See who’s ahead in the 2021 Virginia governor’s race

UPDATED Oct. 15, 2021, at 10:53 AM

Latest Polls

Updated throughout the day.

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Who’s ahead in all?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added today

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 11-13, 2021
1,200 RV
Oct 11-13, 2021
1,200RVDemocrat
40%

Democrat

40%

Republican

41%
41%
RepublicanRepublican+1

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

Oct. 12, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 9-12, 2021
1,266 RV
Oct 9-12, 2021
1,266RVDemocrat
45%

Democrat

45%

Republican

37%
37%
RepublicanDemocrat+8
Generic ballot

Oct 8-11, 2021
1,999 RV
Oct 8-11, 2021
1,999RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

41%
41%
RepublicanDemocrat+2

Oct. 7, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 1-4, 2021
1,640 A
Oct 1-4, 2021
1,640ADemocrat
37%

Democrat

37%

Republican

31%
31%
RepublicanDemocrat+6

Oct. 5, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 3-5, 2021
1,261 RV
Oct 3-5, 2021
1,261RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

36%
36%
RepublicanDemocrat+7
Generic ballot

Oct 2-4, 2021
1,998 RV
Oct 2-4, 2021
1,998RVDemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

42%
42%
RepublicanDemocrat+1

Oct. 4, 2021

Generic ballot
Generic ballot

Oct 1-4, 2021
1,177 RV
Oct 1-4, 2021
1,177RVDemocrat
44%

Democrat

44%

Republican

47%
47%
RepublicanRepublican+3
Generic ballot

Oct 1-4, 2021
1,326 A
Oct 1-4, 2021
1,326ADemocrat
43%

Democrat

43%

Republican

46%
46%
RepublicanRepublican+3
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