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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Generic ballot, 2022

1,000RV
Nov.6-8
1,000RV
Democrat
49%
Democrat
49%

Democrat

49%

Republican

51%
51%
Republican  Republican+2
1,013A
Nov.5-7
1,013A
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

48%
48%
Republican  Republican+4
863LV
Nov.5-7
863LV
Democrat
47%
Democrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

50%
50%
Republican  Republican+3
789RV
Nov.4-7
789RV
Democrat
40%
Democrat
40%

Democrat

40%

Republican

41%
41%
Republican  Even
452LV
Nov.4-7
452LV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

45%
45%
Republican  Democrat+1
1,004A
Nov.4-7
1,004A
Democrat
35%
Democrat
35%

Democrat

35%

Republican

35%
35%
Republican  Even
12,208LV
Oct.26-Nov.7
12,208LV
Democrat
49%
Democrat
49%

Democrat

49%

Republican

49%
49%
Republican  Even
1,099LV
Nov.4-6
1,099LV
Democrat
43%
Democrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

48%
48%
Republican  Republican+6
1,071LV
Nov.3-6
1,071LV
Democrat
48%
Democrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

49%
49%
Republican  Republican+1
1,315RV
Nov.3-6
1,315RV
Democrat
47%
Democrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

46%
46%
Republican  Democrat+1
1,130LV
Nov.3-6
1,130LV
Democrat
48%
Democrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

52%
52%
Republican  Republican+4
2,005RV
Nov.4-5
2,005RV
Democrat
48%
Democrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

43%
43%
Republican  Democrat+5
786LV
Nov.3-5
786LV
Democrat
48%
Democrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Democrat+1
1,000RV
Nov.3-5
1,000RV
Democrat
47%
Democrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Even
702LV
Nov.2-4
702LV
Democrat
50%
Democrat
50%

Democrat

50%

Republican

46%
46%
Republican  Democrat+4
1,009A
Nov.2-4
1,009A
Democrat
40%
Democrat
40%

Democrat

40%

Republican

38%
38%
Republican  Democrat+2
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Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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