UPDATED Apr. 12, 2021, at 10:14 AM

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Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added March 24, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Mar 15-21, 2021
1,008 RV
Mar 15-21, 2021
1,008RVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot

Feb 12-18, 2021
1,005 RV
Feb 12-18, 2021
1,005RVDemocrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

44%
44%
RepublicanEven

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 10, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Feb 18-23, 2021
1,000 RV
Feb 18-23, 2021
1,000RVDemocrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

43%
43%
RepublicanDemocrat+4
Generic ballot

Feb 18-23, 2021
1,000 RV
Feb 18-23, 2021
1,000RVDemocrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanDemocrat+6
Generic ballot

Feb 18-23, 2021
1,000 RV
Feb 18-23, 2021
1,000RVDemocrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanDemocrat+6

March 3, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Feb 24-28, 2021
1,000 LV
Feb 24-28, 2021
1,000LVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

46%
46%
RepublicanEven

March 2, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Feb 26-28, 2021
1,002 A
Feb 26-28, 2021
1,002ADemocrat
39%

Democrat

39%

Republican

31%
31%
RepublicanDemocrat+8

Jan. 20, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Dec 9-13, 2020
1,000 LV
Dec 9-13, 2020
1,000LVDemocrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

48%
48%
RepublicanRepublican+2
Generic ballot

Nov 21-23, 2020
1,000 LV
Nov 21-23, 2020
1,000LVDemocrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

47%
47%
RepublicanRepublican+2
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