0 percent for a “no”) and the likelihood of agreement. Averages do not include missed votes. How this works »

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