UPDATED Jan. 26, 2022, at 6:48 PM

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Jan 22-25, 2022
1,249 RV
Jan 22-25, 2022
1,249RVDemocrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

38%
38%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot

Jan 20-24, 2022
735 RV
Jan 20-24, 2022
735RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

51%
51%
RepublicanRepublican+8
Generic ballot

Jan 20-24, 2022
794 A
Jan 20-24, 2022
794ADemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

50%
50%
RepublicanRepublican+7
Generic ballot

Jan 22-23, 2022
2,005 RV
Jan 22-23, 2022
2,005RVDemocrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanEven
Generic ballot

Jan 21-23, 2022
1,029 RV
Jan 21-23, 2022
1,029RVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

41%
41%
RepublicanDemocrat+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Jan 21-23, 2022
850 LV
Jan 21-23, 2022
850LVDemocrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

49%
49%
RepublicanRepublican+7

Jan. 23, 2022

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Jan 19-20, 2022
1,815 RV
Jan 19-20, 2022
1,815RVDemocrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

53%
53%
RepublicanRepublican+6

Jan. 22, 2022

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Jan 16-19, 2022
1,001 RV
Jan 16-19, 2022
1,001RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

44%
44%
RepublicanRepublican+1
Generic ballot

Jan 14-18, 2022
790 RV
Jan 14-18, 2022
790RVDemocrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

46%
46%
RepublicanDemocrat+1

Jan. 19, 2022

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Jan 14-17, 2022
1,000 RV
Jan 14-17, 2022
1,000RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

44%
44%
RepublicanRepublican+1
Generic ballot

Jan 12-15, 2022
1,077 LV
Jan 12-15, 2022
1,077LVDemocrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

56%
56%
RepublicanRepublican+13
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