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Who’s ahead in the Arizona ?

An updating average, accounting for each poll's recency, sample size, methodology and house effects.

KEY

ESTIMATE

95% OF POLLS PROJECTED TO FALL IN THIS RANGE

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending July 9, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 8-10
419LV
July 8-10
419LV
Biden
39%
Biden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

43%

Kennedy

7%

Stein

1%

Oliver

0%
43%
TrumpTrump+4

July 4, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Biden
45%
Biden
45%

Biden

45%

Trump

48%
48%
Trump  Trump+3
July 1-5
781RV
July 1-5
781RV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

45%

Kennedy

9%

West

1%

Stein

0%

Oliver

0%
45%
TrumpTrump+7

July 1, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 30-July 2
1,000RV
June 30-July 2
1,000RV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

46%
46%
Trump  Trump+4

June 30, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 29-July 1
638LV
June 29-July 1
638LV
Biden
42%
Biden
42%

Biden

42%

Trump

49%

Kennedy

4%

Stein

1%

West

0%
49%
TrumpTrump+7

U.S. Senate, Arizona, 2024, General election

June 29-July 1
638LV
June 29-July 1
638LV
Gallego
47%
Gallego
47%

Gallego

47%

Lake

47%
47%
Lake  Even

June 29, 2024

President: general election, Arizona, 2024
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

June 28-30
492LV
June 28-30
492LV
Biden
33%
Biden
33%

Biden

33%

Trump

48%

Kennedy

8%

Oliver

2%
48%
TrumpTrump+15
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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Candidate is an incumbent

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