UPDATED Jan. 15, 2021, at 5:25 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 12-14, 2021
2,200 A
Jan 12-14, 2021
2,200AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+26
Presidential approval

Jan 11-14, 2021
1,500 LV
Jan 11-14, 2021
1,500LVApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

52%
52%
DisapproveDisapprove+4
Presidential approval

Jan 10-13, 2021
1,002 A
Jan 10-13, 2021
1,002AApprove
38%

Approve

38%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+22
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
5,630 A
Jan 8-12, 2021
5,630AApprove
29%

Approve

29%

Disapprove

68%
68%
DisapproveDisapprove+39

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
1,163 RV
Jan 8-12, 2021
1,163RVApprove
35%

Approve

35%

Disapprove

63%
63%
DisapproveDisapprove+28
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
1,399 A
Jan 8-12, 2021
1,399AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+27
Presidential approval

Jan 6-12, 2021
31,920 LV
Jan 6-12, 2021
31,920LVApprove
36%

Approve

36%

Disapprove

57%
57%
DisapproveDisapprove+21

Jan. 13, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 10-12, 2021
1,293 RV
Jan 10-12, 2021
1,293RVApprove
41%

Approve

41%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+14
Presidential approval

Jan 10-12, 2021
1,500 A
Jan 10-12, 2021
1,500AApprove
39%

Approve

39%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+16
Presidential approval

Jan 8-11, 2021
1,000 RV
Jan 8-11, 2021
1,000RVApprove
36%

Approve

36%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+25

Jan. 12, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 8-11, 2021
2,200 A
Jan 8-11, 2021
2,200AApprove
35%

Approve

35%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+26
Presidential approval

Jan 8-11, 2021
2,854 RV
Jan 8-11, 2021
2,854RVApprove
44%

Approve

44%

Disapprove

56%
56%
DisapproveDisapprove+12
Presidential approval

Jan 9-10, 2021
1,129 LV
Jan 9-10, 2021
1,129LVApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

58%
58%
DisapproveDisapprove+16
Presidential approval

Dec 16-19, 2020
2,200 A
Dec 16-19, 2020
2,200AApprove
40%

Approve

40%

Disapprove

56%
56%
DisapproveDisapprove+16
Presidential approval

Dec 6-7, 2020
1,230 LV
Dec 6-7, 2020
1,230LVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+7
Presidential approval

Nov 5-6, 2020
1,095 LV
Nov 5-6, 2020
1,095LVApprove
45%

Approve

45%

Disapprove

52%
52%
DisapproveDisapprove+7

Jan. 11, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 8-11, 2021
1,996 RV
Jan 8-11, 2021
1,996RVApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

63%
63%
DisapproveDisapprove+29
Presidential approval

Jan 8-10, 2021
2,200 A
Jan 8-10, 2021
2,200AApprove
36%

Approve

36%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+24
Presidential approval

Jan 7-10, 2021
1,239 RV
Jan 7-10, 2021
1,239RVApprove
33%

Approve

33%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+27
Presidential approval

Jan 6-10, 2021
1,500 LV
Jan 6-10, 2021
1,500LVApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

51%
51%
DisapproveDisapprove+3
Presidential approval

Jan 6-8, 2021
2,200 A
Jan 6-8, 2021
2,200AApprove
38%

Approve

38%

Disapprove

57%
57%
DisapproveDisapprove+19
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