UPDATED Sep. 16, 2021, at 9:55 AM

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Who’s ahead in Georgia?

Updating average for each Democratic candidate in 2020 primary polls, accounting for each poll’s quality, sample size and recency

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

Added Aug. 5, 2021

DatesPollsterSampleResultNet result
U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Aug 4-5, 2021
622 V
Aug 4-5, 2021
622VWarnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Black

38%
38%
BlackWarnock+8
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Aug 4-5, 2021
622 V
Aug 4-5, 2021
622VWarnock
48%

Warnock

48%

Walker

46%
46%
WalkerWarnock+2
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Aug 4-5, 2021
622 V
Aug 4-5, 2021
622VWarnock
47%

Warnock

47%

Loeffler

44%
44%
LoefflerWarnock+3

Key

A = ADULTS

RV = REGISTERED VOTERS

V = VOTERS

LV = LIKELY VOTERS

March 11, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Mar 7-9, 2021
1,093 LV
Mar 7-9, 2021
1,093LVWarnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Loeffler

41%
41%
LoefflerWarnock+5
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Mar 7-9, 2021
1,093 LV
Mar 7-9, 2021
1,093LVWarnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Walker

48%
48%
WalkerWalker+2
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Mar 7-9, 2021
1,093 LV
Mar 7-9, 2021
1,093LVWarnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Collins

45%
45%
CollinsWarnock+1

Jan. 24, 2021

Governor
Governor
Ga.Ga.
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550 LV
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550LVAbrams
42%

Abrams

42%

Taylor Greene

41%
41%
Taylor GreeneAbrams+1
Governor
Ga.Ga.
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550 LV
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550LVAbrams
41%

Abrams

41%

Walker

43%
43%
WalkerWalker+1
Governor
Ga.Ga.
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550 LV
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550LVAbrams
42%

Abrams

42%

Collins

44%
44%
CollinsCollins+2
Governor
Ga.Ga.
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550 LV
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
550LVAbrams
40%

Abrams

40%

Kemp

44%
44%
KempKemp+5

Jan. 19, 2021

President: Republican primary
President: Republican primary Ga.
Ga.
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
209 LV
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
209LVPence
36%

Pence

36%

Cruz

15%

Haley

8%

Romney

6%

Rubio

3%

Christie

1%
MorePence+21
President: Republican primary Ga.
Ga.
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
209 LV
Dec 30-Jan 3, 2021
209LVTrump Sr.
73%

Trump Sr.

73%

Cruz

5%

Rubio

3%

Haley

3%

Romney

2%

Christie

1%
MoreTrump Sr.+68

Jan. 4, 2021

U.S. Senate
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jan 2-4, 2021
1,056 LV
Jan 2-4, 2021
1,056LVWarnock
48%

Warnock

48%

Loeffler

50%
50%
LoefflerLoeffler+1
U.S. Senate
Ga.Ga.
Jan 2-4, 2021
1,056 LV
Jan 2-4, 2021
1,056LVOssoff
49%

Ossoff

49%

Perdue

49%
49%
PerdueOssoff+1
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