See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 19, 2021, at 9:36 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added today

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 14-18, 2021
1,500 LV
Oct 14-18, 2021
1,500LVApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

56%
56%
DisapproveDisapprove+14
Governor
Governor
Okla.Okla.
Oct 12-14, 2021
500 RV
Oct 12-14, 2021
500RVHofmeister
33%

Hofmeister

33%

Stitt

49%
49%
StittStitt+16
Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 9-12, 2021
2,200 A
Oct 9-12, 2021
2,200AApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveDisapprove+1
Biden approval

Oct 8-12, 2021
2,200 A
Oct 8-12, 2021
2,200AApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveDisapprove+1
Biden approval

Oct 7-11, 2021
1,001 RV
Oct 7-11, 2021
1,001RVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

51%
51%
DisapproveDisapprove+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

Biden approval
Biden approval

Sep 8-11, 2021
2,200 A
Sep 8-11, 2021
2,200AApprove
47%

Approve

47%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveDisapprove+1

Oct. 14, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 11-13, 2021
1,200 RV
Oct 11-13, 2021
1,200RVDemocrat
40%

Democrat

40%

Republican

41%
41%
RepublicanRepublican+1
Governor
Governor
Va.Va.
Oct 11-13, 2021
1,095 LV
Oct 11-13, 2021
1,095LVMcAuliffe
48%

McAuliffe

48%

Youngkin

48%
48%
YoungkinYoungkin+1
Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 11-13, 2021
2,201 A
Oct 11-13, 2021
2,201AApprove
48%

Approve

48%

Disapprove

47%
47%
DisapproveApprove+1
Biden approval

Sep 30-Oct 1, 2021
758 RV
Sep 30-Oct 1, 2021
758RVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

47%
47%
DisapproveDisapprove+1

Oct. 13, 2021

Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 13-14, 2021
1,005 A
Oct 13-14, 2021
1,005AApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

48%
48%
DisapproveDisapprove+2
Biden approval

Oct 11-13, 2021
1,500 LV
Oct 11-13, 2021
1,500LVApprove
43%

Approve

43%

Disapprove

56%
56%
DisapproveDisapprove+13
Governor
Governor
Va.Va.
Oct 10-13, 2021
726 LV
Oct 10-13, 2021
726LVMcAuliffe
51%

McAuliffe

51%

Youngkin

46%
46%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+5
Governor
Va.Va.
Oct 10-13, 2021
1,004 RV
Oct 10-13, 2021
1,004RVMcAuliffe
52%

McAuliffe

52%

Youngkin

41%
41%
YoungkinMcAuliffe+11
Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 8-12, 2021
2,200 A
Oct 8-12, 2021
2,200AApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

49%
49%
DisapproveDisapprove+3
Biden approval

Oct 6-12, 2021
15,000 A
Oct 6-12, 2021
15,000AApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

47%
47%
DisapproveDisapprove+1

Oct. 12, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 9-12, 2021
1,266 RV
Oct 9-12, 2021
1,266RVDemocrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

37%
37%
RepublicanDemocrat+8
Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 9-12, 2021
1,266 RV
Oct 9-12, 2021
1,266RVApprove
42%

Approve

42%

Disapprove

51%
51%
DisapproveDisapprove+9
Biden approval

Oct 9-12, 2021
1,500 A
Oct 9-12, 2021
1,500AApprove
40%

Approve

40%

Disapprove

50%
50%
DisapproveDisapprove+10
Biden approval

Oct 8-11, 2021
1,999 RV
Oct 8-11, 2021
1,999RVApprove
46%

Approve

46%

Disapprove

51%
51%
DisapproveDisapprove+5
President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary

Oct 8-11, 2021
803 RV
Oct 8-11, 2021
803RVTrump Sr.
47%

Trump Sr.

47%

Pence

12%

DeSantis

12%

Trump Jr.

6%

Rubio

3%

Haley

3%

Cruz

3%

Romney

3%

Cheney

2%

Cotton

1%

T. Scott

1%

Noem

1%

R. Scott

1%

Hawley

0%

Hogan

0%

Pompeo

0%
MoreTrump Sr.+35
Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 8-11, 2021
1,999 RV
Oct 8-11, 2021
1,999RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

41%
41%
RepublicanDemocrat+2
Biden approval
Biden approval

Oct 7-11, 2021
Oct 7-11, 2021
Approve
50%

Approve

50%

Disapprove

50%
50%
DisapproveEven
Biden approval

Oct 7-11, 2021
1,000 A
Oct 7-11, 2021
1,000AApprove
50%

Approve

50%

Disapprove

49%
49%
DisapproveApprove+1
Biden approval

Oct 8-10, 2021
1,000 A
Oct 8-10, 2021
1,000AApprove
45%

Approve

45%

Disapprove

53%
53%
DisapproveDisapprove+8
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