See who's ahead in our 2020 national polling averages 📈

UPDATED Oct. 28, 2020, at 1:49 PM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

 

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 25-27, 2020
1,365 LV
Oct 25-27, 2020
1,365LVDemocrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanDemocrat+10
Generic ballot

Oct 25-27, 2020
1,500 RV
Oct 25-27, 2020
1,500RVDemocrat
49%

Democrat

49%

Republican

39%
39%
RepublicanDemocrat+10
Generic ballot

Oct 13-26, 2020
5,261 LV
Oct 13-26, 2020
5,261LVDemocrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

44%
44%
RepublicanDemocrat+8
Generic ballot

Oct 20, 2020
4,933 LV
Oct 20, 2020
4,933LVDemocrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanDemocrat+5

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

 

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 13-26, 2020
5,285 LV
Oct 13-26, 2020
5,285LVDemocrat
52%

Democrat

52%

Republican

45%
45%
RepublicanDemocrat+7

Oct. 26, 2020

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 23-25, 2020
1,350 LV
Oct 23-25, 2020
1,350LVDemocrat
54%

Democrat

54%

Republican

41%
41%
RepublicanDemocrat+13
Generic ballot

Oct 23-25, 2020
1,500 RV
Oct 23-25, 2020
1,500RVDemocrat
51%

Democrat

51%

Republican

38%
38%
RepublicanDemocrat+13
Generic ballot

Oct 23-25, 2020
15,509 LV
Oct 23-25, 2020
15,509LVDemocrat
49%

Democrat

49%

Republican

43%
43%
RepublicanDemocrat+6
Generic ballot

Oct 20-22, 2020
12,000 LV
Oct 20-22, 2020
12,000LVDemocrat
49%

Democrat

49%

Republican

43%
43%
RepublicanDemocrat+6

Oct. 24, 2020

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020
10,542 RV
Sep 30-Oct 5, 2020
10,542RVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

40%
40%
RepublicanDemocrat+6

Oct. 23, 2020

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 16-20, 2020
1,006 LV
Oct 16-20, 2020
1,006LVDemocrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

44%
44%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot

Oct 15-19, 2020
1,000 RV
Oct 15-19, 2020
1,000RVDemocrat
51%

Democrat

51%

Republican

43%
43%
RepublicanDemocrat+8
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