See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 1:36 PM

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Who’s ahead in Arkansas?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
President: general election
President: general election Ark.
Ark.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
2,154 LV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
2,154LVBiden
39%

Biden

39%

Trump

60%
60%
TrumpTrump+21
President: general election Ark.
Ark.
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
2,154 RV
Sep 30-Oct 27, 2020
2,154RVBiden
40%

Biden

40%

Trump

58%
58%
TrumpTrump+18
President: general election Ark.
Ark.
Oct 9-21, 2020
591 LV
Oct 9-21, 2020
591LVBiden
32%

Biden

32%

Trump

65%
65%
TrumpTrump+33
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ark.Ark.
Oct 9-21, 2020
591 LV
Oct 9-21, 2020
591LVHarrington
20%

Harrington

20%

Cotton

75%
75%
CottonCotton+55

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 26, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
AR-2AR-2
Oct 16-21, 2020
500 LV
Oct 16-21, 2020
500LVElliott
47%

Elliott

47%

Hill

47%
47%
HillEven

Oct. 19, 2020

President: general election
President: general election Ark.
Ark.
Oct 11-13, 2020
647 LV
Oct 11-13, 2020
647LVBiden
34%

Biden

34%

Trump

58%

Jorgensen

2%

Hawkins

1%
MoreTrump+25
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ark.Ark.
Oct 11-13, 2020
647 LV
Oct 11-13, 2020
647LVHarrington
28%

Harrington

28%

Cotton

63%
63%
CottonCotton+35

Oct. 15, 2020

U.S. House
U.S. House
AR-2AR-2
Oct 11-13, 2020
644 LV
Oct 11-13, 2020
644LVElliott
46%

Elliott

46%

Hill

46%
46%
HillHill+1

Oct. 11, 2020

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ark.Ark.
Oct 7-9, 2020
600 LV
Oct 7-9, 2020
600LVHarrington
38%

Harrington

38%

Cotton

49%
49%
CottonCotton+11
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