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No candidate in either of Georgia’s Senate races won a majority of the vote on Nov. 3, triggering a runoff for both seats, with the top two candidates in each race facing off. Control of the Senate now hinges on the outcome of these two races.
Republican Sen. David Perdue is running for reelection against Democrat Jon Ossoff in a regularly scheduled election.
Republican Sen. Kelly Loeffler faces Democrat Raphael Warnock in a special election. Loeffler was appointed to fill former Sen. Johnny Isakson’s seat after he resigned.
The Senate currently stands at 50 Republicans and 48 Democrats. If Democrats win both runoffs, the party will have control of the chamber because Vice President-elect Kamala Harris would break any ties. But if Republicans win one of the two races, they will maintain control.
FiveThirtyEight’s averages use all runoff polls conducted since the Nov. 3 general election. We adjust polls for house effects based on how much each poll differs from the polling consensus.
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 2-4 | 857 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 51% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +5 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +3 Loeffler 47% 51% Warnock LeaderWarnock +4 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +3 | |||
| Jan. 2-3 | 500 | LV | |
Perdue 45% 46% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +1 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +4 Loeffler 45% 46% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +4 | |||
| Dec. 30-Jan. 3 | 713 | LV | |
Perdue 50% 50% Ossoff LeaderTie Adjusted LeaderTie Loeffler 49% 51% Warnock LeaderWarnock +2 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2 | |||
| Dec. 30-Jan. 3 | 550 | LV | |
Perdue 49% 48% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +1 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1 Loeffler 49% 48% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +1 Adjusted LeaderTie | |||
| Jan. 3 | 500 | LV | |
Perdue 49% 49% Ossoff LeaderTie Adjusted LeaderTie Loeffler 49% 49% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +1 Adjusted LeaderTie | |||
| Dec. 25-Jan. 1 | 1,680 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 51% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +4 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +3 Loeffler 47% 51% Warnock LeaderWarnock +4 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +3 | |||
| Dec. 29-30 | 1,011 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 50% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +3 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +2 Loeffler 47% 49% Warnock LeaderWarnock +2 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2 | |||
| Dec. 28-29 | 500 | LV | |
Perdue 45% 53% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +8 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +7 Loeffler 45% 54% Warnock LeaderWarnock +9 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +8 | |||
| Dec. 23-27 | 1,022 | LV | |
Perdue 48% 50% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +3 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +5 Loeffler 49% 50% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +5 | |||
| Dec. 21-27 | 1,405 | LV | |
Perdue 50% 46% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +4 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +2 Loeffler 50% 46% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +4 Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +2 | |||
| Dec. 18-22 | 578 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 50% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +3 Adjusted LeaderTie Loeffler 47% 50% Warnock LeaderWarnock +3 Adjusted LeaderTie | |||
| Dec. 14-22 | 1,027 | LV | |
Perdue 43% 42% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +1 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1 Loeffler 42% 43% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1 | |||
| Dec. 21-22 | 500 | LV | |
Perdue 49% 48% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +2 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1 Loeffler 47% 49% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2 | |||
| Dec. 16-20 | 600 | LV | |
Perdue 46% 51% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +5 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +4 Loeffler 45% 52% Warnock LeaderWarnock +7 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +5 | |||
| Dec. 14-16 | 605 | LV | |
Perdue 51% 49% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +2 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1 Loeffler 51% 49% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +2 Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +2 | |||
| Dec. 14-16 | 1,064 | LV | |
Perdue 50% 48% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +3 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1 Loeffler 52% 46% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +7 Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +2 | |||
| Dec. 10-14 | 1,500 | LV | |
Perdue 51% 47% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +4 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +3 Loeffler 50% 48% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +3 Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +1 | |||
| Dec. 14 | 500 | LV | |
Perdue 49% 48% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +1 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +1 Loeffler 49% 48% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +1 Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +1 | |||
| Dec. 8-14 | 1,417 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 49% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +2 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +1 Loeffler 48% 49% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1 | |||
| Dec. 8-10 | 1,018 | LV | |
Perdue 49% 49% Ossoff LeaderTie Adjusted LeaderOssoff +2 Loeffler 50% 47% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +3 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1 | |||
| Nov. 30-Dec. 4 | 1,250 | LV | |
Perdue 46% 48% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +2 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +1 Loeffler 46% 47% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1 | |||
| Dec. 1-3 | 1,083 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 48% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +1 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +3 Loeffler 50% 45% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +5 Adjusted LeaderLoeffler +1 | |||
| Nov. 27-30 | 583 | LV | |
Perdue 48% 50% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +2 Adjusted LeaderOssoff +1 Loeffler 45% 52% Warnock LeaderWarnock +7 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +5 | |||
| Nov. 19-24 | 1,377 | LV | |
Perdue 47% 48% Ossoff LeaderOssoff +1 Adjusted LeaderTie Loeffler 46% 48% Warnock LeaderWarnock +2 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +2 | |||
| Nov. 15-20 | 1,476 | LV | |
Perdue 50% 48% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +2 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +4 Loeffler 47% 50% Warnock LeaderWarnock +3 Adjusted LeaderTie | |||
| Nov. 16 | 800 | LV | |
Perdue 49% 49% Ossoff LeaderTie Adjusted LeaderTie Loeffler 48% 49% Warnock LeaderWarnock +1 Adjusted LeaderWarnock +1 | |||
| Nov. 10 | 300 | LV | |
Loeffler 50% 46% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +4 Adjusted LeaderTie | |||
| Nov. 8-9 | 1,450 | LV | |
Perdue 50% 46% Ossoff LeaderPerdue +4 Adjusted LeaderPerdue +3 Loeffler 49% 48% Warnock LeaderLoeffler +1 Adjusted LeaderTie | |||
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Perdue | Ossoff | Leader | Adjusted Leader | Loeffler | Warnock | Leader | Adjusted Leader | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan. 2-4 | 857 | LV | 47% | 51% | Ossoff +5 | Ossoff +3 | 47% | 51% | Warnock +4 | Warnock +3 | |
| Jan. 2-3 | 500 | LV | 45% | 46% | Ossoff +1 | Ossoff +4 | 45% | 46% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +4 | |
| Dec. 30-Jan. 3 | 713 | LV | 50% | 50% | Tie | Tie | 49% | 51% | Warnock +2 | Warnock +2 | |
| Dec. 30-Jan. 3 | 550 | LV | 49% | 48% | Perdue +1 | Perdue +1 | 49% | 48% | Loeffler +1 | Tie | |
| Jan. 3 | 500 | LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Tie | 49% | 49% | Loeffler +1 | Tie | |
| Dec. 25-Jan. 1 | 1,680 | LV | 47% | 51% | Ossoff +4 | Ossoff +3 | 47% | 51% | Warnock +4 | Warnock +3 | |
| Dec. 29-30 | 1,011 | LV | 47% | 50% | Ossoff +3 | Ossoff +2 | 47% | 49% | Warnock +2 | Warnock +2 | |
| Dec. 28-29 | 500 | LV | 45% | 53% | Ossoff +8 | Ossoff +7 | 45% | 54% | Warnock +9 | Warnock +8 | |
| Dec. 23-27 | 1,022 | LV | 48% | 50% | Ossoff +3 | Ossoff +5 | 49% | 50% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +5 | |
| Dec. 21-27 | 1,405 | LV | 50% | 46% | Perdue +4 | Perdue +2 | 50% | 46% | Loeffler +4 | Loeffler +2 | |
| Dec. 18-22 | 578 | LV | 47% | 50% | Ossoff +3 | Tie | 47% | 50% | Warnock +3 | Tie | |
| Dec. 14-22 | 1,027 | LV | 43% | 42% | Perdue +1 | Perdue +1 | 42% | 43% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 | |
| Dec. 21-22 | 500 | LV | 49% | 48% | Perdue +2 | Perdue +1 | 47% | 49% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +2 | |
| Dec. 16-20 | 600 | LV | 46% | 51% | Ossoff +5 | Ossoff +4 | 45% | 52% | Warnock +7 | Warnock +5 | |
| Dec. 14-16 | 605 | LV | 51% | 49% | Perdue +2 | Perdue +1 | 51% | 49% | Loeffler +2 | Loeffler +2 | |
| Dec. 14-16 | 1,064 | LV | 50% | 48% | Perdue +3 | Perdue +1 | 52% | 46% | Loeffler +7 | Loeffler +2 | |
| Dec. 10-14 | 1,500 | LV | 51% | 47% | Perdue +4 | Perdue +3 | 50% | 48% | Loeffler +3 | Loeffler +1 | |
| Dec. 14 | 500 | LV | 49% | 48% | Perdue +1 | Perdue +1 | 49% | 48% | Loeffler +1 | Loeffler +1 | |
| Dec. 8-14 | 1,417 | LV | 47% | 49% | Ossoff +2 | Ossoff +1 | 48% | 49% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 | |
| Dec. 8-10 | 1,018 | LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Ossoff +2 | 50% | 47% | Loeffler +3 | Warnock +1 | |
| Nov. 30-Dec. 4 | 1,250 | LV | 46% | 48% | Ossoff +2 | Ossoff +1 | 46% | 47% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 | |
| Dec. 1-3 | 1,083 | LV | 47% | 48% | Ossoff +1 | Ossoff +3 | 50% | 45% | Loeffler +5 | Loeffler +1 | |
| Nov. 27-30 | 583 | LV | 48% | 50% | Ossoff +2 | Ossoff +1 | 45% | 52% | Warnock +7 | Warnock +5 | |
| Nov. 19-24 | 1,377 | LV | 47% | 48% | Ossoff +1 | Tie | 46% | 48% | Warnock +2 | Warnock +2 | |
| Nov. 15-20 | 1,476 | LV | 50% | 48% | Perdue +2 | Perdue +4 | 47% | 50% | Warnock +3 | Tie | |
| Nov. 16 | 800 | LV | 49% | 49% | Tie | Tie | 48% | 49% | Warnock +1 | Warnock +1 | |
| Nov. 10 | 300 | LV | 50% | 46% | Loeffler +4 | Tie | |||||
| Nov. 8-9 | 1,450 | LV | 50% | 46% | Perdue +4 | Perdue +3 | 49% | 48% | Loeffler +1 | Tie | |
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