UPDATED Jan. 20, 2021, at 11:43 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 16-19, 2021
1,155 RV
Jan 16-19, 2021
1,155RVApprove
44%

Approve

44%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+11
Presidential approval

Jan 16-19, 2021
1,500 A
Jan 16-19, 2021
1,500AApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+11
Presidential approval

Jan 16-19, 2021
990 RV
Jan 16-19, 2021
990RVApprove
29%

Approve

29%

Disapprove

67%
67%
DisapproveDisapprove+38
Presidential approval

Jan 16-19, 2021
1,100 A
Jan 16-19, 2021
1,100AApprove
30%

Approve

30%

Disapprove

66%
66%
DisapproveDisapprove+36
Presidential approval

Jan 12-14, 2021
2,006 RV
Jan 12-14, 2021
2,006RVApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+6

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 15-19, 2021
5,188 A
Jan 15-19, 2021
5,188AApprove
45%

Approve

45%

Disapprove

54%
54%
DisapproveDisapprove+9
Presidential approval

Jan 14-18, 2021
1,500 LV
Jan 14-18, 2021
1,500LVApprove
51%

Approve

51%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveApprove+3
Presidential approval

Jan 15-17, 2021
1,993 RV
Jan 15-17, 2021
1,993RVApprove
39%

Approve

39%

Disapprove

58%
58%
DisapproveDisapprove+19
Presidential approval

Jan 11-13, 2021
1,012 RV
Jan 11-13, 2021
1,012RVApprove
40%

Approve

40%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+15
Presidential approval

Jan 11-13, 2021
1,173 A
Jan 11-13, 2021
1,173AApprove
38%

Approve

38%

Disapprove

57%
57%
DisapproveDisapprove+19
Presidential approval

Jan 8-11, 2021
1,996 RV
Jan 8-11, 2021
1,996RVApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

63%
63%
DisapproveDisapprove+29

Jan. 18, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 15-17, 2021
1,131 RV
Jan 15-17, 2021
1,131RVApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

61%
61%
DisapproveDisapprove+27
Presidential approval

Jan 4-15, 2021
1,023 A
Jan 4-15, 2021
1,023AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

62%
62%
DisapproveDisapprove+28
Presidential approval

Dec 16-22, 2020
1,000 LV
Dec 16-22, 2020
1,000LVApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+6

Jan. 17, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 13-15, 2021
2,166 A
Jan 13-15, 2021
2,166AApprove
41%

Approve

41%

Disapprove

59%
59%
DisapproveDisapprove+18
Presidential approval

Jan 12-15, 2021
1,000 RV
Jan 12-15, 2021
1,000RVApprove
41%

Approve

41%

Disapprove

54%
54%
DisapproveDisapprove+13
Presidential approval

Jan 9-14, 2021
1,003 A
Jan 9-14, 2021
1,003AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

62%
62%
DisapproveDisapprove+28
Presidential approval

Jan 10-13, 2021
1,000 RV
Jan 10-13, 2021
1,000RVApprove
43%

Approve

43%

Disapprove

55%
55%
DisapproveDisapprove+12
Presidential approval

Jan 6-8, 2021
1,163 RV
Jan 6-8, 2021
1,163RVApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

52%
52%
DisapproveDisapprove+10

Jan. 15, 2021

Presidential approval
Presidential approval

Jan 12-14, 2021
2,200 A
Jan 12-14, 2021
2,200AApprove
34%

Approve

34%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+26
Presidential approval

Jan 10-13, 2021
1,002 A
Jan 10-13, 2021
1,002AApprove
38%

Approve

38%

Disapprove

60%
60%
DisapproveDisapprove+22
Presidential approval

Jan 8-12, 2021
5,630 A
Jan 8-12, 2021
5,630AApprove
29%

Approve

29%

Disapprove

68%
68%
DisapproveDisapprove+39
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