UPDATED Sep. 28, 2022, at 3:49 PM

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Who’s ahead in the national polls?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Generic ballot, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,004A
Sep.26-27
1,004A
Democrat
37%
Democrat
37%

Democrat

37%

Republican

32%
32%
Republican  Democrat+5
1,084LV
Sep.25-27
1,084LV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

51%
51%
Republican  Republican+6
1,055LV
Sep.24-27
1,055LV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Republican+1
1,341RV
Sep.24-27
1,341RV
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

44%
44%
Republican  Even
2,005RV
Sep.23-25
2,005RV
Democrat
45%
Democrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

43%
43%
Republican  Democrat+2
9,062LV
Sep.23-25
9,062LV
Democrat
48%
Democrat
48%

Democrat

48%

Republican

44%
44%
Republican  Democrat+4
563LV
Sep.20-25
563LV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

42%
42%
Republican  Democrat+4
1,954LV
Sep.21-23
1,954LV
Democrat
45%
Democrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

46%
46%
Republican  Republican+1
821RV
Sep.21-23
821RV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

41%
41%
Republican  Democrat+4
1,007A
Sep.21-23
1,007A
Democrat
39%
Democrat
39%

Democrat

39%

Republican

38%
38%
Republican  Democrat+2
7,947LV
Sep.20-22
7,947LV
Democrat
47%
Democrat
47%

Democrat

47%

Republican

44%
44%
Republican  Democrat+3
2,500LV
Sep.18-22
2,500LV
Democrat
42%
Democrat
42%

Democrat

42%

Republican

44%
44%
Republican  Republican+2
1,000LV
Sep.17-22
1,000LV
Democrat
44%
Democrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

48%
48%
Republican  Republican+4
1,368LV
Sep.20-21
1,368LV
Democrat
45%
Democrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

45%
45%
Republican  Even
Sep.18-21
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

51%
51%
Republican  Republican+5
908RV
Sep.18-21
908RV
Democrat
46%
Democrat
46%

Democrat

46%

Republican

47%
47%
Republican  Republican+1
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

Indicates a polling average for this poll type

Candidate is an incumbent

Partisan types

Democratic-funded

Republican-funded

Other party-funded

Campaign poll

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