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Who’s ahead in the Arkansas race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

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ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Feb. 26, 2022

Governor, Arkansas, 2022

827LV
Feb.26-27
827LV
Jones
28%
Jones
28%

Jones

28%

Sanders

58%

Harrington

3%
58%
SandersSanders+30

Nov. 1, 2020

President: general election, Arkansas, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,309LV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,309LV
Biden
38%
Biden
38%

Biden

38%

Trump

61%
61%
Trump  Trump+23
1,309RV
Oct.20-Nov.2
1,309RV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+18

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

586LV
Oct.29-Nov.2
586LV
Elliott
48%
Elliott
48%

Elliott

48%

Hill

48%
48%
Hill  Even

Oct. 20, 2020

U.S. Senate, Arkansas, 2020

591LV
Oct.9-21
591LV
Harrington
20%
Harrington
20%

Harrington

20%

Cotton

75%
75%
Cotton  Cotton+55

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

500LV
Oct.16-21
500LV
Elliott
47%
Elliott
47%

Elliott

47%

Hill

47%
47%
Hill  Even

Oct. 18, 2020

President: general election, Arkansas, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,707LV
Sep.22-Oct.19
1,707LV
Biden
40%
Biden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
Trump  Trump+18
1,707RV
Sep.22-Oct.19
1,707RV
Biden
41%
Biden
41%

Biden

41%

Trump

56%
56%
Trump  Trump+15

Oct. 12, 2020

President: general election, Arkansas, 2020
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

647LV
Oct.11-13
647LV
Biden
34%
Biden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

58%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
58%
TrumpTrump+25

U.S. Senate, Arkansas, 2020

647LV
Oct.11-13
647LV
Harrington
28%
Harrington
28%

Harrington

28%

Cotton

63%
63%
Cotton  Cotton+35

U.S. House, AR-2, 2020

644LV
Oct.11-13
644LV
Elliott
46%
Elliott
46%

Elliott

46%

Hill

46%
46%
Hill  Hill+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

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