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Who’s ahead in the Arizona ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Nov. 3, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+5
Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

51%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
51%
TrumpTrump+5

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Nov. 3-4, 2024
875LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Lake+1

Nov. 2, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
750LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
750LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+1
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,090LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,090LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+2
Nov. 1-3, 2024
801RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
801RV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 2-3, 2024
750LV
Nov. 2-3, 2024
750LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+3
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,090LV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
1,090LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Gallego+1
Nov. 1-3, 2024
801RV
Nov. 1-3, 2024
801RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Gallego+2

Nov. 1, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+3
Nov. 1-2, 2024
967LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
967LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

52%
52%
Trump  Trump+7
Nov. 1-2, 2024
967LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
967LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

52%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
52%
TrumpTrump+7
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
900LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
900LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025LV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

48%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
48%
TrumpTrump+4
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025LV
Harris
45%
Harris
45%

Harris

45%

Trump

49%
49%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025RV
Harris
42%
Harris
42%

Harris

42%

Trump

47%

Stein

3%

Oliver

2%
47%
TrumpTrump+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025RV
Harris
44%
Harris
44%

Harris

44%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+4

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
800LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Gallego+2
Nov. 1-2, 2024
967LV
Nov. 1-2, 2024
967LV
Gallego
47%
Gallego
47%

Gallego

47%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Lake+2
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
900LV
Oct. 30-Nov. 2, 2024
900LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025LV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025LV
Gallego
50%
Gallego
50%

Gallego

50%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025RV
Oct. 25-Nov. 2, 2024
1,025RV
Gallego
51%
Gallego
51%

Gallego

51%

Lake

43%
43%
Lake  Gallego+8

Oct. 31, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 8-Nov. 1, 2024
400LV
Oct. 8-Nov. 1, 2024
400LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+2
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,779LV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,779LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

49%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
49%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,603RV
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,603RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpHarris+2
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,779A
Oct. 3-Nov. 1, 2024
1,779A
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

47%

Stein

2%

Oliver

1%
47%
TrumpHarris+2

Oct. 30, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31, 2024
750LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
750LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,005LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,005LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

51%
51%
Trump  Trump+4
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,005LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,005LV
Harris
46%
Harris
46%

Harris

46%

Trump

51%

Stein

1%

Oliver

1%
51%
TrumpTrump+5
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+3
Oct. 28-31, 2024
652LV
Oct. 28-31, 2024
652LV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Oliver

1%

Stein

1%
48%
TrumpTrump+1
Oct. 25-31, 2024
856LV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
856LV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-31, 2024
880RV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
880RV
Harris
49%
Harris
49%

Harris

49%

Trump

50%
50%
Trump  Trump+1
Oct. 25-31, 2024
856LV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
856LV
Harris
48%
Harris
48%

Harris

48%

Trump

48%

Stein

0%

West

0%
48%
TrumpEven
Oct. 25-31, 2024
880RV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
880RV
Harris
47%
Harris
47%

Harris

47%

Trump

48%

Stein

1%

West

0%
48%
TrumpTrump+1

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,005LV
Oct. 30-31, 2024
1,005LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

49%
49%
Lake  Lake+1
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Oct. 29-31, 2024
800LV
Gallego
48%
Gallego
48%

Gallego

48%

Lake

48%
48%
Lake  Even
Oct. 25-31, 2024
856LV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
856LV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

45%
45%
Lake  Gallego+4
Oct. 25-31, 2024
880RV
Oct. 25-31, 2024
880RV
Gallego
49%
Gallego
49%

Gallego

49%

Lake

44%
44%
Lake  Gallego+5
Oct. 5-31, 2024
400LV
Oct. 5-31, 2024
400LV
Gallego
54%
Gallego
54%

Gallego

54%

Lake

46%
46%
Lake  Gallego+9
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Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

The position of the flag indicates whether the organization is partisan. Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, campaign committee, PAC, super PAC, hybrid PAC, 501(c)(4), 501(c)(5) or 501(c)(6) organization that conducts a large majority of its political activity on behalf of one political party.

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