UPDATED Oct. 6, 2022, at 4:13 PM

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Who’s ahead in the Georgia race?

An updating average, accounting for each poll’s quality, recency, sample size and partisan lean.

Our average includes all candidates that FiveThirtyEight considers “major.” Candidates with insufficient polling data are not displayed in the averages. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates’ averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. Read more about the methodology.

DatesSamplei

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A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResultNet result
Datesi

SAMPLE TYPES

A

ADULTS

V

VOTERS

LV

LIKELY VOTERS

RV

REGISTERED VOTERS

PollsterResult

Polls ending Oct. 3, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

550LV
Oct.4
550LV
Warnock
47%
Warnock
47%

Warnock

47%

Walker

44%

Oliver

3%
44%
WalkerWarnock+4
1,076LV
Sep.30-Oct.4
1,076LV
Warnock
50%
Warnock
50%

Warnock

50%

Walker

38%
38%
Walker  Warnock+12

Governor, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

550LV
Oct.4
550LV
Abrams
45%
Abrams
45%

Abrams

45%

Kemp

50%

Hazel

2%
50%
KempKemp+6
1,076LV
Sep.30-Oct.4
1,076LV
Abrams
45%
Abrams
45%

Abrams

45%

Kemp

47%
47%
Kemp  Kemp+2

Sept. 25, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,011RV
Sep.22-26
1,011RV
Warnock
46%
Warnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Walker

41%
41%
Walker  Warnock+5

Sept. 19, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,006LV
Sep.16-20
1,006LV
Warnock
46%
Warnock
46%

Warnock

46%

Walker

46%

Oliver

4%
46%
WalkerEven

Governor, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,006LV
Sep.16-20
1,006LV
Abrams
44%
Abrams
44%

Abrams

44%

Kemp

51%

Hazel

3%
51%
KempKemp+7

Sept. 18, 2022

U.S. Senate, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,178LV
Sep.14-19
1,178LV
Warnock
51%
Warnock
51%

Warnock

51%

Walker

49%
49%
Walker  Warnock+2

Governor, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

1,178LV
Sep.14-19
1,178LV
Abrams
46%
Abrams
46%

Abrams

46%

Kemp

52%
52%
Kemp  Kemp+6

Sept. 17, 2022

Governor, Georgia, 2022
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.AVG.

600A
Sep.14-18
600A
Abrams
47%
Abrams
47%

Abrams

47%

Kemp

50%
50%
Kemp  Kemp+3
Icon indicating this set of polls has an average.avg.

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